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Re: Caribbean - CA=Invest 97L effects at Leewards VI Puerto Rico

#5661 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:50 am

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1222 PM AST MON JUL 19 2010

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-200430-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.A.0007.100719T1700Z-100720T1800Z/
/00000.0.OT.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...
LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA`S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
1222 PM AST MON JUL 19 2010

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND VIRGIN
ISLANDS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN PUERTO RICO...
CENTRAL INTERIOR...CULEBRA...EASTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND
VICINITY...NORTH CENTRAL...NORTHEAST...NORTHWEST...PONCE AND
VICINITY...SAN JUAN AND VICINITY...SOUTHEAST...SOUTHWEST...
VIEQUES AND WESTERN INTERIOR. IN VIRGIN ISLANDS...ST CROIX AND
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS.

* THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON

* AN ACTIVE TROPICAL WAVE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED TO THIS TROPICAL WAVE WILL
LINGER ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM
COULD PRODUCE PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH MODERATE
TO HEAVY RAINFALL. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH TOMORROW
AFTERNOON WILL ALSO INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR DANGEROUS
MUDSLIDES OVER AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU
ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP
INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED
OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE
HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR
CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

&&

$$

FIGUEROA/SANCHEZ
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Re: Caribbean - CA=Invest 97L effects at Leewards VI Puerto Rico

#5662 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:29 pm

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
113 PM AST MON JUL 19 2010

PRC147-VIC010-192015-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0276.100719T1713Z-100719T2015Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
VIEQUES PR-SAINT CROIX VI-
113 PM AST MON JUL 19 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES AND ISLANDS...

IN PUERTO RICO
VIEQUES

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT CROIX

* UNTIL 415 PM AST

* AT 105 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED
HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS VIEQUES AND ST CROIX IN THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAD FALLEN ACROSS VIEQUES. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF ONE TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
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#5663 Postby abajan » Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:33 pm

Yet more rain for Puerto Rico. Amazing! :eek:
Just how much rain can they take?
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#5664 Postby Gustywind » Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:45 pm

Image
Looks like the southern side of this massive twave should continue to affect all the Leewards, PR and BVI and right now even the Windwards islands. Convection has popped tremendously today with this huge system. Rain and tstorms could affect tonight most of the islands from Barbados to Guadeloupe. Be aware and prudent islanders, this thing does not want to move away in our area. For info Meteo-France has maintained the yellow code for Martinica, Guadeloupe and the Northern Leewards.
Gustywind :)
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Re:

#5665 Postby Gustywind » Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:47 pm

abajan wrote:Yet more rain for Puerto Rico. Amazing! :eek:
Just how much rain can they take?

That's simply nasty this year in PR :eek: :(
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Re: Caribbean - CA=Invest 97L effects at Leewards VI Puerto Rico

#5666 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 19, 2010 1:13 pm

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON JUL 19 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED NEAR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO IS
PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS IT INTERACTS
WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
AROUND 10 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...ALTHOUGH
CONDITIONS COULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AFTER THAT
TIME. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL COULD AFFECT THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...HAITI...THE TURKS
AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND EASTERN CUBA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA REMAIN
DISORGANIZED. THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO SIGNS OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION
AND TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT APPEARS UNLIKELY AS THIS SYSTEM
MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/CANGIALOSI
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Re: Caribbean - CA=Invest 97L effects at Leewards VI Puerto Rico

#5667 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 19, 2010 1:42 pm

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
220 PM AST MON JUL 19 2010

PRC025-063-077-085-129-139-200400-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.W.0013.100719T1820Z-100720T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAGUAS PR-JUNCOS PR-GURABO PR-SAN LORENZO PR-TRUJILLO ALTO PR-
LAS PIEDRAS PR-
220 PM AST MON JUL 19 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN...
CAGUAS MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF CAGUAS...
GURABO MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF GURABO...
JUNCOS MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF JUNCOS...
LAS PIEDRAS MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
SAN LORENZO MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF SAN LORENZO...
TRUJILLO ALTO MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT AST TUESDAY

* AT 158 PM AST...THE MOST RECENT USGS RIVER SENSOR READING AT
CAGUAS ON THE RIO GRANDE DE LOIZA WAS 17.06 FEET...ONE FOOT ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE AND RISING. AT GURABO ON RIO GURABO...ALSO IN THE RIO
GRANDE DE LOIZA BASIN...THE MOST RECENT USGS RIVER SENSOR READING
WAS 16.55 FEET AND RISING TOWARD ITS FLOOD STAGE OF 18.0 FEET.
FURTHER UPSTREAM IN SAN LORENZO...LAS PIEDRAS AND ALONG THE
CAYAGUAS...THE HEADWATERS OF THE RIO GRANDE DE LOIZA...THE
TRIBUTARIES ARE SWOLLEN AND FLUCTUATING AT VERY HIGH FLOWS.

ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE APPROACHING THE RIO
GRANDE DE LOIZA FROM THE EAST AND WHILE THE DAM OPERATORS AT THE
CARRAIZO DAM CONTINUE TO MANAGE THE FLOW OF THE RIVER AT THE DAM.
WITH THE ADDITIONAL RUNOFF FOR THIS RAINFALL...MINOR TO MODERATE
FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE RIO GRANDE DE LOIZA AND ITS
TRIBUTARIES...FROM SAN LORENZO AND LAS PIEDRAS DOWN THROUGH CAGUAS
AND GURABO AND INTO TRUJILLO ALTO THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST
FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
WATER COVERED BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO
CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING
WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT TAKES ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 1812 6606 1819 6606 1833 6601 1829 6595
1825 6589 1827 6582 1815 6589 1810 6598

$$

AAS
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Re: Caribbean - CA=Invest 97L effects at Leewards VI Puerto Rico

#5668 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 19, 2010 2:02 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
255 PM AST MON JUL 19 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES AND ISLANDS

IN PUERTO RICO
VIEQUES

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT CROIX

* UNTIL 545 PM AST

* AT 238 PM AST DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO SAINT CROIX AND VIEQUES. THIS IS IN
ADDITION TO THE RAIN THAT HAS BEEN POUNDING THESE ISLANDS ON AND OFF
ALL DAY. A TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED ALMOST 3 INCHES OF RAIN
SINCE THIS MORNING IN SAINT CROIX. THIS HAS LED TO FLOODING IN URBAN
AREAS AND IN THE GUTS...ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN MORE
SERIOUS FLOODING LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. WITH THE
CURRENT URBAN FLOODING...SWOLLEN RIVERS...STREAMS...AND GUTS AND THE
IMPENDING RAINFALL...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
ISLANDS OF SAINT CROIX IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND VIEQUES IN
PUERTO RICO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...GUTS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND
UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...ROADS AND LANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF
CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ARE
SUBJECT TO FLOODING. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO AVOID ROADS WHERE
EXCESSIVE PONDING IS OBSERVED.

IN MOUNTAINOUS OR HILLY TERRAIN...THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER
CROSSINGS WHICH ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT
ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES
AWAY.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 1773 6455 1780 6457 1781 6492 1816 6524
1820 6533 1824 6549 1810 6563 1804 6556
1808 6523 1779 6493 1764 6491 1764 6473

$$

AAS

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
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Re: Caribbean - CA=Invest 97L effects at Leewards VI Puerto Rico

#5669 Postby knotimpaired » Mon Jul 19, 2010 2:09 pm

Ok Folks, here's the skinny on Vieques (as of now).

We were having lunch on the south side of the island at Tradewinds and at about 12.30ish it started pouring down the rain. Wow is all I can say. The lightning over the Caribbean was spectacular to say the least.

For those on the island. Power has been restored to the north side of the island. The south side and Pilon was still out when we left there about 20 minutes ago. 997 has 3 trees down but one has already been cut apart and moved to the side of the road and the 2 others are doable. ALL of the quebradas are over there banks. The worst is the bridge at Papa Kike's old tire shop. We were not sure if we could make it but we did.

Our quebrada is overflowing its banks by about 5' and our pool is obviously flooded.

We have received 1.93" so far and it is eerily looking at the radar, it is starting to look a lot like Jeanne in 2004 when we received 33 inches in a day and a half.

More later.
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Re: Caribbean - CA=Invest 97L effects at Leewards VI Puerto Rico

#5670 Postby Gustywind » Mon Jul 19, 2010 2:16 pm

knotimpaired wrote:Ok Folks, here's the skinny on Vieques (as of now).

We were having lunch on the south side of the island at Tradewinds and at about 12.30ish it started pouring down the rain. Wow is all I can say. The lightning over the Caribbean was spectacular to say the least.

For those on the island. Power has been restored to the north side of the island. The south side and Pilon was still out when we left there about 20 minutes ago. 997 has 3 trees down but one has already been cut apart and moved to the side of the road and the 2 others are doable. ALL of the quebradas are over there banks. The worst is the bridge at Papa Kike's old tire shop. We were not sure if we could make it but we did.

Our quebrada is overflowing its banks by about 5' and our pool is obviously flooded.

We have received 1.93" so far and it is eerily looking at the radar, it is starting to look a lot like Jeanne in 2004 when we received 33 inches in a day and a half.

More later.

All i can say with your post :eek: :eek:
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Re: Caribbean - CA=Invest 97L effects at Leewards VI Puerto Rico

#5671 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 19, 2010 2:18 pm

It looks like the rainy pattern will remain for most of this week. :eek:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
234 PM AST MON JUL 19 2010

.SYNOPSIS...AN ACTIVE TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED JUST ACROSS PUERTO RICO
THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE
MONA PASSAGE TONIGHT AND AWAY FROM THE LOCAL ISLANDS TOMORROW.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR DETECTED NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SURROUNDING WATERS AND ACROSS
SEVERAL PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS ACTIVITY
WAS ASSOCIATED WITH AN ACTIVE TROPICAL WAVE...MOVING JUST ACROSS THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WAVE WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST
NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE MONA PASSAGE THIS EVENING AND AWAY FROM THE
REGION TOMORROW. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE IN A GENERALLY EAST
SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW BEHIND THIS WAVE...WILL BRING NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SOME WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION DURING THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. EXPECT URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING TO OCCUR WITH THIS
TRAILING MOISTURE OF THE WAVE AND THE POTENTIAL STILL EXISTS FOR
FLASH AND RIVER FLOODING...AND THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BE CLOSELY
MONITORED UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON. SEVERAL FLOOD ADVISORIES AND
FLASH/FLOOD WARNING WERE ISSUED SO FAR THIS AFTERNOON. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

THE GFS MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT ABUNDANT CLOUDINESS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK WITH A
GENERALLY DRY TREND EXPECTED BY THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. IN AGREEMENT
WITH THIS REASONING THE GFS FORECAST SOUNDING SUGGESTS PWAT VALUES
ABOVE 2.0 INCHES UNTIL LATE THURSDAY DECREASING BELOW 2.0 INCHES BY
THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...TROPICAL WAVE AXIS IS JUST ACROSS PUERTO RICO THIS
AFTERNOON AND MOVING WEST NORTHWEST. IT WILL GIVE REGION AT LEAST
ANOTHER 12 HOURS OF SHOWERS/THUNDERS. HAVE TIMED MOST LIKELY TIMES OF
CONVECTION IN TAFS ACCORDING TO LOCATION OF THE WAVE AND LOCATION
OF BEST 700-500 MB VORTICITY ADVECTION ACCORDING TO NAM AND GFS
MODELS. THIS LEVEL SEEMED TO WORK PRETTY WELL FOR WHERE CONVECTION
OCCURRED THIS MORNING. PERIODS OF MVFR OR EVEN IFR EXPECTED IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WHILE MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS WILL BE
COMMON DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 86 78 88 / 70 70 70 70
STT 79 87 78 88 / 70 70 70 70
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#5672 Postby Gustywind » Mon Jul 19, 2010 2:33 pm

:uarrow:
Oh boy that's awfull!!! Looks like some burst are flare up on PR given the latest Meteo-France sat pic and with closeup!
Be safe and dry Luis!
Image
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#5673 Postby Gustywind » Mon Jul 19, 2010 2:34 pm

LATEST
Image
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Re: Caribbean - CA=Invest 97L effects at Leewards VI Puerto Rico

#5674 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 19, 2010 2:49 pm

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC037-053-089-103-119-192330-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0068.100719T1927Z-100719T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
327 PM AST MON JUL 19 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS REISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES

IN PUERTO RICO
LUQUILLO
NAGUABO
CEIBA
FAJARDO
RIO GRANDE

* UNTIL 730 PM AST

* AT 324 PM AST...RUNOFF FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL ON THE
HEADWATERS OF THE FAJARDO RIVER IS CAUSING NEW RISES ON THE RIVER.
LATEST U.S.G.S. RIVER GAGES INDICATED THAT THE LEVELS OF THE RIO
FAJARDO WERE AT 9.48 FEET AND STILL RISING. FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
THE PUBLIC REPORTED FLOODING ACROSS THE INTERSECTION HIGHWAY 53 AND
ROAD 3 IN FAJARDO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND
UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...ROADS AND LANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF
CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ARE
SUBJECT TO FLOODING. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO AVOID ROADS WHERE
EXCESSIVE PONDING IS OBSERVED.

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE.


&&

LAT...LON 1827 6581 1831 6588 1843 6588 1842 6571
1833 6555 1815 6576

$$

ER/AAS

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
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#5675 Postby Gustywind » Mon Jul 19, 2010 2:55 pm

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Re: Caribbean - CA=Invest 97L effects at Leewards VI Puerto Rico

#5676 Postby artist » Mon Jul 19, 2010 2:57 pm

knotimpaired wrote:Ok Folks, here's the skinny on Vieques (as of now).

We were having lunch on the south side of the island at Tradewinds and at about 12.30ish it started pouring down the rain. Wow is all I can say. The lightning over the Caribbean was spectacular to say the least.

For those on the island. Power has been restored to the north side of the island. The south side and Pilon was still out when we left there about 20 minutes ago. 997 has 3 trees down but one has already been cut apart and moved to the side of the road and the 2 others are doable. ALL of the quebradas are over there banks. The worst is the bridge at Papa Kike's old tire shop. We were not sure if we could make it but we did.

Our quebrada is overflowing its banks by about 5' and our pool is obviously flooded.

We have received 1.93" so far and it is eerily looking at the radar, it is starting to look a lot like Jeanne in 2004 when we received 33 inches in a day and a half.

More later.


Wow! Stay safe everyone in the islands!!
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Re: Caribbean - CA=Invest 97L effects at Leewards VI Puerto Rico

#5677 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 19, 2010 2:58 pm

Many roads are looking like this one in eastern Puerto Rico. So far, no casualties have been reported but I will post any important news about this rain event.

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Re: Caribbean - CA=Invest 97L effects at Leewards VI Puerto Rico

#5678 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 19, 2010 3:34 pm

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
429 PM AST MON JUL 19 2010

PRC007-021-025-029-031-033-037-051-053-061-063-069-077-085-087-089-
095-103-119-127-129-135-137-139-151-192315-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0277.100719T2029Z-100719T2315Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BAYAMON PR-CAGUAS PR-AGUAS BUENAS PR-JUNCOS PR-GURABO PR-TOA ALTA PR-
SAN LORENZO PR-TRUJILLO ALTO PR-LAS PIEDRAS PR-DORADO PR-LUQUILLO PR-
MAUNABO PR-NAGUABO PR-GUAYNABO PR-CEIBA PR-CANOVANAS PR-FAJARDO PR-
CAROLINA PR-HUMACAO PR-CATANO PR-SAN JUAN PR-LOIZA PR-RIO GRANDE PR-
YABUCOA PR-TOA BAJA PR-
429 PM AST MON JUL 19 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR RAPID RIVER RISES IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BAYAMON...CAGUAS...AGUAS BUENAS...JUNCOS...GURABO...TOA ALTA...
SAN LORENZO...TRUJILLO ALTO...LAS PIEDRAS...DORADO...LUQUILLO...
MAUNABO...NAGUABO...GUAYNABO...CEIBA...CANOVANAS...FAJARDO...
CAROLINA...HUMACAO...CATANO...SAN JUAN...LOIZA...RIO GRANDE...
YABUCOA AND TOA BAJA

* UNTIL 715 PM AST

* AT 417 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUE TO
INDICATE MODERATE RAINFALL ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. THE COMBINATION
OF THIS MODERATE RAINFALL AND THE EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FOR THE PREVIOUS
RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO LEAD TO ELEVATED LEVELS ON SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...
STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW
LYING SPOTS. IN ADDITION...DUE TO SATURATED SOILS...MUDSLIDES WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.
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Re: Caribbean - CA=Invest 97L effects at Leewards VI Puerto Rico

#5679 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 19, 2010 3:40 pm

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Re: Caribbean - CA=Invest 97L effects at Leewards VI Puerto Rico

#5680 Postby knotimpaired » Mon Jul 19, 2010 3:55 pm

We still have light rain. We are up to 2.13".

It's time to get the pj's on with feet. It's 75 degrees :x
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