ATL: EX Tropical Depression FIVE - Models
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: EX Tropical Depression FIVE - Models
18z GFS at 42 hours.
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: EX Tropical Depression FIVE - Models
54 hours.
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Re: ATL: EX Tropical Depression FIVE - Models
Based on this radar loop, I would think the llc is progressing through the area of Bay County.
The pressure has been steadily dropping and is currently 29.94in at my house in Panama City.
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Re: ATL: EX Tropical Depression FIVE - Models
I dont like the way this looks, reminds me of how Alicia formed.... ug...
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Ivanhater
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Re: ATL: EX Tropical Depression FIVE - Models
18z Canadian is stronger and further offshore
I believe that says 989mb? I think it is..and it bombs it offshore Louisiana
I believe that says 989mb? I think it is..and it bombs it offshore Louisiana
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Michael
Re: ATL: EX Tropical Depression FIVE - Models
the further offshore the further west.....
what I have always been concerned with is a surfside to West end formidable hurricane making landfall...I would rather not have to relocate the parents to my house.....
what I have always been concerned with is a surfside to West end formidable hurricane making landfall...I would rather not have to relocate the parents to my house.....
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Re:
BigB0882 wrote:Interesting. I know there is no definite formula but what kind of winds does a 989 MB storm normally have? Is that a TS or hurricane?
depends on how fast the winds can catch up with the pressure. Could be a upper end TS before landfall...
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Ikester
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Re: ATL: EX Tropical Depression FIVE - Models
A normal 989 mb pressure is a strong TS or weak Cat 1 hurricane. But when a model shows it, PAY ATTENTION. That could be quite a hurricane.
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LSU2001
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Re: ATL: EX Tropical Depression FIVE - Models
Dolly had 989 mb at 70 knots but each storm is different. may be stronger or weaker depending on size, ambient pressures, circulation, etc.
Tim
Tim
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989mbs and strengthening would make for a pretty strong TS usually, say 55-60kts.
I'd be a little surprised if it got that strong given its the strongest model by a long way out of all of them but then again conditions probably will be good offshore...so who knows!
I'd be a little surprised if it got that strong given its the strongest model by a long way out of all of them but then again conditions probably will be good offshore...so who knows!
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
HWRF barely gets this one into the Gulf...looks like its out to lunch given it probably starts the low a good deal too far north...
Its way east of all of the other models though.
Its way east of all of the other models though.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
Re: ATL: EX Tropical Depression FIVE - Models
Ikester wrote:That model looks clueless...
has been all year...
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It looks a good deal too far east IMO thats for sure!
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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