ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE - DISCUSSION

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#2041 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:15 pm

D-Max should give South Florida a good soaker
0 likes   

Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

#2042 Postby Dean4Storms » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:17 pm

If this ULL weakens any or puts anymore distance between itself and 03 we could have sudden deepening. These systems that struggle for so long seem to really take advantage of any improving conditions. I also think the NW movement could be due to both the ULL and the sudden deepening we saw earlier today. I think if we see any more sudden and rapid deepening this could help 03 to turn more poleward even if only for a short time.
0 likes   

User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4218
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE - DISCUSSION

#2043 Postby Macrocane » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:17 pm

I think that the NHC will wait for convection to refire to upgrade it to Bonnie even if the plane found TS force winds.
0 likes   

User avatar
StormTracker
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2903
Age: 59
Joined: Thu Jun 29, 2006 6:06 am
Location: Quail Heights(Redlands), FL.

Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE - DISCUSSION

#2044 Postby StormTracker » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:17 pm

eastcoastFL wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:It has been said over and over, remove the image tags if you are going to quote a post with an image.


if that was meant for me i dont even know what a image tag is. lol

When you quote someone's post that contains an image you see these:[img][/img]
Those are what you must remove so that your post doesn't show the image(s) all over again and waste bandwidth therefore slowing down the forum! Especially at busy times like now!
0 likes   
Something's wrong when you regret, things that haven't happened yet!

User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10147
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE - DISCUSSION

#2045 Postby Blown Away » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:19 pm

ROCK wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/comp/ceus/flash-wv.html


fixin to get sandwiched.....cloud tops warming....just a bubbling a burst here or there....


Rock, if the EURO swings back to Texas are you going to say this is the best the system has looked so far? :lol:
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05... EYE COMING MY WAY IN 2024…
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145382
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re:

#2046 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:22 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:recon found 43kt fl winds and sfmr of 46kts.. it very likely Bonnie


That 46 was flagged but there was 45 unflagged.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

supercane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2858
Joined: Wed Sep 16, 2009 8:27 pm

Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE - DISCUSSION

#2047 Postby supercane » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:22 pm

tolakram wrote:I place the center between two areas of convection, and it appears SW outflow is improving. Any thoughts on this?


Too far north per latest recon, new vortex to follow shortly.
0 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: Re:

#2048 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:25 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:recon found 43kt fl winds and sfmr of 46kts.. it very likely Bonnie


That 46 was flagged but there was 45 unflagged.


yeah saw that after..
0 likes   

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11162
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE - DISCUSSION

#2049 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:26 pm

Uncontaminated SFMR reading of 52mph (45 knots).

210430 2300N 07445W 9875 00181 0080 238 214 110041 043 045 017 00
0 likes   
Michael

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#2050 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:27 pm

Pressure keeps dropping 1005.6 mb
0 likes   

User avatar
Bocadude85
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2991
Age: 38
Joined: Mon Apr 18, 2005 2:20 pm
Location: Honolulu,Hi

Re:

#2051 Postby Bocadude85 » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:28 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:recon found 43kt fl winds and sfmr of 46kts.. it very likely Bonnie



With the convection weakening as much as it has I am not sure they would upgrade
0 likes   

User avatar
Tireman4
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5853
Age: 59
Joined: Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:08 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

#2052 Postby Tireman4 » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:28 pm

I am taking a wait and see attitude. I figure it will be at least Friday before we know anything positive, if not Saturday. Just my opinion. I am just a little ol' ant here.


Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
0 likes   

User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10147
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re:

#2053 Postby Blown Away » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:28 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Pressure keeps dropping 1005.6 mb


And TD3 keeps moving NW, got to be a tiny wind field!
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05... EYE COMING MY WAY IN 2024…
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…

Weatherfreak000

#2054 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:31 pm

Red convection re-firing again. I think this could be upgraded to Bonnie at 8. It's going to have another nice D-Max tonight.
0 likes   

redfish1
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 125
Age: 44
Joined: Thu Jun 17, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Port Arthur, Tx

Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE - DISCUSSION

#2055 Postby redfish1 » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:33 pm

the nw movement is not going to last long....unless it decides to run right through the high :lol: :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
tailgater
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3339
Joined: Sun Jul 11, 2004 9:13 pm
Location: St. Amant La.

Re:

#2056 Postby tailgater » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:38 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Pressure keeps dropping 1005.6 mb

Along with 20 knots surface winds.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7183
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:

Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE - DISCUSSION

#2057 Postby jlauderdal » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:40 pm

Image
0 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

#2058 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:42 pm

A8CC4
Temperature: 84 °F
Dew Point: - °F
Humidity: -%
Wind: SE at 55mph
Pressure: 29.78in
Precipitation: -in
Daily Precip.: -in
0 likes   

User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9476
Age: 34
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:

#2059 Postby brunota2003 » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:43 pm

Where'd that 55 mph come from?
0 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re:

#2060 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 22, 2010 4:45 pm

brunota2003 wrote:Where'd that 55 mph come from?


BUOYA8CC4 east quad...very close to center..

lat: 22.70
lon: -74.60
0 likes   


Return to “2010”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 5 guests