Strong wave near Leeward Islands - Is Invest 97L

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HURAKAN
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#541 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:38 am

TWD:

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN ALONG 62W/63W S OF 20N
MOVING W NEAR 20 KT. BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW ENCOMPASSES THE WAVE
AXIS EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. A LARGE AREA OF DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE ALSO ACCOMPANIES THE WAVE AS SEEN IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER IMAGERY. GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE
AFFECTING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION ARE FROM 16N-22N BETWEEN 60W-70W.
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Re: Strong wave near Leeward Islands - Code Yellow

#542 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:42 am

499
ABNT20 KNHC 190542
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON JUL 19 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND
ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15
MPH. SURFACE PRESSURES HAVE FALLEN OVER THIS AREA...AND SHOWER
ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A MORE CONCENTRATED JUST NORTH OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS. HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE
AND ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED
WITH THE DISTURBANCE COULD AFFECT THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...
THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...
HAITI...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.


ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
MUCH OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA...JAMAICA...AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED AND BECOME A LITTLE
MORE CONCENTRATED SOUTH OF JAMAICA...THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO SIGNS
OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION IN THIS AREA. HOWEVER...SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS STILL POSSIBLE AS IT MOVES
GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

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Florida1118

Re: Strong wave near Leeward Islands - Code Yellow

#543 Postby Florida1118 » Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:45 am

would this make it a invest?
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#544 Postby chzzdekr81 » Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:50 am

Both 20%... Lets see if they become invests
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xcool22

#545 Postby xcool22 » Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:52 am

keep check navy sites
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Re: Strong wave near Leeward Islands - Code Yellow

#546 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:54 am

You can also check here...

You can sort by last modified...

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/
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#547 Postby AdamFirst » Mon Jul 19, 2010 1:15 am

Will be watching this one though the week. Looks interesting and it's in the Herbert Box. But will it be a rainy day or something more? Only time will tell.
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#548 Postby Scorpion » Mon Jul 19, 2010 1:16 am

Should be an invest tomorrow IMO
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Re: Strong wave near Leeward Islands - Code Yellow

#549 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Jul 19, 2010 1:29 am

let see more forecast model pick up this area on monday
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#550 Postby Wx_Warrior » Mon Jul 19, 2010 1:58 am

not too much activity with this one on EURO
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xcool22

#551 Postby xcool22 » Mon Jul 19, 2010 4:05 am

AL, 97, 2010071906, , BEST, 0, 191N, 624W, 25
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Re:

#552 Postby weatherwindow » Mon Jul 19, 2010 4:24 am

xcool22 wrote:AL, 97, 2010071906, , BEST, 0, 191N, 624W, 25

couldnt find it at nrl...where, link?
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xcool22

#553 Postby xcool22 » Mon Jul 19, 2010 4:30 am

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#554 Postby brunota2003 » Mon Jul 19, 2010 5:25 am

Hello there, 97L...goodbye this thread!
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Re: Strong wave near Leeward Islands - Code Yellow

#555 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 19, 2010 5:35 am

The thread is closed as this system is now invest 97L. Go to Active Storms forum to continue the discussions and to get the latest about it.
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