ATL: Ex COLIN - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
Vortmax1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 360
Joined: Wed Jul 07, 2010 11:35 pm
Location: Port Salerno, FL
Contact:
Contact Vortmax1

#841 Postby Vortmax1 » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:00 pm

Yes, that's a real mess.


http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/ ... early1.png
Last edited by Vortmax1 on Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
Hurricane

#842 Postby Hurricane » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:05 pm

While TD 4 won't be doing anything anytime soon, how about we talk on the new thread about the storm in the Caribbean? GFS shows Danielle making landfall in LA!!
viewtopic.php?f=31&t=108826&start=80
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Canelaw99
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2127
Age: 48
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 8:27 am
Location: Homestead, FL

Re:

#843 Postby Canelaw99 » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:06 pm



This just made me laugh when I first saw it. Talk about no consensus & being all over the place LOL I'm certainly glad to not be a forecaster when storms like this appear.....
0 likes   
Top
Vortmax1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 360
Joined: Wed Jul 07, 2010 11:35 pm
Location: Port Salerno, FL
Contact:
Contact Vortmax1

#844 Postby Vortmax1 » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:09 pm

Thank you Canelaw! LOL
I thought so too...but unfortunately Admin has removed the graphic.
0 likes   
Top
Gladstone
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 27
Age: 73
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:39 am
Location: Greenville, NC

Re:

#845 Postby Gladstone » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:16 pm

Vortmax1 wrote:I have no problem believing this Xtrap is correct right now in the short term:


https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/image ... s/storm_04


Wouldn't it be hysterical beyond words if Xtrap ended up being the correct "forecast" track? I wonder if that's ever happened?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#846 Postby Gustywind » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:17 pm

Latest
Image
0 likes   
Top
Vortmax1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 360
Joined: Wed Jul 07, 2010 11:35 pm
Location: Port Salerno, FL
Contact:
Contact Vortmax1

#847 Postby Vortmax1 » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:21 pm

Wouldn't it be hysterical beyond words if Xtrap ended up being the correct "forecast" track? I wonder if that's ever happened?



Yes it would be histerical...no, it has never been correct simply because it is just a measure of the current motion.
Not a predictor of it.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6367
Age: 60
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

Re: ATL : Tropical Depression Four - DISCUSSION

#848 Postby boca » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:23 pm

It looks like TD#4 is forecast to be a fish.Will it behave like a fish.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re: ATL : Tropical Depression Four - DISCUSSION

#849 Postby Gustywind » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:37 pm

boca wrote:It looks like TD#4 is forecast to be a fish.Will it behave like a fish.

Fishing a bit more west? :cheesy:
Atlantic Ocean Basin: Imagery

DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
02/2345 UTC 13.1N 44.3W T2.0/2.0 04L
02/1745 UTC 12.8N 41.7W T2.0/2.0 04L
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
LaBreeze
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1497
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 1:57 pm
Location: SW Louisiana

Re:

#850 Postby LaBreeze » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:39 pm

Hurricane wrote:While TD 4 won't be doing anything anytime soon, how about we talk on the new thread about the storm in the Caribbean? GFS shows Danielle making landfall in LA!!
viewtopic.php?f=31&t=108826&start=80


Don't mention anything about the possibility of "Danielle." It's not to be spoken of.
0 likes   
Top
Vortmax1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 360
Joined: Wed Jul 07, 2010 11:35 pm
Location: Port Salerno, FL
Contact:
Contact Vortmax1

#851 Postby Vortmax1 » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:41 pm

Image
0 likes   
Top
Vortmax1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 360
Joined: Wed Jul 07, 2010 11:35 pm
Location: Port Salerno, FL
Contact:
Contact Vortmax1

#852 Postby Vortmax1 » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:43 pm

Image
0 likes   
Top
Vortmax1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 360
Joined: Wed Jul 07, 2010 11:35 pm
Location: Port Salerno, FL
Contact:
Contact Vortmax1

#853 Postby Vortmax1 » Mon Aug 02, 2010 10:54 pm

Gee...I don't know...does anyone think dry air is involved?


Image
0 likes   
Top
Vortmax1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 360
Joined: Wed Jul 07, 2010 11:35 pm
Location: Port Salerno, FL
Contact:
Contact Vortmax1

#854 Postby Vortmax1 » Mon Aug 02, 2010 11:06 pm

Here's the Central Atlantic WV loop...switch on the forecast points:


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/flash-wv.html
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

#855 Postby HouTXmetro » Mon Aug 02, 2010 11:26 pm

Overall System looks to be moving WSW to me.
0 likes   
[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]
Top
User avatar
SeminoleWind
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 359
Age: 50
Joined: Wed Jun 02, 2010 8:37 pm
Location: Lake County Florida

Re:

#856 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 02, 2010 11:33 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:Overall System looks to be moving WSW to me.


doesn't look on point with the NHC track.a little south to my eyes.
0 likes   
This post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Tropics Guy
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 167
Age: 62
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 8:12 pm
Location: Hallandale beach & Vero beach, FL

Re: ATL : Tropical Depression Four - DISCUSSION

#857 Postby Tropics Guy » Mon Aug 02, 2010 11:42 pm

Dry air & the fast fwd speed seems to be inhibiting further development IMO, also seems to be tracking south of the NHC fcst points. Think if it holds together that the NE islands may still get weather from this system (or what ever is left of it by then ).

TG
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL : Tropical Depression Four - DISCUSSION

#858 Postby ROCK » Mon Aug 02, 2010 11:51 pm

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm1.html

west....I wonder when it will get out of this easterly flow....staying weak aint helping it....
0 likes   
Top
lebron23
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 389
Age: 32
Joined: Sat May 24, 2008 11:58 am
Contact:
Contact lebron23

Re: ATL : Tropical Depression Four - DISCUSSION

#859 Postby lebron23 » Tue Aug 03, 2010 1:10 am

I still think Florida the east coast and bermuda should watch this..
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38090
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

Re: ATL : Tropical Depression Four - DISCUSSION

#860 Postby Brent » Tue Aug 03, 2010 2:30 am

AL, 04, 2010080306, , BEST, 0, 137N, 462W, 35, 1006, TS, 34, NEQ, 30, 25, 25, 30, 1011, 100, 25, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, FOUR, M

COLIN IS HERE! Likely at 5am ET...
Last edited by Brent on Tue Aug 03, 2010 2:41 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2010”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests