KFDM Meteorologist wrote:12Z EURO has weak inverted trough approaching LA/TX.
What does that mean?
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Ivanhater wrote:I think it's pretty obvious what were seeing. If its weak, of course it will go more with the low level flow like the CMC and Euro, if its stronger the further north and east.
Ivanhater wrote:BTW, the 12z UKMET really retrogrades the ridge eastward
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/ukm/20 ... /slp10.png
ROCK wrote:thats what 3-4 runs in row with the EURO with same outcome...interesting
Ivanhater wrote:ROCK wrote:thats what 3-4 runs in row with the EURO with same outcome...interesting
Euro has never developed it, so if it doesn't develop and flows west I'll throw a Euro party and be initiated into the Euro brotherhood. God, I hope it forms
Code: Select all
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1826 UTC WED JUL 21 2010
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL972010) 20100721 1800 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
100721 1800 100722 0600 100722 1800 100723 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 21.3N 71.4W 21.8N 74.1W 22.6N 76.5W 23.3N 78.6W
BAMD 21.3N 71.4W 22.3N 73.4W 23.6N 75.8W 24.8N 78.6W
BAMM 21.3N 71.4W 21.9N 73.6W 22.9N 75.8W 24.0N 78.1W
LBAR 21.3N 71.4W 22.1N 73.6W 23.2N 76.0W 24.2N 78.5W
SHIP 30KTS 32KTS 36KTS 40KTS
DSHP 30KTS 32KTS 36KTS 40KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
100723 1800 100724 1800 100725 1800 100726 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 24.4N 80.8W 26.5N 85.3W 28.2N 89.7W 29.8N 93.2W
BAMD 26.3N 81.9W 29.9N 88.3W 33.8N 91.8W 37.1N 91.4W
BAMM 25.2N 80.6W 27.6N 85.7W 29.8N 89.9W 31.9N 92.5W
LBAR 25.5N 81.1W 28.5N 86.2W 31.8N 88.7W 35.5N 87.1W
SHIP 45KTS 50KTS 54KTS 58KTS
DSHP 45KTS 48KTS 44KTS 29KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 21.3N LONCUR = 71.4W DIRCUR = 297DEG SPDCUR = 12KT
LATM12 = 20.1N LONM12 = 69.0W DIRM12 = 297DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 19.6N LONM24 = 67.3W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 30KT
CENPRS = 1012MB OUTPRS = 1016MB OUTRAD = 175NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
AdamFirst wrote:The Euro is hanging on to the belief that 97L won't even develop.
Hurricane wrote:The models shift more west every run. I think the final landfall is going to be farther west than what most of us think.
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests