WPAC: Ex DIANMU

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StormingB81
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#41 Postby StormingB81 » Tue Aug 03, 2010 9:55 pm

I changed the name of the thread until we get something more concrete because even JMA doest have anything on this storm not even a low. so we shall see.
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#42 Postby dhoeze » Wed Aug 04, 2010 1:28 am

I am confused... whats happening to PAGASA

Severe Weather Bulletin Number THREE
Tropical Cyclone Warning: Tropical Depression "DOMENG"
Issued at 11:00 a.m., Wednesday, 04 August 2010

Tropical Depression "Domeng" has maintained its strength as it continues to move in the general direction of Northern Luzon.

Location of Center:
(as of 10:00 a.m.) 430 kms Northeast of Virac, Catanduanes

Coordinates: 16.2°N, 127.5°E
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 45 kph near the center

Movement: West Northwest at 15 kph

Areas Having Public Storm Warning Signal
PSWS # Luzon Visayas Mindanao
Signal No. 1
(30-60 kph winds) Cagayan Isabela Aurora

Source: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/
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#43 Postby StormingB81 » Wed Aug 04, 2010 5:40 am

I just think these are a cluster of storms between 96 and 97 but im not a pro so i could be wrong..lol
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#44 Postby KWT » Wed Aug 04, 2010 5:41 am

Yeah this area really isn't impressive, not too sure what they are tracking to be honest!
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Re: WPAC - INVEST 96W

#45 Postby Typhoon10 » Wed Aug 04, 2010 6:02 am

PAGASA is now saying that 96 and 97W have merged and developed into a Tropical Storm!!!

http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tc_up.html
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#46 Postby KWT » Wed Aug 04, 2010 6:05 am

There is nothing there from a brief look, what on earth are they playing at?
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Re: WPAC - INVEST 96W

#47 Postby dexterlabio » Wed Aug 04, 2010 6:21 am

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"Domeng" has merged with the Low Pressure Area east of Batanes and intensified into a Tropical Storm.
Location of Center:
(as of 4:00 p.m.) 430 kms East of Basco, Batanes
Coordinates: 20.0°N, 126.6°E
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 65 kph near the center and
gustiness of up to 80 kph
Movement: West at 19 kph
Forecast Positions/Outlook: Thursday afternoon:
40 km East of Basco, Batanes
Friday afternoon:
400 km West of Basco, Batanes


Areas Having Public Storm Warning Signal
PSWS # Luzon Visayas Mindanao
Signal No. 2
(60-100 kph winds) Cagayan
Babuyan Islands
Calayan Islands
Isabela
Batanes Group of Islands None None
Signal No. 1
(30-60 kph winds) Nueva Ecija
Aurora
Quirino
Nueva Viscaya
Ifugao
Benguet
Mt. Province
Pangasinan
Kalinga
Abra
Apayao
La Union
Ilocos Provinces None None


Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under signal # 1 & 2 are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides.

Tropical Storm Domeng has enhanced the Southwest Monsoon that will generate moderate to rough seas as well as bring rains which may also trigger flashfloods and landslides in other areas of the country.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin alert to be issued at 11 PM today.

*****************************************
I was expecting that PAGASA will just let this system to be a tropical depression (since they are the ONLY agency classifying this as one). Now, this surprised me even more. They even upgraded it to a TS and stated the merging of a low pressure area (I assume they are talking about 97W) and this system.

On the other note, I observe thick cloud clusters in and out of the Philippine archipelago, associated with strong ITCZ activity (or the monsoon trough) and the strong surge of southwest monsoon. There are reports of strong rains in the metro and some areas in the country.
Last edited by dexterlabio on Wed Aug 04, 2010 6:33 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#48 Postby Typhoon10 » Wed Aug 04, 2010 6:29 am

KWT wrote:There is nothing there from a brief look, what on earth are they playing at?


Yeah, I am not a expert, but checking all other sites, NOTHING!

But if PAGASA have got it right, along with the track, could be interesting. Has 2 Invests/TD/TS's ever merged before? Is it rare? Does it usually mean more intensity?

There was a programme on TV sometime ago that featured Hong Kong about 2 systems developing, turning into a Super Typhoon and what devastation it could do to a major city. I believe it was on Nat Geo
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#49 Postby KWT » Wed Aug 04, 2010 6:31 am

Yeah thats what I'm surprised about, the facyt they've gone a step further and actually called it a TS!
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#50 Postby KWT » Wed Aug 04, 2010 6:36 am

Oh it certainly can happen, Colin in the Atlantic developed through a merger of different invests.
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#51 Postby StormingB81 » Wed Aug 04, 2010 6:38 am

What path do they have it on?
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Re:

#52 Postby Typhoon10 » Wed Aug 04, 2010 6:41 am

StormingB81 wrote:What path do they have it on?


Westward, inbetween Taiwan and Philippines
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#53 Postby KWT » Wed Aug 04, 2010 6:52 am

I just don't understand what they are seeing...looking at the loops the region they've pinpointed for this mythical system is just about the least convective part in the entire region of the Pacific at the moment...

Oh and did I mention the large ULL thats a little to the NW of that supposed system.
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#54 Postby StormingB81 » Wed Aug 04, 2010 7:02 am

I dont know i cant tell where its moving it looks huge but just a cluster..im confused for once..lol
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Re: WPAC - INVEST 96W

#55 Postby P.K. » Wed Aug 04, 2010 7:04 am

This makes no sense. As everyone in here can see there is nothing there so I have no idea what they are up to. Looking at a loop I'm not even sure what they are tracking.
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Re: WPAC - INVEST 96W

#56 Postby StormingB81 » Wed Aug 04, 2010 7:08 am

P.K. wrote:This makes no sense. As everyone in here can see there is nothing there so I have no idea what they are up to. Looking at a loop I'm not even sure what they are tracking.



i was saying the same thing..its a huge cluster what are they looking at
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Re: WPAC - INVEST 96W

#57 Postby P.K. » Wed Aug 04, 2010 7:19 am

For the record, PAGASA's marine warning from 06Z:

** WTPH20 RPMM 040600 ***
TTT GALE WARNING 05

AT 0600 04 AUGUST TROPICAL STORM UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL
DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA
AT TWO ZERO POINT ZERO NORTH ONE TWO SEVEN POINT ZERO EAST
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ZERO FIVE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO
VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM
CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE NINE SEVEN HECTOPASCALS
MAXIMUM WINDS ONE EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER FORECAST
POSITIONS AT 050600 TWO ZERO POINT ZERO NORTH ONE TWO TWO POINT
FIVE EAST AT 060600 TWO ZERO POINT ZERO NORTH ONE ONE SEVEN
POINT NINE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO
SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD

WEATHER MANILA =
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Re: WPAC - INVEST 96W

#58 Postby KWT » Wed Aug 04, 2010 7:21 am

P.K. wrote:This makes no sense. As everyone in here can see there is nothing there so I have no idea what they are up to. Looking at a loop I'm not even sure what they are tracking.


The only thing that is close to that is....a nice big ULL...I sure hope they aren't trying to follow that feature, because that is just basic stuff really!
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#59 Postby oaba09 » Wed Aug 04, 2010 7:33 am

Ok...I'm seriously confused LOL....We had some heavy rains earlier but it was mainly caused by the monsoon.....
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Re:

#60 Postby StormingB81 » Wed Aug 04, 2010 7:36 am

oaba09 wrote:Ok...I'm seriously confused LOL....We had some heavy rains earlier but it was mainly caused by the monsoon.....



Oaba...haven;t seen you in awhile how have u been? and its bad when people who are next to the storm are confused about it..lol
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