
ATL: Ex COLIN - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - MODELS
Will pick this back up in the a.m. By the looks of things we will have plenty of long days and nights to debate tracks to death.
Got to get sleep while i can. See you guys tomorrow.

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- Ivanhater
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - MODELS
Well the GFS is showing a major pattern change for August, with another trough after the first one


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Michael
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - MODELS
Ivan, that is more like an early fall pattern....NE might have some nice cool weather in the middle of summer....
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - MODELS
ROCK wrote:Ivan, that is more like an early fall pattern....NE might have some nice cool weather in the middle of summer....
Good because this past July has been the hottest in over a decade, but I highly doubt we'll be entering a trough pattern, very unlikely with a La Nina. I think the gfs is unreliable after 5 days anyway, hell even 3 days is too much.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - MODELS
Need some cooliant here....High school football 2-a-days start tomorrow and I'll be out in it!
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- Ivanhater
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - MODELS
00Z Canadian much further south and west..actually clipping PR it seems


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Michael
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That just makes the EURO a little more interesting..
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - MODELS
antonlsu wrote:When does the euro come out
fully out by 2am....but you can usually get it on here alittle earlier......aint staying up for it though...ugh
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - MODELS
Maybe it's time for a MODEL release time chart pinned in the forum?
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- Ivanhater
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - MODELS
Canadian strikes the Islands then is in the Bahamas with the high building in




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Michael
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - MODELS
I sure don't like the change seen so far on 00z models closer to us, especially BAMD, MM5, left turn just when it looks like it's cleared the islands!
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- TwisterFanatic
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From the early looks of the 0z models, it looks like "fish for sure" posts were a little premature.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - MODELS
Well both the GFS and Canadian have shifted west from the previous runs, we will see what the Euro shows though...
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Michael
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Any "for sure" posts are premature at this point. We are still 5+ days out at this point. Anything that far out can not possibly be "for sure". If it were up to me, the words "for sure" would be stricken and banned from the lexicon of words that can be used in a meteorological context.
Anyways, the 00Z models are interesting. If the trend back to the west continues through the next few runs, then those in the NE Caribbean should start preparing for a possible threat in 3 days.
Anyways, the 00Z models are interesting. If the trend back to the west continues through the next few runs, then those in the NE Caribbean should start preparing for a possible threat in 3 days.
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Re:
Evil Jeremy wrote:Any "for sure" posts are premature at this point. We are still 5+ days out at this point. Anything that far out can not possibly be "for sure". If it were up to me, the words "for sure" would be stricken and banned from the lexicon of words that can be used in a meteorological context.
I completely agree with this.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Weak or Strong?
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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