How many named storms will form in August?

[chepps]

I picked six storms!

[Cyclone1]

8 formed in August 2004, if you count Alex.

I voted 6.

[StormClouds63]

3 named storms.

3/2/1

Beware Ms. Danielle.

Numbers will continue to lag behind early season predictions.

[cycloneye]

A horeserace has developed between 5 and 6 with 3 and 4 close behind. Lets see by the time the poll closes next Saturday at 7:59 PM EDT these two or more options are tied or close one to another.

[KWT]

I'll go with 4/2/1 for August, unless the 2nd half is real busy I can't personally see go above 4...that'll be left for September...

[Ptarmigan]

I think it is possible to see 8. It would not surprise me prior to 1851, that there were seasons that had +8 storms in a month. Something tells me this lull will give way to a very active August.

[ConvergenceZone]

I'll go with 4/2/1 for August, unless the 2nd half is real busy I can't personally see go above 4...that'll be left for September...

The only reason my numbers aren't higher because I like to see some type of transition or pattern change occuring a couple weeks ahead of it getting active, and so far I don't see anything in the Atlantic or Carib that's showing a pattern change in a week or two. And afterall it's almost already August.

[Scorpion]

5/4/2

[BigA]

Some statistics which might be of use in our prognostications:

Between 1950 and 2009, the August averages of named storms/hurricanes/major hurricanes have been:

For all years: 2.81/1.65/0.92

For La Nina years: 3.07/2.07/1.14

For neutral years: 2.97/1.77/1.07

For El Nino years: 2.27/1.00/0.55

For the most recent active period (1995-2009): 3.87/1.93/1.07

[cycloneye]

Some statistics which might be of use in our prognostications:

Between 1950 and 2009, the August averages of named storms/hurricanes/major hurricanes have been:

For all years: 2.81/1.65/0.92

For La Nina years: 3.07/2.07/1.14

For neutral years: 2.97/1.77/1.07

For El Nino years: 2.27/1.00/0.55

For the most recent active period (1995-2009): 3.87/1.93/1.07

Good stats there.

[Decomdoug]

I voted for 5 named TS. Season will be ramping up pretty quickly in August.

[HURAKAN]

Using 1969 as a comparison, 5 sounds right.

[Tireman4]

I said.. 4...but what do I know...LOL

[Texas2Florida]

I'm thinking 5/4/3, one will cross over into September.

[wzrgirl1]

4

[Sanibel]

From the feel of it down here we are only a few weeks away from Charley conditions.

[TheBurn]

4... about 1 per week

[blazess556]

I went with 6. looks like the season will begin to pick up in activity.

[cycloneye]

Less than 3 days left for the poll to remain open for those who still have not voted. A very good race between 4-5-6 options and lets see if the poll reaches 100+ votes. A reminder that the poll closes at 7:59 PM EDT on the 31rst.

[ConvergenceZone]

Remember after August is over to post the results of the number of storms August actually had ....
I'm still in the 2 to 3 camp.... Perhaps 1 the first week, 1 the third week and 1 the fourth week.