ATL: Ex INVEST 92L - Discussion

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#141 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 05, 2010 6:46 am

Heading due west and into CA so its not really a big deal now...goodbye 92L...may see it try and burst before landfall but it won't make it now.
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Re: ATL : INVEST 92L - DISCUSSION

#142 Postby mpic » Thu Aug 05, 2010 7:14 am

Local morning weather on tv just completely blew this system off.
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Re: ATL : INVEST 92L - DISCUSSION

#143 Postby tailgater » Thu Aug 05, 2010 7:27 am

Looking pretty good again this morning on first visibles.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-vis.html
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Re: ATL : INVEST 92L - DISCUSSION

#144 Postby Weather Watcher » Thu Aug 05, 2010 7:32 am

Thats the biggest eye I have ever seen ... LOL!
:D :lol:
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#145 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 05, 2010 7:39 am

Got some nice turning there thats for sure but its probably left it a little too late to do anything I'd imagine.
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Re: ATL : INVEST 92L - DISCUSSION

#146 Postby tailgater » Thu Aug 05, 2010 7:46 am

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some broad turning but at what level.
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#147 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 05, 2010 7:57 am

Image

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#148 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 05, 2010 8:16 am

Trying to wrap itself up in the W.Caribbean favourable zone...

If the turning could gain a little more latitude then it'll gain itself another 12hrs or so over water which in a late bloomer can make a real difference.
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Re: ATL : INVEST 92L - DISCUSSION

#149 Postby hurricaneCW » Thu Aug 05, 2010 8:25 am

It's a shame it will hit land soon. It was just now beginning to gain structure. If it had 2 more days, we probably would have had another TS.
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#150 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 05, 2010 8:56 am

Any center is probably between 15.5-16N...could be a very tight call as to whether it goes inland or whether it gets enough latitude to reach Belize and gain itself another half a day or so over water which may make a difference...
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Re: ATL : INVEST 92L - DISCUSSION

#151 Postby tailgater » Thu Aug 05, 2010 10:29 am

We should rename this one, the invest no one cared about. It's not doing much now but it definitely should be watched as it may just skirt Nic./Hond.
Visible loop.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-vis.html
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Re: ATL : INVEST 92L - DISCUSSION

#152 Postby HeeBGBz » Thu Aug 05, 2010 11:17 am

Looks to me like she could just skirt the CA coast.
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#153 Postby funster » Thu Aug 05, 2010 11:23 am

The invest that no one cares about appears to be worth watching. Convection keeps building around the same area.
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Re: ATL : INVEST 92L - DISCUSSION

#154 Postby petit_bois » Thu Aug 05, 2010 11:45 am

looks like the only bad weather associated with this is the outflow boundries.
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Re: ATL : INVEST 92L - DISCUSSION

#155 Postby StormTracker » Thu Aug 05, 2010 11:53 am

Hey what happened to 92L on the S2K map? It just disappeared!
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Re: ATL : INVEST 92L - DISCUSSION

#156 Postby Iune » Thu Aug 05, 2010 12:10 pm

:uarrow: That usually means that they either upgraded it (not that likely) or they de-activated it.
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Re: ATL : INVEST 92L - DISCUSSION

#157 Postby Iune » Thu Aug 05, 2010 12:13 pm

They probably will de-activate it soon; they haven't updated the Best Track since 0600 UTC today; 2:00 a.m. EDT.

ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/invest_al922010.invest
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#158 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 05, 2010 12:14 pm

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Re: ATL : INVEST 92L - DISCUSSION

#159 Postby Sanibel » Thu Aug 05, 2010 12:16 pm

Looks like another sick air year.


In a couple of weeks these things will take.
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#160 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 05, 2010 12:45 pm

609
ABNT20 KNHC 051742
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU AUG 5 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN...A LOW PRESSURE AREA...IS
LOCATED ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTH OF BERMUDA AND MOVING NORTHWESTWARD
NEAR 20 MPH. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION OF THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED...AND AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS ENROUTE TO DETERMINE
WHETHER IT HAS BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM.
THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE
OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS CURRENTLY MINIMAL.
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS DISTURBANCE SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR
BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

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