Florida Weather

[thetruesms]

I should get a gauge set up, be a part of CoCoRaHS . . . I just have nowhere at my place that I could put it where it wouldn't be subject to a ton of error

[KWT]

Looks like its about to become very wet in S.Florida looking at the radar, heavy rain spreading up with some storms on the front edge towards SE Florida.

Will be interesting to see how much rain ends up falling in some parts.

[JonathanBelles]

93-97 today in the Tampa Bay area...95-99 for the next few days. Certainly heating up. Going from record tying territory to new records. Tropical wave near PR may moisten things up by late week.

[Bocadude85]

The wind has been blowing at a pretty decent clip here in Boca for the last few days... high pressure is definately in control

[tronbunny]

FloridaToday.com
July 26, 2010

July could be driest since 1955

BY MICHELLE SPITZER
FLORIDA TODAY

With slim chances of rain predicted for the rest of the week, this might end up as the driest July in 55 years.

So far, Melbourne has received .89 inches of rain. The lowest amount on record is .81 inches in 1955. That's the only July on record to see less than an inch of rain.

"There is a possibility that we won't get much rain for the rest of the week, the rest of the month," said Tony Cristaldi, a senior forecaster with the National Weather Service in Melbourne. "We're not seeing anything down the road that would produce a lot of widespread rainfall over Brevard County."

There's a 20 percent chance of rain today with the high temperature near 92, but it will feel like 101.

Rain chances increase slightly to 30 percent by Friday.

Normal rainfall for July is 4.23 inches.

Combined with June's dry weather, Melbourne's seen just 3.79 inches of rain over the two months. Typical for June and July is more than 10 inches.

"It's been a very dry period here over the last couple months, which is very, very unusual," Cristaldi said.

excerpt from http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mlb/data.php?fi ... Bjul04.txt

PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6) , PAGE 2

STATION: MELBOURNE
MONTH: JULY
YEAR: 2004
LATITUDE: 28 6 N
LONGITUDE: 80 39 W

[TEMPERATURE DATA] [PRECIPITATION DATA] SYMBOLS USED IN COLUMN 16

AVERAGE MONTHLY: 81.5 TOTAL FOR MONTH: 2.48
DPTR FM NORMAL: 0.3 DPTR FM NORMAL: -2.90
HIGHEST: 96 ON 6 GRTST 24HR 1.11 ON 31-31 TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS
LOWEST: 69 ON 8

[NO. OF DAYS WITH] [WEATHER - DAYS WITH]
MAX 32 OR BELOW: 0 0.01 INCH OR MORE: 12
MAX 90 OR ABOVE: 18 0.10 INCH OR MORE: 7
MIN 32 OR BELOW: 0 0.50 INCH OR MORE: 1
MIN 0 OR BELOW: 0 1.00 INCH OR MORE: 1

[HDD (BASE 65) ]
TOTAL THIS MO. 0 CLEAR (SCALE 0-3) 23
DPTR FM NORMAL 0 PTCLDY (SCALE 4-7) 7
SEASONAL TOTAL 0 CLOUDY (SCALE 8-10) 0
DPTR FM NORMAL 0

[CDD (BASE 65) ]
TOTAL THIS MO. 520
DPTR FM NORMAL 16 [PRESSURE DATA]
SEASONAL TOTAL 1767 HIGHEST SLP 30.17 ON 10
DPTR FM NORMAL 93 LOWEST SLP 29.86 ON 14

[thetruesms]

Of course, right on the heels of that, it rains in Melbourne .14" certainly isn't a whole lot, but it's better than nothing

[TampaFl]

What I am concerned with is how hot & dry it has been so far this summer:

[url]http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/tbw/TopNews/PDF/MayJuneJuly2010TopTenWarmest_pre.pdf
[/url]

This on top of the coldest/second coldest on record:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/tbw/TopNews/PDF/ColdestStartToAnyYear.pdf

Then so far this summer the Southeast & Florida have been dominated by a very strong 500MB Ridge that has been very persistant. This has put a cap on the normal summer time pattern for afternoon/evening thunderstorms here in the Tampa Bay Area and West Central Florida. Rainfall was below normal for May, June & so far July at TIA (Tampa International Airport). And with August & September left in the rainy season if we do not get at least normal to above rainfall for these next 2 months we are going to be hurting going into the dry season (Oct - May)with the La Nina winter that is expected. La Nina winters typicaly are warm & very dry here in West Central Florida compared to El Nino winters. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tbw/?n=tampabayelninopage.

My question is this: Is there going to be a break in the overall weather pattern over the Southeastern US & Florida in regards to the 500MB high that has been so persistant? And what implications does this have for the rest of the hurricane season for the Southeast & Florida. I would think that if the high persists through August & September would that not be good for Florida as it would steer the storms away from the state plus though continue our hot, dry weather & to not bring us our normal summer time rainy pattern that we typically see this time of year. We have had so far this summer several days where we get our "normal" afternoon/evening thunderstorms then we can go 5-7 sometimes 10 days with no rain at all.

Thoughts and comments welcomed espeacially from any pro mets out there.

Robert

[JonathanBelles]

From Bay News 9:

High today of 102 in Lakeland! That's an all time record high for Lakeland in July. Rainfall of 2.66" in Downtown St. Pete today.

[psyclone]

after years of looking in vain, i finally observed a green flash with the sunset over the gulf on thursday evening. two other women nearby observed it as well and were equally excited. after hundreds of green flashless sunsets, i was convinced the only way to see one was to swing a heineken bottle in front of the setting sun but now i know they really do exist. Awesome!!!

[dizzyfish]

Geez - somebody send me some clouds. 90.5 at 10:30 this morning - feels like 105. UGH!

[Patrick99]

This rainy season sucks. There's just no rain....day after day. Last rain I saw was Bonnie. And that wasn't that substantial.

Nothing but sun. If anything builds up, it occurs way out west, probably in Collier county, and moves further away. There's no natural AC in the form of PM thunderstorms here anymore. You just sit and bake all day long.

Unless we get more tropical weather, we are definitely going to be hurting going into the dry season.......because I'm not sure I see this overall high pressure-pattern breaking.

What I find really odd about this pattern is the lack of morning showers and thunderstorms. Normally, if all the activity is interior and west in the afternoon, I would expect morning storms on the East Coast. That has not been happening all summer. Almost every single morning has been crystal-clear with hardly a cloud.

[thetruesms]

I'd lend you guys some, but I'm rather enjoying having had a full afternoon, evening, and beginning a night's worth of thunderstorms after a couple weeks of constant near misses I was rather sick of heat indices approaching 110 . . . I got enough of that living in Oklahoma

[tronbunny]

For the first time in a while, we got some post-sunset pop-ups in Metro Orlando.
At least the lawn got some water.

[weatherSnoop]

tronbunny, when that happens again, blow really hard to the west. Need a little rain in Tampa

[tronbunny]

tronbunny, when that happens again, blow really hard to the west. Need a little rain in Tampa

I saw a nice short-lived deluge in East Tampa (near orient rd.) on Wed the 28th.
And that was a bit more than we had in this spot tonight.

Gotta be bad when we are so used to rain all summer and we're talking about a couple square miles at less than an inch of rain.

[psyclone]

i had more than 10 inches of rain for the month so we hit the convective jackpot here. of course, a good chunk of that was during the first week of july with the weekend of the 4th a total washout around these parts. that said, the summer rainy season has been atypical thus far, and overall summer seems to be hotter and dryer than normal. for a normal summer day, i look for morning convection offshore, showers streaming onto to east coast, the seabreezes to spark up around noon, meet up somewhere over the interior and big storms to push west and go fishing in the gulf. that typical summer pattern has been virtually non existent this year and the rainy season is half over. with la nina developing we really need the water as those winters tend to be very dry. we got a get out of jail free card this year with the fire season. next year we might not be so lucky.

[weatherSnoop]

Unfortunately, I live west of that hit/miss shower. I was out of town, though my lawn communicated with me when I returned. Yes there was plenty of rain at the start of July...I miss the days of thunderstorms daily

[psyclone]

outstanding summer thunderstorm here tonight with a tremendous light show. probably a solid 2 inches of rain to start off august. looks like lee county is getting hammered too.

[HURAKAN]

I got 2.71 inches of rain

[summersquall]

Here in Jensen Beach, Martin County, I counted three raindrops this afternoon. I watch the radar daily with hope that something will materialize. Cells form and dissipate like magic when they get close to my poor brown lawn. I am happy for all who received some precip this evening.

Colin needs to go fishing but a nice soaker would be much appreciated.



Robyn --- Jensen Beach, FL --- home of the 2010 mini drought