ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO - DISCUSSION

[Stormcenter]

Still looks like one big mess to me.

[Tireman4]

I am a touch worried for C texas. They have already had alot of rain, and now they are gonna have more. WOW> Poor texas...everything's always bigger in Texas. i guess that goes for Floods too.

You can say that again! Here's pics from Allison...



BTW, the below pic is 59, southwest frwy near Greenway Plaza. The water here would easily be 20' deep. It is a sunken freeway--literally.

I was in the Alief area of Houston and barely got anything. It was wild. I was working at Firestone at the time and we had to shut down early (4pm) as opposed to 6 pm because all of the main computers went down.

[hurricaneCW]

It definitely doesn't look like a developing system, in my opinion. Warm cloud tops, rather disorganized convection. Maybe it'll become one of those last minute weak tropical storms (40mph) due to its proximity to land. Regardless, more rain for an already flooded region can't be good. Looks like we might be done for a while after 96L. Check out the massive plume of dry air off of Africa, killing off any waves that decide to come off the coast.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... split.html

[lrak]

wxman57 it looks like your crosshairs on the map should be move abit SE?

[RachelAnna]

Not to mention since Alex a lot of the area has been getting rain everyday...so we haven't really had a chance to dry out. It's raining at my house right now in Cypress...

[Ikester]

Like I said in the recon discussion topic, the only difference here is going to be nomenclature if I had to guess (barring any rapid development). Tropical Depression, weak storm or just a vigorous wave will all produce the same effects. As you can see above, Allison was a tropical storm but that is not why she was remembered or retired for that matter.

[ozonepete]

I think someone may be blinded by a free lunch. I think it is a TD already.

Yeah, wxman57. Looks like your lunch will be crow.

[HURAKAN]

oh, RECON, where are you!!

[lrak]

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42002

winds are up.

[Air Force Met]

I've analyzed a 21Z sfc map of the Gulf and posted it. Gives an idea of what we are seeing at the sfc...

[I-wall]

The visable satellite loop is inconclusive. I see everything but a west wind. We need recon baby......MGC

You can see the west winds on the RGB loop.

[srainhoutx]

As has been stated many times by others, it bears repeating. Regardless of whether this disturbance is upgraded to TD/TS, the effects are going to be very heavy rainfall on areas that are very saturated from last weeks Alex. Coastal TX NWS offices are calling for a possible 5 inches +. Add to that the Coastal Flood threat. There are a lot of wary folks watching very carefully.

[Portastorm]

Actually, area of south central, central, north central, and far east Texas (north of the Golden Triangle area) would welcome a general 2-4 inch rainfall this week. Rainfall deficits exist in these areas as referenced by the latest drought map below.



Uploaded with ImageShack.us

[lrak]

I've analyzed a 21Z sfc map of the Gulf and posted it. Gives an idea of what we are seeing at the sfc...


http://i1000.photobucket.com/albums/af1 ... -7June.jpg

Is that a little guy on a bike on the center of your map?

[Air Force Met]

Is that a little guy on a bike on the center of your map?

That's how I make an "L" for low on a map...its script. The dot is the center.

Edit: On second thought...that could be wxman57 on his bike getting sucked into the vortex...

[A1A]

Yeah, I'm in that white area in between the 2 drought bands and we did NOT ever get soaked with Alex and could use some more. It was spotty what did get the soaking.

[gboudx]

Actually, area of south central, central, north central, and far east Texas (north of the Golden Triangle area) would welcome a general 2-4 inch rainfall this week. Rainfall deficits exist in these areas as referenced by the latest drought map below.

I'm interested in what the map will show tomorrow because many parts of the DFW metroplex received multiple inches of rain since that map was created. At my house, we received a touch over 4" since July 1st, and on that map we're in the Severe Drought shading.

But yes, we can still use more rain.

[HurricaneJoe22]

Didn't you hear that there's no such thing as a free lunch.

[HURAKAN]

Loop - http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/product ... 041145.GIF



Looking good

[ozonepete]

Loop - http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/product ... 041145.GIF



Looking good

Yes, Hurakan. Starting to get "that look".