WPAC: Ex DIANMU

[StormingB81]

Back at it again with Invest 96. Although there is no image available so I do not know where it is at. I will post more when I get info.

[StormingB81]

Found more info:

A developing LPA (96W/1008 MB) was spotted near Yap Is., about 1,460 km East of Northern Mindanao (9.0N 139.5E)...moving WNW slowly. Weak InterTropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) [aka. Monsoon Trough] affecting Southern Luzon, Palawan, Visayas & Mindanao

and here is the possibilty page..getting up there:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/TCFP/da ... xyrfpr.png

[Typhoon10]

Found more info:

A developing LPA (96W/1008 MB) was spotted near Yap Is., about 1,460 km East of Northern Mindanao (9.0N 139.5E)...moving WNW slowly. Weak InterTropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) [aka. Monsoon Trough] affecting Southern Luzon, Palawan, Visayas & Mindanao

and here is the possibilty page..getting up there:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/TCFP/da ... xyrfpr.png

Interesting, I think its in a good area to develop. Your link also shows strong possibility for one in the South China Sea

[StormingB81]

Like they were saying last week this oculd be an interesting week I saw that storm between China and PI..gotta watch both

[Typhoon10]

Like they were saying last week this oculd be an interesting week I saw that storm between China and PI..gotta watch both

Yeah until Thursday going to be very hot here, from what understand, makes it deal weather for storms to brew

[StormingB81]

We are finally dry here. After a week full of rain it is nice to see the sun again...lol now we look south of us and see what may be in store and for who.

[Chacor]

This must be the one NWS Guam have been talking about. They've been expecting this to develop.

[Typhoon10]

This must be the one NWS Guam have been talking about. They've been expecting this to develop.

Do you mean the one in CPAC or different one?

Here is the pic

[Chacor]

NWS Guam is located in the WPac, why would they be talking about 92C?

[Typhoon Hunter]

JMA listing this as an LPA now:

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 11N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY.

[StormingB81]

I think August is going to be a big month. if these storms stay like this and with the warm waters I think we may start seeing storms

[StormingB81]

LPA (96W/1006 MB) reorganizing near Palau, about 990 km East of Northern Mindanao (8.4N 135.3E)...barely moving. Weak InterTropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) [aka. Monsoon Trough] affecting Palawan, Visayas & Mindanao.

The 48-hour Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential for LPA 96W located near Palau Island is at 50%.

See what happends.....

[dexterlabio]

Who does have a link here on the current wind shear in the western pacific and south china sea? Thank you.

[Typhoon Hunter]

LPA (96W/1006 MB) reorganizing near Palau, about 990 km East of Northern Mindanao (8.4N 135.3E)...barely moving. Weak InterTropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) [aka. Monsoon Trough] affecting Palawan, Visayas & Mindanao.

The 48-hour Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential for LPA 96W located near Palau Island is at 50%.

See what happends.....

Good to include source when posting information like that - http://www.typhoon2000.ph/t2kgraphsat.gif

Here's link to wind shear tendency chart - http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=westpac&sat=wgms&prod=sht&zoom=&time=

[KWT]

I think August is going to be a big month. if these storms stay like this and with the warm waters I think we may start seeing storms

Well 1998 started to finally get going in August but alas the long range models really don't show all that much at the moment...

[dhoeze]

LPA (96W/1006 MB) reorganizing near Palau, about 990 km East of Northern Mindanao (8.4N 135.3E)...barely moving. Weak InterTropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) [aka. Monsoon Trough] affecting Palawan, Visayas & Mindanao.

The 48-hour Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential for LPA 96W located near Palau Island is at 50%.

See what happends.....

Good to include source when posting information like that - http://www.typhoon2000.ph/t2kgraphsat.gif

Here's link to wind shear tendency chart - http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=westpac&sat=wgms&prod=sht&zoom=&time=

Hi Typhoon Hunter,

Sorry, but can you teach me on how to understand the chart.
What does shear tendency tells us?

Sorry just a new guy here learning from you guys.
Thanks!

[supercane]

Tropical Cyclone 96W

03 Aug 2010 0000Z
Location: 10.7 135.6
Winds: 15 knots
Central Pressure: 1010 hPa

From JMA:

WWJP25 RJTD 021800
WARNING AND SUMMARY 021800.
<snip>
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 13N 133E WNW SLOWLY.
<snip>

[supercane]

[StormingB81]

Well JMA took this off as being a Low. However NRL still has it as an Invest..see what Happends.

[dexterlabio]

Good to include source when posting information like that - http://www.typhoon2000.ph/t2kgraphsat.gif

Here's link to wind shear tendency chart - http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=westpac&sat=wgms&prod=sht&zoom=&time=

That wind shear tendency chart is useful to predict whether a disturbance has a high chance of developing into a cyclone. Thank you, Typhoon Hunter.

Basing on that chart and this (http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=westpac&sat=wgms&prod=shr&zoom=&time=), there is quite strong shear on the waters east of the islands of Visayas and Mindanao. On the eastern seas of Luzon, the shear is relaxed. I think the storms coming up would be forming east of Luzon and passing through Northern Luzon-Taiwan area.