2010 ACE: Atlantic=159.8625 / EPAC=48.44 / WPAC=118.6700

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
RattleMan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1218
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
Location: Phoenix, AZ

Re: 2010 ACE

#61 Postby RattleMan » Thu Jul 01, 2010 9:59 pm

02/0300z:

Code: Select all

   01L.Alex   
Adv #   Knots   ACE
1   30-S   0
2   30   0
3   35   0.1225
4   40   0.16
5   55   0.3025
6   50   0.25
7   35   0.1225
8   30   0
9   30   0
10   40   0.16
11   45   0.2025
12   50   0.25
13   50   0.25
14   55   0.3025
15   60   0.36
16   60   0.36
17   60   0.36
18   65   0.4225
19   70   0.49
20   70   0.49
21   80   0.64
22   85   0.7225
23   70   0.49
24   45   0.2025
25   35   0.1225
26   PT   0

Code: Select all

   Atlantic   
Alex   6.7825   100.00%
      
TOTAL   6.7825   

Code: Select all

ATL   6.7825   9.98%
EPAC   37.9225   55.82%
CPAC   0   0.00%
WPAC   1.965   2.89%
NIO   21.27   31.31%
      
TOTAL   67.94   
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#62 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jul 01, 2010 10:36 pm

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 143867
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2010 ACE

#63 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 11, 2010 8:06 pm

As the WPAC wakes up, is starting to get ACE numbers.Let's see if this storm (Maybe a typhoon?) makes the WPAC surpass what Alex got.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
RattleMan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1218
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
Location: Phoenix, AZ

Re: 2010 ACE

#64 Postby RattleMan » Sun Jul 11, 2010 8:50 pm

Code: Select all

   03W.Conson   
Adv #   Knots   ACE
1   25   0
2   35   0.1225
3   45   0.2025

Code: Select all

   West Pacific   
Omais   1.965   85.81%
Conson   0.325   14.19%
   
TOTAL   2.29

Code: Select all

ATL   6.7825   9.94%
EPAC   37.9225   55.55%
CPAC   0   0.00%
WPAC   2.29   3.35%
NIO   21.27   31.16%
      
TOTAL   68.265   
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 143867
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2010 ACE

#65 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 12, 2010 10:25 pm

Sandy,how does the pie look as of 0300z with Conson adding ACE for the WPAC?
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
RattleMan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1218
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
Location: Phoenix, AZ

Re: 2010 ACE

#66 Postby RattleMan » Mon Jul 12, 2010 11:58 pm

Code: Select all

   03W.Conson   
Adv #   Knots   ACE
1   25   0
2   35   0.1225
3   45   0.2025
4   60   0.36
5   60   0.36
6   65   0.4225
7   70   0.49

Code: Select all

   West Pacific   
Omais   1.965   50.10%
Conson   1.9575   49.90%
      
   
TOTAL   3.9225

Code: Select all

ATL   6.7825   9.70%
EPAC   37.9225   54.25%
CPAC   0   0.00%
WPAC   3.9225   5.61%
NIO   21.27   30.43%
      
TOTAL   69.8975   
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
RattleMan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1218
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
Location: Phoenix, AZ

Re: 2010 ACE

#67 Postby RattleMan » Wed Jul 14, 2010 1:21 am

Code: Select all

   03W.Conson   
Adv #   Knots   ACE
1   25   0
2   35   0.1225
3   45   0.2025
4   60   0.36
5   60   0.36
6   65   0.4225
7   70   0.49
8   65   0.4225
9   60   0.36
10   50   0.25
11   55   0.3025

Code: Select all

   West Pacific   
Omais   1.965   37.38%
Conson   3.2925   62.62%
   
TOTAL   5.2575

Code: Select all

ATL   6.7825   9.52%
EPAC   37.9225   53.24%
CPAC   0   0.00%
WPAC   5.2575   7.38%
NIO   21.27   29.86%
      
TOTAL   71.2325   
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
RattleMan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1218
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
Location: Phoenix, AZ

Re: 2010 ACE

#68 Postby RattleMan » Thu Jul 15, 2010 9:58 pm

Code: Select all

   03W.Conson   
Adv #   Knots   ACE
1   25   0
2   35   0.1225
3   45   0.2025
4   60   0.36
5   60   0.36
6   65   0.4225
7   70   0.49
8   65   0.4225
9   60   0.36
10   50   0.25
11   55   0.3025
12   50   0.25
13   50   0.25
14   50   0.25
15   50   0.25
16   50   0.25
17   60   0.36
18   70   0.49
19   75   0.5625

Code: Select all

   West Pacific   
Omais   1.965   24.81%
Conson   5.955   75.19%
   
TOTAL   7.92

Code: Select all

ATL   6.7825   9.18%
EPAC   37.9225   51.32%
CPAC   0   0.00%
WPAC   7.92   10.72%
NIO   21.27   28.78%
      
TOTAL   73.895   
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 143867
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2010 ACE

#69 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 15, 2010 10:16 pm

So the WPAC surpassed the Alex ACE numbers.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
RattleMan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1218
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
Location: Phoenix, AZ

Re: 2010 ACE

#70 Postby RattleMan » Fri Jul 16, 2010 10:32 pm

Code: Select all

   03W.Conson   
Adv #   Knots   ACE
1   25   0
2   35   0.1225
3   45   0.2025
4   60   0.36
5   60   0.36
6   65   0.4225
7   70   0.49
8   65   0.4225
9   60   0.36
10   50   0.25
11   55   0.3025
12   50   0.25
13   50   0.25
14   50   0.25
15   50   0.25
16   50   0.25
17   60   0.36
18   70   0.49
19   75   0.5625
20   75   0.5625
21   70   0.49
22   60   0.36
23   55   0.3025

Code: Select all

   West Pacific   
Omais   1.965   20.39%
Conson   7.67   79.61%
         
TOTAL   9.635

Code: Select all

ATL   6.7825   8.97%
EPAC   37.9225   50.16%
CPAC   0   0.00%
WPAC   9.635   12.74%
NIO   21.27   28.13%
      
TOTAL   75.61   
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
RattleMan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1218
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
Location: Phoenix, AZ

Re: 2010 ACE

#71 Postby RattleMan » Sun Jul 18, 2010 1:41 am

Code: Select all

   03W.Conson   
Adv #   Knots   ACE
1   25   0
2   35   0.1225
3   45   0.2025
4   60   0.36
5   60   0.36
6   65   0.4225
7   70   0.49
8   65   0.4225
9   60   0.36
10   50   0.25
11   55   0.3025
12   50   0.25
13   50   0.25
14   50   0.25
15   50   0.25
16   50   0.25
17   60   0.36
18   70   0.49
19   75   0.5625
20   75   0.5625
21   70   0.49
22   60   0.36
23   55   0.3025
24   50   0.25
25   45   0.2025
26   30   0

Code: Select all

   West Pacific   
Omais   1.965   19.48%
Conson   8.1225   80.52%
   
TOTAL   10.0875

Code: Select all

ATL   6.7825   8.92%
EPAC   37.9225   49.86%
CPAC   0   0.00%
WPAC   10.0875   13.26%
NIO   21.27   27.96%
      
TOTAL   76.0625   
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 143867
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2010 ACE

#72 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 22, 2010 10:14 pm

What are the updated ACE numbers for the WPAC with Chanthu and now Bonnie in the Atlantic?
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
RattleMan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1218
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
Location: Phoenix, AZ

Re: 2010 ACE

#73 Postby RattleMan » Fri Jul 23, 2010 1:19 am

Been busy up to now, but here they are:

Code: Select all

   04W.Chanthu   
Adv #   Knots   ACE
1   30   0
2   30   0
3   25   0
4   30   0
5   30   0
6   30   0
7   35   0.1225
8   35   0.1225
9   35   0.1225
10   40   0.16
11   45   0.2025
12   55   0.3025
13   45   0.2025
14   55   0.3025
15   60   0.36
16   70   0.49
17   75   0.5625
18   55   0.3025
[the JTWC ended with #18]

Code: Select all

   West Pacific   
Omais   1.965   14.73%
Conson   8.1225   60.89%
Chanthu   3.2525   24.38%
   
TOTAL   13.34



Code: Select all

   03L.Bonnie   
Adv #   Knots   ACE
1   30   0
2   30   0
3   35   0.1225

Code: Select all

   Atlantic   
Alex   6.7825   98.23%
Bonnie   0.1225   1.77%
      
TOTAL   6.905   


Code: Select all

ATL   6.905   8.69%
EPAC   37.9225   47.74%
CPAC   0   0.00%
WPAC   13.34   16.79%
NIO   21.27   26.78%
      
TOTAL   79.4375   
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
RattleMan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1218
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
Location: Phoenix, AZ

Re: 2010 ACE

#74 Postby RattleMan » Mon Jul 26, 2010 8:58 am

Finishing up:

Code: Select all

   03L.Bonnie   
Adv #   Knots   ACE
1   30   0
2   30   0
3   35   0.1225
4   35   0.1225
5   35   0.1225
6   30   0
7   30   0
8   30   0
9   25   0
10   PT   0

Code: Select all

   Atlantic   
Alex   6.7825   94.86%
Bonnie   0.3675   5.14%
      
TOTAL   7.15   

Code: Select all

ATL   7.15   8.97%
EPAC   37.9225   47.59%
CPAC   0   0.00%
WPAC   13.34   16.74%
NIO   21.27   26.69%
      
TOTAL   79.6825   
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
RattleMan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1218
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
Location: Phoenix, AZ

Re: 2010 ACE

#75 Postby RattleMan » Tue Aug 03, 2010 9:52 am

Code: Select all

   04L.Colin   
Adv #   Knots   ACE
1   30   0
2   30   0
3   30   0
4   35   0.1225
5   35   0.1225

Code: Select all

   Atlantic   
Alex   6.7825   91.72%
Bonnie   0.3675   4.97%
Colin   0.245   3.31%
      
TOTAL   7.395   

Code: Select all

ATL   7.395   9.25%
EPAC   37.9225   47.45%
CPAC   0   0.00%
WPAC   13.34   16.69%
NIO   21.27   26.61%
      
TOTAL   79.9275   
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 143867
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2010 ACE

#76 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 05, 2010 5:04 pm

Does the 5 PM advisory that resumes Colin count for the ACE?
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#77 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 05, 2010 5:30 pm

I'm not sure to be honest...

Colin will probably take us close to if not over 10 units, from now on things typically start increasing on averagein the Atlantic fairly quickly.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 143867
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2010 ACE

#78 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 05, 2010 6:56 pm

What I know is that special advisories dont count for ACE values.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 143867
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2010 ACE

#79 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 05, 2010 10:21 pm

Sandy, bring on the pies :)
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#80 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 05, 2010 10:56 pm

Image
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 175 guests