Caribbean - Central America Weather

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]

wow sorry to hear you've had THAT much rain Firebird, trust no loss of life though. yup hope we don't get same thing here, last time we had major rain was 2 years ago which trashed crops, caused flash floods which washed out bridges (Kendal still not been replaced only has a causeway which floods everytime we get any heavy rain in mountains near Dangriga) pretty much south gets cut of from North when we have major rain. If crops get trashed again and Belize Valley and Stann creek valley get major flooding would be a disaster for Belize. So really hoping the wave will move swiftly over the country. We also have problems with Dengue here in North & West so don't need any further water to give them more breeding zones, Well hope you get some dry out time soon. I know what its like wading through feet of water, and trying to keep warm and dry. After Mitch Belize might have missed the worst of the storm but we were wading in water for nearly a month after on th peninusla.

Thanks for all these infos my friend from Belize . Continue to keep us informed as possible we sincerely appreciate us in the Lesser Antilles

[FireBird]

Hi again friends. BZTORM, you mentioned dengue fever. We're having a real problem with that also, and there have been quite a few deaths from this. the health authorities are preparing for the worst with the slow receding of the flood waters.
The good thing is, I see that ITCZ has dropped further south for now. The sun is shining outside, and it's hot! Clocking 30C already. And 93L seems to be drawing in the clouds, so it looks like we'll get a break from the heavy gushers this weekend. Yaay!!

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]

Hi again friends. BZTORM, you mentioned dengue fever. We're having a real problem with that also, and there have been quite a few deaths from this. the health authorities are preparing for the worst with the slow receding of the flood waters.
The good thing is, I see that ITCZ has dropped further south for now. The sun is shining outside, and it's hot! Clocking 30C already. And 93L seems to be drawing in the clouds, so it looks like we'll get a break from the heavy gushers this weekend. Yaay!!

Hi Firebird glad to see you there. Same problem with the dengue too in Guadeloupe. Authorities continue to deal with but that's always problematic in our island with all that rain fallen and the high temperatures. We hope that things will improve but sometimes that's a bit utopic during the rainy season.
Gustywind

[Macrocane]

It's great that the sun is shining in Trinidad The dengue is a problem in El Salvador as well mosquitos are one of the few animals that I hate be careful with them. Yesterday a strong thunderstorm developed over El Salvador and unfortunately 3 deaths are reported in La Union, 3 cars were swept away when a river overflowed the people inside 2 of the cars escaped in time but the people in the other car were not that lucky.

[Macrocane]

These are yesterday observations:

Rainfall

San Salvador 6 mm/0.24 inches
Las Pilas 55 mm/2.17 inches
San Miguel 15 mm/0.59 inches
Perquin 38 mm/1.5 inches
La Union 77.6 mm/3.06 inches

Temperatures

Code: Select all

Acajutla         min:23.5°C/74.3°F      max:31.3°C/88.3°F
Santa Ana        min:20.4°C/68.7°F      max:31.6°C/88.9°F
San Salvador     min:20.4°C/68.7°F      max:30.1°C/86.2°F
Las Pilas        min:13.3°C/55.9°F      max:22.2°C/72.0°F
San Miguel       min:22.6°C/72.7°F      max:35.5°C/95.9°F 


In this first 5 days of August some places have accumulated more than 100 mm of rain there are even some places with more than 200 mm, the average rainfall amount for the whole month is more or less 310 mm/12.2 inches:

Los Andes 230 mm/9.06 inches
Sensuntepeque 135 mm/5.31 inches
San Salvador 131 mm/5.16 inches
Perquin 123 mm/4.84 inches
Santa Ana 111 mm/4.37 inches
La Union 105 mm/4.13 inches

[Gustywind]

[bvigal]

BZ and Firebird, really sorry to read about the flooding damage and aftermath!!! Also hate to hear of the Dengue (and Gusty, it's in Guadeloupe, too?!) That is a serious situation. It's very unhealthy to spread yourself with a pesticide all the time, but Dengue is nothing to mess with - especially if you've already had one strain of the 4. Will keep these area people in my thoughts and prayers for quick recovery!!

We had wettest July in modern memory (no records really kept), St. Thomas next door to us set a record July rainfall. Most of our damage was flashflooding down steep hills variety, but some standing water in a few spots. And heat is back - as hot as anywhere - our heat index over 105F (temp 91 DP77) in SAL outbreak as bad as any we've had in 2010. Visibility here was below 6mi, now a bit better.

[cycloneye]

AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
306 PM AST FRI AUG 6 2010

.SYNOPSIS...HAZY SKIES...LIMITED SHOWER ACTIVITY...AND WARM
WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND. A SLIGHT SURGE IN MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE...MAY BRING A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SHOWER
ACTIVITY ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AN AREA OF SAHARAN DUST ENTERED THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN EARLY THIS MORNING AND IS SPREADING HAZY SKIES ACROSS
THE LOCAL ISLANDS. LATEST CIMMS IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA OF SAL
EXTENDS SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...AND
THUS EXPECT HAZY SKIES AND LIMITED SHOWER ACTIVITY TO PREVAIL
THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

A TUTT LOW...CURRENTLY VISIBLE IN WV IMAGERY NEAR 50 WEST...WILL
TRACK SLOW WEST AND SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...WITH A WEAK REFLECTION OF THIS TUTT EXPECTED TO BRING A
SLIGHT SURGE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

THE TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING 40 WEST THIS AFTERNOON...STILL HAS A
40 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS...WITH MORE INFORMATION AVAILABLE ABOUT THIS WAVE FROM THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. AT THIS TIME...EVEN IF THIS SYSTEM
DEVELOPS...IT APPEARS IT WILL TAKE A TRACK WELL NORTHEAST OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS AND SHOWER ACTIVITY FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS WILL BE
MAINLY LOCALLY DRIVEN BY ISLAND EFFECTS AND ENHANCED BY ANY PASSING
BANDS OF MOISTURE CARRIED IN EASTERLY TRADE WIND FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDS EXPECTED AT ALL LOCAL TAF SITES DURING THE
NEXT 12 HOURS. HOWEVER...BRIEF MVFR CONDS AND LOCAL MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO
RICO...INCLUDING NEAR TJBQ THROUGH 06/22Z IN ISOLATED SHRA/TSRA.

&&

.CLIMATE...AS OF 3 PM AST...THE HIGH TEMPERATURE AT THE LUIS
MUNOZ MARIN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN SAN JUAN WAS 92 DEGREES. SO
FAR...THIS IS JUST SHY OF THE RECORD 93 DEGREES FOR THE
DATE...LAST REACHED IN 2008. ONE MORE NEAR RECORD WARM DAY IS
EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY ACROSS THE METRO AREA...WITH THE RECORD
HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 92 DEGREES FOR AUGUST 7TH LAST REACHED IN
1995.

&&

[msbee]

Firebird, BZTORM, and Macrocane
sorry to hear of your weather problems and I hope things don't get any worse.
and dengue?
We have a real problem with that here also.

[cycloneye]

In Puerto Rico, we also have the dengue plague in a strong form as the rainfall has been in record territory so far this year. Today it was informed that the sixth death in 2010 occured.

http://www.elnuevodia.com/confirmansext ... 54927.html

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
953 PM AST FRI AUG 6 2010

.UPDATE...THE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTHERN
CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. A FLOOD ADVISORY
AND A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT WERE ISSUED FOR SEVERAL
MUNICIPALITIES OVER THOSE SECTOR OF THE ISLAND. HOWEVER...THIS
ACTIVITY DISSIPATED RAPIDLY AFTER SUNSET LEAVING ONLY PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES WITH LIMITED SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE FA THIS
EVENING. WATER VAPOR IMAGES AS WELL AS MIMIC-TPW FROM CIMSS
INDICATE A LARGE AREA OF RELATIVELY DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS
EXTENDING FROM THE LOCAL ISLANDS...EASTWARD ACROSS THE ATLANTIC
FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. THIS RELATIVELY DRY AIR MASS WILL
ENCOMPASS THE REGION DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...MAINTAINING HAZY
SKIES AND LIMITING THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...JUST ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC THIS
EVENING...WILL TRACK SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...INDUCING A SLIGHT INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS EARLY DURING THE
UPCOMING WEEK. IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS REASONING PWAT VALUES WELL
BELOW 2.0 INCHES WILL PREVAIL UNTIL AT LEAST SUNDAY...INCREASING
TO 2.0 INCHES OR ABOVE BY MONDAY. DESPITE THIS DRY AIR ACROSS THE
REGION...THE LIMITED AVAILABLE MOISTURE WILL COMBINE EACH
AFTERNOON WITH THE STRONG DAYTIME HEATING AND LOCAL ISLANDS
EFFECTS TO INDUCE THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN AND INTERIOR SECTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AS WELL AS ACROSS THE SURROUNDING COASTAL
WATERS. ONLY MINOR CHANGES WERE DONE TO THE PREVIOUS SHORT TERM
FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ANOTHER DIURNAL INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS
AND SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND WESTERN
PORTIONS OF PR. THIS SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF MVFR
CONDITIONS AND MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS OVER TJMZ AND VICINITY DURING
AFTERNOON HOURS. LLVL WIND FLOW WILL BE MAINLY FROM THE EAST AT 10
TO 15 KTS.

[FireBird]

Well my friends, I can see that we are all in the same boat, so to speak. Lots of rain, mosquitoes, and a keen sense of nature's power.
I am very sad to say that one person died this afternoon due to a landslide at his home. He was 77 years old, and walked with a cane, so he had no chance of escape. The rescue workers are still trying to recover his body at this time. Everybody is feeling the pain of this death, because we thought we'd make it through ok. Efforts to move more persons to emergency shelters has been ramped up, because there are many living in now treacherous areas.
For example, I had a chance to drive around a little today. The sun was out brilliantly this afternoon, though thunderstorms did roll in this morning. I think that was the tipping point for some places. Because I saw many fresh land slides.
I really hope the weather will ease up a bit for all of us, as we keep our eyes in the sky, and our feet on dry(?) land.
Take care my friends.

[cycloneye]

Good morning.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
545 AM AST SAT AUG 7 2010

.SYNOPSIS...A MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT
WEATHER FEATURE LOCALLY TODAY THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. A TUTT
WILL APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA FROM THE EAST MONDAY AND IS NOW
EXPECTED TO MOVE TO A POSITION NEAR OF JUST NORTHEAST OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT OR WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LOCAL AIR MASS OVERALL WILL REMAIN A BIT DRIER AND
MORE STABLE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...SO DO NOT EXPECT ANY
WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS OR CONVECTION EITHER DAY...BUT ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR...MAINLY
OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN INTERIOR AND WEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO
RICO. SAL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY...LEAVING SKIES
SOMEWHAT HAZY. IN ADDITION...ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL BE MORE EAST
TODAY AND NORTH COASTAL SECTIONS MAY HAVE A SEA BREEZE...EXPECT
ONE MORE DAY OF VERY WARM TO HOT AND UNCOMFORTABLE CONDITIONS WITH
WELL ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES. THE SAN JUAN LMM RECORD HIGH
TEMPERATURE FOR TODAY IS 92 DEGREES SET IN 1995. FEEL THAT THE MAX
TEMPERATURE FOR TODAY WILL REMAIN JUST BELOW THIS AT 90 TO 91
DEGREES.

FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...MOISTURE INCREASES LOCALLY DUE TO
AFOREMENTIONED TUTT POSITION AND PROBABLY A LOWER LEVEL REFLECTION
OF THE TUTT PASSING ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. THIS MOISTURE AND
FAIRLY FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH LOCAL
EFFECTS TO RESULT IN A MORE UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN LOCALLY...
WITH A NOTICEABLE INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS AND AT ALL LOCAL TAF SITES THROUGH TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS AND LOCAL MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS
ARE POSSIBLE IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN INTERIOR AND
WEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO BETWEEN 07/17Z AND 07/22Z.

&&

.MARINE...EXPECT WINDS OF 18 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF 6 FEET OR
LESS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY.

[Gustywind]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 070551
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT AUG 7 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM COLIN...LOCATED ABOUT 245 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC IS
ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES WEST
OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT AROUND 15 MPH. THERE IS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.
THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION...AND SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE LATER TODAY. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]

000
AWCA82 TJSJ 070857
RWSVI

WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
457 AM AST SAT AUG 7 2010

CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES PREVAILED ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ISOLATED SHOWERS OCCURRED
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF ST CROIX...AS WELL AS
OVER THE ATLANTIC OFF SHORE WATERS. LOW TEMPERATURES WERE IN THE
UPPER 70S TO THE MID 80S. THE WIND WAS MAINLY EAST AT 10 MPH OR LESS.

PATCHES OF MOISTURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA FROM TIME TO
TIME AND WILL COMBINE WITH LOCAL EFFECTS TO RESULT IN INTERVALS OF
CLOUDINESS AND A FEW SHOWERS OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY...HOWEVER
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS...MARINERS SHOULD EXPECT WINDS OF 17 KNOTS
OR LESS AND SEAS OF 5 FEET OR LESS AT LEAST THROUGH SUNDAY. NO
PRECAUTIONARY STATEMENT ARE IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME.

$$

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]