ATL: Ex COLIN - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: ATL : Tropical Storm Colin - DISCUSSION

#1281 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Aug 04, 2010 3:08 pm

vorticity is the highest it ever been for this system...
Image
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145309
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL : Tropical Storm Colin - DISCUSSION

#1282 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 04, 2010 3:09 pm

tolakram, here is the long range radar from San Juan showing that.

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#1283 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 04, 2010 3:10 pm

Image

Latest
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22978
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: ATL : Tropical Storm Colin - DISCUSSION

#1284 Postby wxman57 » Wed Aug 04, 2010 3:30 pm

Looks like we'll have a real TS Colin by this time tomorrow or more likely on Friday. Could even be a hurricane over the weekend. Good news is that it looks like it'll pass between Bermuda and the East U.S. Coast.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#1285 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 04, 2010 3:34 pm

Image

The best it has ever looked
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#1286 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 04, 2010 3:37 pm

Image

Latest
0 likes   

Frank2
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4061
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2005 12:47 pm

#1287 Postby Frank2 » Wed Aug 04, 2010 3:39 pm

Looks like former Colin is on the rebound (at least in the mid levels):

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-vis.html

go ULL (lol)...
0 likes   

User avatar
bahamaswx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1542
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 1:11 am
Location: Georgetown, Bahamas

#1288 Postby bahamaswx » Wed Aug 04, 2010 3:39 pm

Just checked it out for the first time today. Definitely wrapping up again.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#1289 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 04, 2010 3:41 pm

Image

LOOP
0 likes   

jaxfladude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1249
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:36 pm
Location: Jacksonville, Fla

Re: ATL : Tropical Storm Colin - DISCUSSION

#1290 Postby jaxfladude » Wed Aug 04, 2010 3:42 pm

wxman57 wrote:Looks like we'll have a real TS Colin by this time tomorrow or more likely on Friday. Could even be a hurricane over the weekend. Good news is that it looks like it'll pass between Bermuda and the East U.S. Coast.

That would be good!
0 likes   
Stay safe y'all

User avatar
ColinDelia
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 918
Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2005 5:52 am
Location: The Beach, FL

#1291 Postby ColinDelia » Wed Aug 04, 2010 3:46 pm

My namesake looks to be coming back for sure
0 likes   

User avatar
Lowpressure
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2032
Age: 58
Joined: Sun Sep 14, 2003 9:17 am
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina

#1292 Postby Lowpressure » Wed Aug 04, 2010 3:49 pm

Nice convective burst going on currently.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#1293 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 04, 2010 3:54 pm

Image

Floater moved
0 likes   

caneseddy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1172
Joined: Fri Sep 03, 2004 9:31 pm
Location: Plantation, FL

Re: ATL : Tropical Storm Colin - DISCUSSION

#1294 Postby caneseddy » Wed Aug 04, 2010 3:57 pm

If it does regenerate, kudos to the NHC for calling it to yesterday. I know some posters were doubting them when they stated in their forecast yesterday it would regenerate but that is why the NHC are the experts; they saw something we were not seeing

Hopefully it does recurve and go fishing :)
0 likes   

hurricaneCW
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1794
Joined: Wed Mar 03, 2010 6:20 am
Location: Toms River, NJ

Re: ATL : Tropical Storm Colin - DISCUSSION

#1295 Postby hurricaneCW » Wed Aug 04, 2010 3:59 pm

I was going to go down the shore this weekend, I hope we don't see a lot of rip currents. Hopefully it stays well east, very near Bermuda.

Where's the center, its direction of movement, and its speed of movement.
0 likes   

User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10145
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL : Tropical Storm Colin - DISCUSSION

#1296 Postby Blown Away » Wed Aug 04, 2010 4:12 pm

Maybe I'm seeing things but it almost looks like ex-Colin has slowed way down over the past few hours? :double:

Unchanged SSD Dvorak classification:

DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
04/1745 UTC 19.5N 60.8W T1.5/1.5 COLIN -- Atlantic
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05... EYE COMING MY WAY IN 2024…
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#1297 Postby KWT » Wed Aug 04, 2010 4:14 pm

Colin probably could be a system agian tomorrow...

This is what happens when a TUTT may actually be in a position to help the system out, notice its probably slowed the surface flow down now and is allowing a stronger circulation to try and work down from the MLC.

Thats an impressive MLC by the way, probably could go right upto a TS if recon finds a closed center tomorrow.

ps, if it does form now then a hurricane is quite possible, the northerly motion I've found in the past in this synoptic set-up with some slowly increasing extra-tropical influences tends to allow systems to steadily strengthen.
Last edited by KWT on Wed Aug 04, 2010 4:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

OuterBanker
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1731
Joined: Wed Feb 26, 2003 10:53 am
Location: Nags Head, NC
Contact:

#1298 Postby OuterBanker » Wed Aug 04, 2010 4:14 pm

Colin ideal sceneario for the OBX.

Between US and Bermuda bothering no one.

Seven to nine ft waves with a sw breeze to clean them up.

Sunny and pleasent.

Could just happen that way, looking like it just might :D
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#1299 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 04, 2010 4:24 pm

Image

very strong convection
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re:

#1300 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Aug 04, 2010 4:29 pm

KWT wrote:Colin probably could be a system agian tomorrow...

This is what happens when a TUTT may actually be in a position to help the system out, notice its probably slowed the surface flow down now and is allowing a stronger circulation to try and work down from the MLC.

Thats an impressive MLC by the way, probably could go right upto a TS if recon finds a closed center tomorrow.

ps, if it does form now then a hurricane is quite possible, the northerly motion I've found in the past in this synoptic set-up with some slowly increasing extra-tropical influences tends to allow systems to steadily strengthen.


It would be a TS immediately since Recon found winds as high as 45-50 kt.
0 likes   


Return to “2010”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests