ATL: Ex COLIN - Models

[Wx_Warrior]

NGOM....lots will be sweating if this verifies.

[Ivanhater]

192



216



240

[ROCK]

is that heading towards texas on the euro?

more like LA from the looks of it.....but still just one run at 240hrs....thats like winning the lotto...slim odds

[Wx_Warrior]

0z CMC still out to sea?

[Ivanhater]

Yall dont get hung up on the details right now...someone is probably going to be dealing with a strong Hurricane in a week.

[South Texas Storms]

most people seem to think this wont hit the western gom. most seem to think a n gom to fish system

[TwisterFanatic]

0z CMC still out to sea?

Hugging the east coast now.

[ROCK]

Ivan that is concerning because any deviation in strengthn of ridging, SV dropping through could very well send this up into NGOM or FL....still to far out to really give credence.....right now a good bet it PR or a little north of that....

[Brent]

at 240.

[South Texas Storms]

Ivan that is concerning because any deviation in strengthn of ridging, SV dropping through could very well send this up into NGOM or FL....still to far out to really give credence.....right now a good bet it PR or a little north of that....

rock are you a little concerned about it maybe hitting you?

[ROCK]

Yall dont get hung up on the details right now...someone is probably going to be dealing with a strong Hurricane in a week.

Agreed.. the details are pointless....to many varaibles out there right now in the long range....

[Ivanhater]

Ivan that is concerning because any deviation in strengthn of ridging, SV dropping through could very well send this up into NGOM or FL....still to far out to really give credence.....right now a good bet it PR or a little north of that....

Yep ROCK, every model now has a Hurricane around the NE Islands. They need to be preparing first. The Gommers have plenty of time to watch it play out.

[ROCK]

Ivan that is concerning because any deviation in strengthn of ridging, SV dropping through could very well send this up into NGOM or FL....still to far out to really give credence.....right now a good bet it PR or a little north of that....

rock are you a little concerned about it maybe hitting you?

No....not concerned at all...I am concerned about PR and islands....then it will be FL then if it slips into the GOM....more concernd about the NGOM group.....

[South Texas Storms]

why are you doubting a texas landfall? its so far out...anything can happen.

[Ivanhater]

why are you doubting a texas landfall? its so far out...anything can happen.

Listen, we just don't know right now. Strong consensus has a strong system hitting the Islands right now so our attention turns to them. We will discuss the U.S in further details in a couple days. Right now we don't even have a system.

[southerngale]

why are you doubting a texas landfall? its so far out...anything can happen.

Its a long way out. Nobody knows IF it will even get into the GOM, much less where it will go if it does. Just read and watch the model trends. You said it - anything can happen and there's a lot of land east of Texas to be concerned about right now.

[ROCK]

why are you doubting a texas landfall? its so far out...anything can happen.

Doubting?......I have reservations of the fact that IF it does slip through the straits it will get far enough west before rounding the ridge.....also we are talking 240...thats long range...semi la la land for the EURO...

[Ivanhater]

00z UKMET

[southerngale]

0z Euro loop

[Wx_Warrior]

I didn't think the EURO had this much emphasis on systems?