Gustywind wrote:
Gustywind, please post a link for Metro France. Thank you.
Strong wave near Leeward Islands - Is Invest 97L
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dixiebreeze
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The convective increase in terms of coverage is really impressive compared to 24hrs ago, thats what you tend to get when you have a divergent situation.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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Ivanhater
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Re: Strong wave over Leeward Islands - Code Yellow
Wx_Warrior wrote:Ivan, you give up on your Caribbean "soup"?
Still keeping an eye on it, but this looks more promising...
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Michael
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dixiebreeze
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Re: Strong wave over Leeward Islands - Code Yellow
This may well be code orange for the 8 p.m. TWO.
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Wx_Warrior
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Re: Strong wave over Leeward Islands - Code Yellow
I agree.....even EURO shows this wave. Doesn't blow it up, but recognizes.
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Gustywind
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Re: Re:
dixiebreeze wrote:Gustywind wrote:
Gustywind, please post a link for Metro France. Thank you.
I'm friend it's not Metro France, it's METEO-FRANCE. Here is the weather site: http://www.meteo.gp/
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srainhoutx
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Re: Strong wave over Leeward Islands - Code Yellow
One thing I have noticed via guidance is how slow the movement becomes once in the Gulf. Southern LA and SE TX have seen a lot of rainfall the past couple of days.
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Comanche
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Re: Strong wave over Leeward Islands - Code Yellow
Sure am glad I waited until the end of July to fly my family to south Florida for vacation, not only for hanging out on Americas wang (front line), but leaving my house in Clear Lake completely vulnerable!
Maybe next year I'll plan Sep 10-20th!!!
Maybe next year I'll plan Sep 10-20th!!!
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Re: Strong wave over Leeward Islands - Code Yellow
srainhoutx wrote:One thing I have noticed via guidance is how slow the movement becomes once in the Gulf. Southern LA and SE TX have seen a lot of rainfall the past couple of days.
Yeah the steering currents really do slacken quite a lot down the line as the upper ridge starts to erode away somewhat and so even if it doesn't develop we could have some bad flooding issues.
It has a large area of moisture present with it and convection moving over E.parts of PR. The shear which sis tronger further north is also providing decent outflow as well at the moment it seems.
Wonder what it'll look like in 12hrs time...
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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Gustywind
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Winds continue to relax on the EC islands...
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
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gatorcane
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Just need some convection to sustain and I think we could have an invest out of this. I do see some rotation on some of the visibles probably at the mid-levels though. I see this in an area just NE of the northeastern-most Leewards. Cloud tops are cooling at the moment but we are at DMIN. Models really don't develop this (I don't count the NAM) so that is some good news for those potentially further upstream across the Bahamas then perhaps Southern Florida.
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Gustywind
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Re:
gatorcane wrote:Just need some convection to sustain and I think we could have an invest out of this. I do see some rotation on some of the visibles probably at the mid-levels though. I see this in an area just NE of the northeastern-most Leewards. Cloud tops are cooling at the moment but we are at DMIN. Models really don't develop this (I don't count the NAM) so that is some good news for those potentially further upstream across the Bahamas then perhaps Southern Florida.
Hey Gatorcane do you tkink that NHC will upgrade it to ORANGE code?
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Looks to me like whilst the shear is easing the main ridge that does provide a narrow region of lower shear is still to the south. For development the ULL has to lift out further still.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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