
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1256
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0505 PM CDT SUN JUL 11 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...TX PANHANDLE
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 112205Z - 112300Z
NERN PLUME OF OLD TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LIFTING NEWD ACROSS NM AND
LARGE SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE APPEARS TO BE
INFLUENCING CONVECTION ALONG THE I-40 CORRIDOR INTO THE WRN TX
PANHANDLE. LATEST DIAGNOSTIC DATA SUGGEST CONVECTION IS FAIRLY
MOIST WITH PWAT VALUES IN EXCESS OF 1.5 INCHES. GIVEN THE STEEP LOW
LEVEL LAPSE RATES THAT EXIST ALONG THE SFC WIND SHIFT...PRECIP DRAG
MAY ENHANCE THE MICRO BURST THREAT WITH STRONGER TSTMS. AT THIS
TIME IT APPEARS THE SEVERE THREAT WILL REMAIN TOO ISOLATED TO
WARRANT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH...ALTHOUGH WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR FOR A MORE ORGANIZED E-W ORIENTED MCS.
..DARROW.. 07/11/2010
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...ABQ...