ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO - DISCUSSION

[cperez1594]

Man no action and this forum goes dead!

[tolakram]

Looking a tad better organized, but shear looks to be high as well.

15 frame loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=15

[RachelAnna]

Wow. It looked to me yesterday afternoon like 96L might be able to pull its act together and get something going but then late last night it looked a little worse and this morning it looks to be a hot mess. Doesn't even look like TX will see all of the rain that was originally expected with this system. Don't want to write it off totally quite yet, but it doesn't look good in terms of development.

Anyone want to take any wild guesses as to when we'll see 97L?

[HURAKAN]

Time is running out and fast

[canes04]

96L is getting it's act together this morning.

I think it will upgrade to TD2 today at the 4pm advisory and TS Bonnie tomorrow morning.

[HURAKAN]

canes04, are we looking at the same system?

[Brent]

NEXT!

This thing looks worse than it ever has.

[mvtrucking]

Next please

[RachelAnna]

[quote="canes04"]96L is getting it's act together this morning.

Wow. Maybe you're seeing something I'm not? Gimme a break down of what you're seeing!

[jasons2k]

No surprises here....it was pretty apparent yesterday this would be a sheared mess headed for the border region. Score another win for the Euro as it was the correct southern outlier early-on.

[funster]

Still has plenty of time right? Isn't it only just now emerging off the Yucatan? Maybe I'm looking at the wrong area.

[tailgater]

Come on guys, some T-storms near the center and yall will calling for recon and Bonnie this system is not that bad in 24hrs. if could easily become TD 2.

[Stormcenter]

Now we know why the models didn't show much.
We need a break now anyway. We still have the rest of July
and then the meat and potatoes (August & Sept.) of the season
still ahead of us.

[Frank P]

Still has plenty of time right? Isn't it only just now emerging off the Yucatan? Maybe I'm looking at the wrong area.

Hints of a center at 23.7 and 93.3.. not sure if this is the dominant one but using the GOES vis sat loop sure looks like a center could be in this locations.. convection to the south and northeast. I guess a depression is not out of the question... who knows

[Comanche]

96L is getting it's act together this morning.

I think it will upgrade to TD2 today at the 4pm advisory and TS Bonnie tomorrow morning.

WOW! I suppose you would be on the bid for a hot date with Janet Reno too.

This thing looks as close to non-existant as you could get without truly being non-existant.

[canes04]

I'm looking at the area around 22N and 91.5W for the LLC to be forming.
It has plenty of time to get named before heading inland.

[tailgater]

Wow. It looked to me yesterday afternoon like 96L might be able to pull its act together and get something going but then late last night it looked a little worse and this morning it looks to be a hot mess. Doesn't even look like TX will see all of the rain that was originally expected with this system. Don't want to write it off totally quite yet, but it doesn't look good in terms of development.

Anyone want to take any wild guesses as to when we'll see 97L?

Checking the radar it looks like the rain is on your doorstep with plenty more to come!
Hot mess, does that mean what I think it means in longhorn slang?

[tolakram]

I see hints of an llc forming as drawn below. Not a lot of time left and shear is pretty bad, but I think it will get a %chance upgrade at two if the convection persists.



Loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=10

[Stormcenter]

I just don't see anything of significance on this loop.


http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... uration=12

[Sanibel]

The ULL Gulf environment wins. 96L encountered it over Yucatan and poofed.


I think we'll see a re-fire of sorts but TS is top end at best.