Global model runs discussion

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Ivanhater
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Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1301 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Jul 28, 2010 1:24 am

And Nogaps (South Florida into the GOM, and out into the ATL)

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Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1302 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Jul 28, 2010 1:58 am

0z wed EURO

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xcool22

#1303 Postby xcool22 » Wed Jul 28, 2010 2:02 am

door open now in gulf mexico :(
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Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1304 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Jul 28, 2010 2:04 am

relax xcool...you & ivan make one heck of a tag team....like the Demoliton in the WWF days :D
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xcool22

#1305 Postby xcool22 » Wed Jul 28, 2010 2:07 am

lmaoo
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#1306 Postby TwisterFanatic » Wed Jul 28, 2010 2:13 am

Is that developing system near PR on the EURO?
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Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1307 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Jul 28, 2010 2:28 am

LoL WARRIOR....the warning shot has been shot imo..interesting to see the EURO coming on board with this development. Not looking good for us gulf of mexico community
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xcool22

#1308 Postby xcool22 » Wed Jul 28, 2010 2:32 am

man i wish can posting ECMWF from accuweather .
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Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1309 Postby wxman22 » Wed Jul 28, 2010 2:38 am

Euro looks very interesting

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#1310 Postby KWT » Wed Jul 28, 2010 4:13 am

The ECM is much slower with the forward speed but the models are all developing the same region from the looks of things...and the fact we have something on the 0z ECM is very interesting, that model usually isn't too keen on development at times.
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Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1311 Postby floridasun78 » Wed Jul 28, 2010 4:14 am

ok this look like showtime for tropical this coming . could be last weekend without tropical system so EVERYONE NEED RECHECK YOUR SUPPLY. because here come train this not one you want be on .i bad feeling that not many both coast gulf and atlantic that are ready even those on islands. so i hope everyone enjoy this weekend and get ready. alex and bonnie was warring shot real deal are coming not all will be like weak bonnie.
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Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1312 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 28, 2010 6:15 am

blp wrote:When does the PARA GFS take over tomorrow? Which run?


At the 12z run.
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Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1313 Postby ronjon » Wed Jul 28, 2010 6:24 am

More activity on the 06Z GFS operational in the long range.

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Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1314 Postby blp » Wed Jul 28, 2010 8:08 am

cycloneye wrote:
blp wrote:When does the PARA GFS take over tomorrow? Which run?


At the 12z run.


Thanks, do you know if the Old GFS one is going to stay around is some capacity or does it just disappear. The reason I ask is because it is almost like having another model since so far it has different results than the PARA.
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Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1315 Postby tolakram » Wed Jul 28, 2010 8:13 am

CMC now has development at the 60 hour timeframe, so I think this might be believable as an area to watch, but like I said before, the CMC past 72 seems to be bugged and will always develop anything already started at the 72 hour point, so past 72 I simply don't believe it.

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Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1316 Postby SFLcane » Wed Jul 28, 2010 8:24 am

:eek:

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Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1317 Postby hurricaneCW » Wed Jul 28, 2010 8:26 am

If the gfs is right, then the storms could take aim at Florida and the southeast coast. The high doesn't look too strong to send storms due west in the Caribbean or gulf, but it's not weak enough to take storms out to sea either.
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Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1318 Postby wxman57 » Wed Jul 28, 2010 8:27 am

blp wrote:
Thanks, do you know if the Old GFS one is going to stay around is some capacity or does it just disappear. The reason I ask is because it is almost like having another model since so far it has different results than the PARA.


Once it's gone, it's gone, I do believe. It won't be run any longer.
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Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1319 Postby Blown Away » Wed Jul 28, 2010 8:30 am

SFLcane wrote::eek:

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That system east of SFL, is that the one the GFS spins out to sea? Can't tell if the high is building in or weakening as that system approaches.
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Re: Long / Medium Range Model Runs

#1320 Postby Riptide » Wed Jul 28, 2010 8:31 am

wxman57 wrote:
blp wrote:
Thanks, do you know if the Old GFS one is going to stay around is some capacity or does it just disappear. The reason I ask is because it is almost like having another model since so far it has different results than the PARA.


Once it's gone, it's gone, I do believe. It won't be run any longer.

I think we will all miss the epic model pornography. :wink:
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