ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE - DISCUSSION
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If this ULL weakens any or puts anymore distance between itself and 03 we could have sudden deepening. These systems that struggle for so long seem to really take advantage of any improving conditions. I also think the NW movement could be due to both the ULL and the sudden deepening we saw earlier today. I think if we see any more sudden and rapid deepening this could help 03 to turn more poleward even if only for a short time.
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE - DISCUSSION
I think that the NHC will wait for convection to refire to upgrade it to Bonnie even if the plane found TS force winds.
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE - DISCUSSION
eastcoastFL wrote:Ivanhater wrote:It has been said over and over, remove the image tags if you are going to quote a post with an image.
if that was meant for me i dont even know what a image tag is. lol
When you quote someone's post that contains an image you see these:[img][/img]
Those are what you must remove so that your post doesn't show the image(s) all over again and waste bandwidth therefore slowing down the forum! Especially at busy times like now!
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE - DISCUSSION
ROCK wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/comp/ceus/flash-wv.html
fixin to get sandwiched.....cloud tops warming....just a bubbling a burst here or there....
Rock, if the EURO swings back to Texas are you going to say this is the best the system has looked so far?

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Re:
Aric Dunn wrote:recon found 43kt fl winds and sfmr of 46kts.. it very likely Bonnie
That 46 was flagged but there was 45 unflagged.
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE - DISCUSSION
tolakram wrote:I place the center between two areas of convection, and it appears SW outflow is improving. Any thoughts on this?
Too far north per latest recon, new vortex to follow shortly.
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE - DISCUSSION
Uncontaminated SFMR reading of 52mph (45 knots).
210430 2300N 07445W 9875 00181 0080 238 214 110041 043 045 017 00
210430 2300N 07445W 9875 00181 0080 238 214 110041 043 045 017 00
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Re:
Aric Dunn wrote:recon found 43kt fl winds and sfmr of 46kts.. it very likely Bonnie
With the convection weakening as much as it has I am not sure they would upgrade
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I am taking a wait and see attitude. I figure it will be at least Friday before we know anything positive, if not Saturday. Just my opinion. I am just a little ol' ant here.
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Re:
HURAKAN wrote:Pressure keeps dropping 1005.6 mb
And TD3 keeps moving NW, got to be a tiny wind field!
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE - DISCUSSION
the nw movement is not going to last long....unless it decides to run right through the high



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Re:
HURAKAN wrote:Pressure keeps dropping 1005.6 mb
Along with 20 knots surface winds.
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