WPAC : TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONSON

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Re: WPAC : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON / JTWC,PAGA=TY

#241 Postby Typhoon Hunter » Tue Jul 13, 2010 8:07 am

dexterlabio wrote:Conson has weakened, according to JMA.


To be expected given its proximity to land. JMA still forecasting for a potent typhoon threatening Guangdong province in 3 days time.
Last edited by Typhoon Hunter on Tue Jul 13, 2010 8:08 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#242 Postby drdavisjr » Tue Jul 13, 2010 8:08 am

I'm following the tweets about the storm, http://twitter.com/#search?q=Basyang

It's amazing how many people from Manila are just now becoming aware that there is a storm in the area.
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Re: WPAC : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON / JTWC,PAGA=TY

#243 Postby drdavisjr » Tue Jul 13, 2010 8:10 am

Typhoon Hunter wrote:
dexterlabio wrote:Conson has weakened, according to JMA.


To be expected given its proximity to land. JMA still forecasting for a potent typhoon threatening Guangdong province in 3 days time.


This is the last thing southern China needs at the moment. The East-Asia Monsoon has been very devastating.
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#244 Postby dexterlabio » Tue Jul 13, 2010 8:15 am

drdavisjr wrote:I'm following the tweets about the storm, http://twitter.com/#search?q=Basyang

It's amazing how many people from Manila are just now becoming aware that there is a storm in the area.


Yeah, but all of them don't know that Basyang most probably will hit Manila, not anywhere else.

Winds getting stronger here. :double:
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Re: WPAC : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON / JTWC,PAGA=TY

#245 Postby Typhoon Hunter » Tue Jul 13, 2010 8:21 am

Quite a startling chart here of current SSTs. They are pretty damn hot across most of the Philippine and South China Sea!!!
http://www.ssmi.com/graphics/fusion/sst/graphics_v01/tmi_amsre/small/global/y2010/m07/tmi_amsre_2010_07_13_sst.png
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Re: WPAC : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON / JTWC,PAGA=TY

#246 Postby ManilaTC » Tue Jul 13, 2010 8:23 am

MIMIC Microwave shows that Conson is now about to make landfall at N Quezon.
Image
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#247 Postby oaba09 » Tue Jul 13, 2010 8:27 am

Yup...wind is picking up in my area....
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Re:

#248 Postby drdavisjr » Tue Jul 13, 2010 8:31 am

oaba09 wrote:Yup...wind is picking up in my area....


Are you getting rain there?
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Re: WPAC : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON / JTWC,PAGA=TY

#249 Postby dexterlabio » Tue Jul 13, 2010 8:35 am

Rain is continuous in our area, accompanied with mild to strong breeze. It is cold out here. :froze:
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Re: WPAC : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON / JTWC,PAGA=TY

#250 Postby Infdidoll » Tue Jul 13, 2010 8:38 am

Interesting...is that an elongated eye from the north side being impacted by shear?

Image
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Re: Re:

#251 Postby oaba09 » Tue Jul 13, 2010 8:38 am

drdavisjr wrote:
oaba09 wrote:Yup...wind is picking up in my area....


Are you getting rain there?


Not much...mostly wind...
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Re: WPAC : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON / JTWC,PAGA=TY

#252 Postby dexterlabio » Tue Jul 13, 2010 8:40 am

Take a look at this satpic. The last time I saw those wide area of red marks over Manila and nearby places is when Ketsana(Ondoy) hit Luzon. Conson suddenly had these bursts of deep convection near its center.

Image
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Re: WPAC : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON / JTWC,PAGA=TY

#253 Postby drdavisjr » Tue Jul 13, 2010 8:44 am

From what I can tell, the eye is here.

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Re: WPAC : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON / JTWC,PAGA=TY

#254 Postby drdavisjr » Tue Jul 13, 2010 8:45 am

dexterlabio wrote:Take a look at this satpic. The last time I saw those wide area of red marks over Manila and nearby places is when Ketsana(Ondoy) hit Luzon. Conson suddenly had these bursts of deep convection near its center.

Image


True, but north of here, closer to Aurora. This one is right on top of us. :double:
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Re: WPAC : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON / JTWC,PAGA=TY

#255 Postby dexterlabio » Tue Jul 13, 2010 8:51 am

So there was a strong brush of wind a while ago outside my house... I thought that was already the core, but the center is not yet even in the Polilio islands, isn't it?
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ricmood

#256 Postby ricmood » Tue Jul 13, 2010 8:51 am

Plus this is a 20kph typhoon. I think Ketsana was about 8-15kph
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Re: WPAC : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON / JTWC,PAGA=TY

#257 Postby dexterlabio » Tue Jul 13, 2010 8:54 am

Conson would be off the coast of Zambales tomorrow morning (around 5 or 6am I think), so there are roughly 6 to 7 hours of rains and winds to be felt. I'll be watching for the local news later on...
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Re: WPAC : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON / JTWC,PAGA=TY

#258 Postby drdavisjr » Tue Jul 13, 2010 8:54 am

dexterlabio wrote:So there was a strong brush of wind a while ago outside my house... I thought that was already the core, but the center is not yet even in the Polilio islands, isn't it?


I think it squeezed itself in between Polillo and Camarines Norte ... can you believe it? All that warm water to energize it :)
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#259 Postby ricmood » Tue Jul 13, 2010 8:54 am

First major storm of the year and it is already near Manila. Wow, get ready for 13-15 more.
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#260 Postby oaba09 » Tue Jul 13, 2010 8:56 am

according to typhoon2000,

"Typhoon CONSON (BASYANG) moving away from Camarines Norte...now entering Lamon Bay as it approaches Polillo Island & Northern Quezon...endangers Metro Manila & Bulacan.

*Residents and visitors along Metro Manila, Central & Southern Luzon should closely monitor the progress of CONSON (BASYANG)."
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