Disturbed weather in Eastern Atlantic (Is invest 95L)

[TheBurn]

[Dean4Storms]

I just got a feeling this one could be a US East Coast threat, nothing so scientific just something that is over due IMO!

[cycloneye]

The wave is now completly on the West Africa image. The circulation is still around 10N and has reached the Prime Meridian.

[Hugo1989]

If indeed this system is developed, approaching the Caribbean is expect?

[cycloneye]

If indeed this system is developed, approaching the Caribbean is expect?

Is very early to say if it approaches the Caribbean. The models so far have indicated that it would track away from that area. The best thing to do at this point is to watch what occurs as the wave energes Africa and start to track thru the Atlantic Ocean.

[Hugo1989]

If indeed this system is developed, approaching the Caribbean is expect?

Is very early to say if it approaches the Caribbean. The models so far have indicated that it would track away from that area. The best thing to do at this point is to watch what occurs as the wave energes Africa and start to track thru the Atlantic Ocean.

Gracias Boricua!

[cycloneye]

If indeed this system is developed, approaching the Caribbean is expect?

Is very early to say if it approaches the Caribbean. The models so far have indicated that it would track away from that area. The best thing to do at this point is to watch what occurs as the wave energes Africa and start to track thru the Atlantic Ocean.

Gracias Boricua!

De nada mi amigo.

Thank you my friend.

[cycloneye]

GFS makes it 10 runs in a row showing it.

[ROCK]

at 102hr its consolidates a tad more north....nice high above so it will go west in the short-med term I would guess....

[ROCK]

156hr moving west.....developing at a rapid rate...the GFS is really amped about this guy...

[cycloneye]

Still heading west at 174 hours.

[Ivanhater]

Well SW at that point

[Vortex]

00Z GFS continues trend of 18 Z run..Westbound and stronger ridge to the north.

H+174

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_174l.gif

[cycloneye]

We got twins. And the frontrunner is almost reaching the Leewards.

[ROCK]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_252l.gif


west....watch the SV digging in the NW....also we got another guy further south and east....

[Ivanhater]

Getting a little cluttered

[Vortex]

Now that looks like late August!!!

[Ivanhater]

[ConvergenceZone]

Perhaps this is the light switch we have been waiting for....Let's see if this comes to pass....

[cycloneye]

Ivan, what is your take on this run,first what the model has shown for 10 runs in a row, now much,much more west and then a new one behind?