WPAC : TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONSON

[Typhoon10]

It really appears Conson is taking much Western track than originally thought. Will hit closer to Hainan Island.

[dhoeze]

Hi Gurus,

Anywhere i can see the actual mm of rainfall this storm brought upon metro manila?
I am planning to come up with historical database containing figures of all storms for 2010 that will hit our country.

Thanks in advance!

[Typhoon10]

Hi Gurus,

Anywhere i can see the actual mm of rainfall this storm brought upon metro manila?
I am planning to come up with historical database containing figures of all storms for 2010 that will hit our country.

Thanks in advance!

Hi, I use this. It states nearly 22cm of rain in Ambulong.

http://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/rain/b3/index.html

[phwxenthusiast]

Hi, I use this. It states nearly 22cm of rain in Ambulong.

http://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/rain/b3/index.html

cool, thanks for sharing..

[dhoeze]

Thank you so much Typhoon10.
This is a great link!

[dexterlabio]

I survived another storm! Now, I had come face to face with Xangxane (Milenyo), Fengshen (Frank), Mirinae (Santi) and finally, Conson (Basyang).

Last night was a blast. Our power lines went on and off, and at around 2am, the power supply was totally knocked down. There were little rains, but the wind was so strong that all the trees and electric posts everywhere were swaying violently. Some galvanized roofs were peeled off. Luckily, our house didn't get damage from last night.

And I see there's another invest to the west of Luzon. I was already thinking since yesterday that those cluster of clouds may form a separate system once Conson moves away.

[cebuboy]

http://ph.news.yahoo.com/afp/20100714/t ... c1ef8.html

Another year, another new set of storm fatalities. Again, with the Philippines new president , looks like there is still no change

[dexterlabio]

As expected, the people in the capital were caught by surprise. President Aquino must really start the modernization project on PAGASA as soon as possible.

[KWT]

Looks like the WNW/NW motion has started now at long last after that continued westward motion.

[Typhoon10]

Looks like the WNW/NW motion has started now at long last after that continued westward motion.

Are the models for it heading toward Hainan correct then or will they have to remodel the directions?

[Chacor]

JMA down to a tropical storm. Still forecasting re-intensification but not to a typhoon.

WTPQ20 RJTD 140900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1002 CONSON (1002)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 140900UTC 15.7N 118.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 100NM
FORECAST
24HF 150900UTC 17.3N 114.4E 70NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 160600UTC 18.8N 111.5E 110NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 170600UTC 20.4N 110.2E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =

[HURAKAN]

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[HURAKAN]

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[ricmood]

Wow! Good to be back! Power was out for about 21 hours. The eye went our way for about 15 mins only.

Conso is definitely stronger than Miriane of last year. Is it possible that a 95kph storm could pack more wind than a 140kph hour typhoon? Because Conso did more damage than Miriane.

[cycloneye]

WTPN31 PGTW 141500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 03W (CONSON) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141200Z --- NEAR 16.1N 117.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N 117.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 17.0N 115.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 18.2N 113.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 19.4N 112.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 20.6N 110.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 23.1N 109.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
141500Z POSITION NEAR 16.3N 116.9E.
TROPICAL STORM 03W (CONSON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT
12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z, 150300Z,
150900Z AND 151500Z.//
NNNN

[oaba09]

Hi guys, power is still out in our house in valenzuela, metro manila so I decided to go to our other house in nueva ecija where there's power......PAGASA got scolded by the president earlier because of it's wrong forecast...Thanks to this site, I was able to know in advance that metro manila will get a direct hit..................Metro Manila was in total blackout last night(totally no power)...right now, about 70% still has no electricity...there have also been reports of destroyed homes and some casualties....

[KWT]

Thanks for that report there oaba!

Looks like the system is now tracking a little to the east of the forecast track, JWTC expecting something at just 40kts now at landfall.

[JTE50]

Hi guys, power is still out in our house in valenzuela, metro manila so I decided to go to our other house in nueva ecija where there's power......PAGASA got scolded by the president earlier because of it's wrong forecast...Thanks to this site, I was able to know in advance that metro manila will get a direct hit..................Metro Manila was in total blackout last night(totally no power)...right now, about 70% still has no electricity...there have also been reports of destroyed homes and some casualties....

What was the PAGASA forecast?

[HURAKAN]

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[HURAKAN]

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