ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE - DISCUSSION

[x-y-no]

Heavy rain on Ft. Lauderdale Beach now ... not much wind though - I'd estimate NE at 10 knots, maybe.

[KWT]

Some decent rains coming through but really thatsd likely to be about it from this one. Its barely keeping itself going due to the constant upper level interfernce going on.

[StormClouds63]

First look at Bonnie this morning, and she still looks rather unimpressive. The 5 a.m. NHC discussion hinted at the possibility of weakening. Shear continues. Unless the upper air flow changes quickly, Bonnie looks to remain a rather weak TS across the GOM. No one here is complaining.

[shell70]

Greetings from the sunny coast of South Alabama. Woke up to Tropical Storm Watch. Skies are sunny at the moment but the local weather said that clouds would start rolling in today. Maybe it will keep the temps down some today so my ac doesn't have to run full strength. Looks like a lot of rain for us and a little wind. And the situation with the oil appears that Bonnie will push the oil South and make help break it up. I am going to try to get out and take pictures as the storm get closer on Saturday and Sunday. Everyone in the path stay safe.

[Stormcenter]

As most of you know I have not been on the Bonnie bandwagon at all when comes to her becoming anything much more then what she is now. But after saying that we all know when dealing with tropical systems they sometimes throw you a curve ball. What I'm trying to say is that even though she doesn't look too healthy right now once she hits the GOM crazy things "sometimes" happen. The good thing is she is moving very fast so time will not be on her side and conditions are still hostile in the upper levels. It should be interesting.

[Sanibel]

This is just a weak feature on a large ULL dominating the Gulf:


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-wv.html

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[StormClouds63]

This is just a weak feature on a large ULL dominating the Gulf:


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-wv.html

That darn ULL is large enough to cover most of the GOM! Shear and dry air will make Bonnie's trek across the Gulf a rather unpleasant one. At least it's moving at a pretty good clip.

By Monday, we'll all be looking for Colin. The way the Atlantic basin looks now, we may be looking for quite a while. I think our pal Joe had a different idea. We'll see.

[Stormcenter]

That is a massive ULL. Even Katrina would have had a hard time dealing with that.

This is just a weak feature on a large ULL dominating the Gulf:


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-wv.html

[imetrice]

Wow! Looking at that ULL, it almost looks like it is dragging Bonnie up behind it. I have a hard time imagining her trekking through it, but I can see what looks like it 'pulling' her up and north. Of course that is just my untrained amateur eye.

[StormClouds63]

Bonnie is a textbook illustration of why SSTs are overrated. Those temperatures are important, but upper air flow is the key. Like the previous poster pointed out, even Katrina couldn't deal with that huge ULL presently sitting in the middle of the GOM.

[Cuber]

Here at work in Hobe Sound for about an hour now ... no rain ... wind is just a bit breezier than normal ... sure hope someone gets some rain out of this ... and Florida1118, I was hoping to follow your advice and not run the sprinklers for a couple days but with the extra breeze drying out the plants and the current look of the radar from the SFWMD, I'm running sprinklers when I get home.

[PTrackerLA]

Glad to say this looks like a relative non-event for south Florida and hopefully the same for the gulf coast. I had a hard time seeing why the models never strengthened this in the gulf but looking at the water vapor loop now it's obvious what the models were seeing. Hopefully this won't spoil my weekend in Perdido as much as originally thought. May see some nice waves Sunday .

[Blown Away]

This thread certainly died.

If you want this thread to get going again post the EURO is bringing Bonnie to Texas again! Then you will see some action!

Cloudy, light rain, and breezy here in WPB. Definitely know there is a tropical system overhead! Always enjoy watching the fast moving clouds!

[petit_bois]

Glad to say this looks like a relative non-event for south Florida and hopefully the same for the gulf coast. I had a hard time seeing why the models never strengthened this in the gulf but looking at the water vapor loop now it's obvious what the models were seeing. Hopefully this won't spoil my weekend in Perdido as much as originally thought. May see some nice waves Sunday .

forcast here at the beach is 80% rain windy and yes... 6-10 ft waves.

[Stormcenter]

ULLs are one (of many) thing you really can't predict when and where they will be when annual forecasts are made. They are truely the fly in the ointment. We keep these (ULL)around and 2010 may really turn out to be a bust quantity wise. But remember it only takes one major storm to make it a bad season.

[Aquawind]

Bonnie is a textbook illustration of why SSTs are overrated. Those temperatures are important, but upper air flow is the key. Like the previous poster pointed out, even Katrina couldn't deal with that huge ULL presently sitting in the middle of the GOM.

Well Said! ALOT more to it than SSTs..

[ObsessedMiami]

Miami dodges another bullet in that the track goes right thru our backyard but this time with little development.. Let us be thankful and hope our friends over the Gulf are as lucky.

[eastcoastFL]

Im in boca right now, its very boring. Just dark and light wind.

[petit_bois]

This system is looking like nothing more than a small byproduct of a much larger feature... the massive ULL covering the entire GOM. Water vapor loop is VERY telling.