Very Strange Paragraph in HRD discussion tonight. Tell this person today is Wednesday.
"SYNOPTIC SITUATION
The system that was east of the Bahamas yesterday has become better organized today. There appears to be a center forming in late afternoon just southeast of Eluthera in the Bahamas, at about 26N, 76.5W, although Air Force reco found no closed circulation earlier at 2pm. Flight level winds near gale force were found in the convection. The system has developed a well-defined outflow. Air Froce reco aircraft will investigate again tonight at 8 pm and tomorrow morning as well.
The system will be over Florida late tomorrow, moving at about 12 kt or 5 deg per day. <b> It likely will emerge into the Gulf on Saturday and Sunday and present the strong potential for developing into a tropical storm and hurricane in the central Gulf on Monday or Tuesday.</b>
The upper cold low over Jamaica has weakened and moved west since yesterday. Elsewhere, the tropics remain pretty quiet. Waves continue to roll off Africa and dissipate. Global models do predict the next African wave now just inland from the coast to develop somewhat after emerging into the Atlantic.
Pete B.
HFP.HRD Group Mail System [/b]
HRD - STRANGE Discussion!
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wxman57
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HRD - STRANGE Discussion!
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ALhurricane
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JetMaxx
I believe they meant to say 12 kt per hour (or 14 mph); which would be about 5 degrees in longitude westward per day.
I also agree this system has a good potential to become a hurricane in the GOM; and possibly a quite strong one. If the winds aloft are favorable, both climatology and the very warm SST in the entire GOM favor intensification.
A heavy rainmaker (with gusty winds) for south Florida....but possibly much more serious for NE Mexico, or more likely the Texas Coast by Sunday August 17 (which just happens to be the anniversary of some a couple nasty GOM hurricanes...Camille and the severe 1915 Galveston hurricane; and Alicia struck on 8/18/83).
I also agree this system has a good potential to become a hurricane in the GOM; and possibly a quite strong one. If the winds aloft are favorable, both climatology and the very warm SST in the entire GOM favor intensification.
A heavy rainmaker (with gusty winds) for south Florida....but possibly much more serious for NE Mexico, or more likely the Texas Coast by Sunday August 17 (which just happens to be the anniversary of some a couple nasty GOM hurricanes...Camille and the severe 1915 Galveston hurricane; and Alicia struck on 8/18/83).
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wxman57
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kt
JetMaxx wrote:I believe they meant to say 12 kt per hour (or 14 mph); which would be about 5 degrees in longitude westward per day.
No, the proper term is 12 knots, as a knot is 1 nautical mile per hour. It's improper to say "kts per hour" as you're saying "nautical miles per hour per hour".
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