ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE - DISCUSSION
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- eastcoastFL
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- eastcoastFL
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is there a back side of this storm?
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- petit_bois
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Re:
eastcoastFL wrote:http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=AMX&product=NCR&overlay=11101111&loop=yes
is that the center east of key largo?
hard to see anything moving from west to east there. She may be open at this point.
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Resident of the Atlantic Basin's Major Hurricane Hit Capital!
Camille (200+winds), Frederic, Goerges, Katrina... and many many more.
Disclaimer: I'm likely the smartest guy here... but I have no idea where a tropical cyclone will go. I suggest you take my opinion as a grain of salt. I suggest you look to the National Hurricane Center for accurate info.
Camille (200+winds), Frederic, Goerges, Katrina... and many many more.
Disclaimer: I'm likely the smartest guy here... but I have no idea where a tropical cyclone will go. I suggest you take my opinion as a grain of salt. I suggest you look to the National Hurricane Center for accurate info.
>>We keep these (ULL)around and 2010 may really turn out to be a bust quantity wise.
Actually these types of "concentric" upper level lows which migrate throughout the basin in the early part of the season are often signatures of both active and US-threat seasons. You most often see them in +/- El Neutral years whereas you often have persistent tutt lows in strong El Nino years and splitting troughs in strong La Nina years. While it seems they are inhibitors now, that's not going to be the case as the pattern evolves. Trust me on that.
Actually these types of "concentric" upper level lows which migrate throughout the basin in the early part of the season are often signatures of both active and US-threat seasons. You most often see them in +/- El Neutral years whereas you often have persistent tutt lows in strong El Nino years and splitting troughs in strong La Nina years. While it seems they are inhibitors now, that's not going to be the case as the pattern evolves. Trust me on that.
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM BONNIE - DISCUSSION
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-avn.html
look behind bonnie has she left something behind for us to get excited about?
look behind bonnie has she left something behind for us to get excited about?
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CARTERET COUNTY NC
- Bocadude85
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM BONNIE - DISCUSSION
One gust of wind and the power goes out... go figure
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM BONNIE - DISCUSSION
Bocadude85 wrote:One gust of wind and the power goes out... go figure
so you've lost power in Boca?
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- Bocadude85
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM BONNIE - DISCUSSION
artist wrote:Bocadude85 wrote:One gust of wind and the power goes out... go figure
so you've lost power in Boca?
Nope I am at work in Deerfield Beach..power was off for about 20mins or so as one of the heavier squalls moved through.
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Re:
I'm not saying because of this ULL this is not going to be an active season.
All I'm saying if we have them around at the right times they are truely a blessing.
I take them (storms) one at a time. If we don't have this ULL in GOM right now I'm pretty confident Bonnie is much more of a problem for everyone especially the GOM coastline. IMO
All I'm saying if we have them around at the right times they are truely a blessing.
I take them (storms) one at a time. If we don't have this ULL in GOM right now I'm pretty confident Bonnie is much more of a problem for everyone especially the GOM coastline. IMO
Steve wrote:>>We keep these (ULL)around and 2010 may really turn out to be a bust quantity wise.
Actually these types of "concentric" upper level lows which migrate throughout the basin in the early part of the season are often signatures of both active and US-threat seasons. You most often see them in +/- El Neutral years whereas you often have persistent tutt lows in strong El Nino years and splitting troughs in strong La Nina years. While it seems they are inhibitors now, that's not going to be the case as the pattern evolves. Trust me on that.
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM BONNIE - DISCUSSION
sandyb wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-avn.html
look behind bonnie has she left something behind for us to get excited about?
I think that's the moisture Joe B. had mentioned the other day when he hinted at possible development later next week. I don't subscribe to his service, so I don't know if he still believes development possible next week in the GOM. If you look at an overall water vapor image of the entire Atlantic basin, things don't look conducive for any significant development in the next few days. Lots of shear, ULLs, and dry air ... but things can change rather quickly. IMO, we wait until August before we see a hint of Colin.
Bonnie not looking well ATM. Perhaps she drops back down to TD status later today. Looks like the west/northwest track established.
Last edited by StormClouds63 on Fri Jul 23, 2010 9:17 am, edited 1 time in total.
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>>I'm not saying because of this ULL this is not going to be an active season. All I'm saying if we have them around at the right times they are truely a blessing. I take them (storms) one at a time. If we don't have this ULL in GOM right now I'm pretty confident Bonnie is much more of a problem for everyone especially the GOM coastline. IMO
I understood what you were saying, but I wanted to point out that it's definitely an ominous signal for August-September.
I understood what you were saying, but I wanted to point out that it's definitely an ominous signal for August-September.
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM BONNIE - DISCUSSION
A recent convective blow-up should help keep Bonnie as a TS. All she is really doing is tailgating the massive ULL. That's a massive ULL, I'm surprised we have one so big in late July during a La Nina. I wonder if we'll see any more this season.
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- eastcoastFL
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Its raining pretty hard right now! Wind picked up
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re:
I and I'm sure many others are hoping those "onimous" signs don't pan out.
Steve wrote:>>I'm not saying because of this ULL this is not going to be an active season. All I'm saying if we have them around at the right times they are truely a blessing. I take them (storms) one at a time. If we don't have this ULL in GOM right now I'm pretty confident Bonnie is much more of a problem for everyone especially the GOM coastline. IMO
I understood what you were saying, but I wanted to point out that it's definitely an ominous signal for August-September.
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM BONNIE - DISCUSSION
Windy http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=fwyf1
Code: Select all
ID T1 TIME LAT LON DIST HDG WDIR WSPD GST WVHT DPD APD MWD PRES PTDY
(GMT) nm °T °T kts kts ft sec sec °T in in
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FWYF1 C 1400 25.59 -80.10 0 0 70 40 46 - - - - 29.82 -0.08
Last edited by xironman on Fri Jul 23, 2010 9:29 am, edited 1 time in total.
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- hurricanefloyd5
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM BONNIE - DISCUSSION
homestead looks to be a landfall area??!!!!!!!!!
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- Category 5
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM BONNIE - DISCUSSION
Looks like we are really gonna luck out with Bonnie, if not for this shear, I don't wanna think about it.
Important to remember, weak or not, it won't take a cat 3 to push more oil ashore, and its gonna come in at a bad angle it looks like when it makes landfall in the gulf, it will be weak, but the main impact will likely be oil.
Important to remember, weak or not, it won't take a cat 3 to push more oil ashore, and its gonna come in at a bad angle it looks like when it makes landfall in the gulf, it will be weak, but the main impact will likely be oil.
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- Bocadude85
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM BONNIE - DISCUSSION
Another pretty good rain squall coming through right now
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- ConvergenceZone
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM BONNIE - DISCUSSION
Welcome back KWT
...I was wondering where you were yesterday in the heat of excitement....
I've been hoping this storm would get going, but as I mentioned last night, it just hasn't looked that healthy, like it wanted to get going but the shear was just too much...As they say, you never say never in the tropics, but this tiny storm doesn't look like it's going to do much.


I've been hoping this storm would get going, but as I mentioned last night, it just hasn't looked that healthy, like it wanted to get going but the shear was just too much...As they say, you never say never in the tropics, but this tiny storm doesn't look like it's going to do much.
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