Danielle ... When, Where, and Peak Intensity?

[StormClouds63]

Danielle:
August 19
Caribbean Sea
Category 3

This one can't get sheared apart, too, can it? You've got to figure one of the next 2 or 3 systems will avoid such fate. Perhaps this is the one.

[CrazyC83]

August 10, S Caribbean, Category 5. The one area where conditions are favorable now, and Colin clears a path and eats the remaining dry air there.

[CrazyC83]

BTW this belongs in Talkin' Tropics.

[srainhoutx]

Moved to Talkin' Tropics.

[lebron23]

Aug 8-10
near winwards
cat 2

[hurricaneCW]

August 7-9 Category 5 "The Big One", develops in the central Atlantic. Landfall either Gulf or Southeast coast.

[hurricaneCW]

August 7-9 Category 5 "The Big One", develops in the central Atlantic. Landfall either Gulf Coast or Southeast coast.

[CrazyC83]

Seems a lot of people agree Danielle will be huge. I don't see it as a US storm though, since the steering patterns way down there set up a Felix-like path.

[StormClouds63]

Seems a lot of people agree Danielle will be huge. I don't see it as a US storm though, since the steering patterns way down there set up a Felix-like path.

I agree that Danielle will be a Caribbean low-rider, with a path similar to Dean or Felix and cat 3 peak intensity (non-U.S. impact).

[dwsqos2]

October 4; non-tropical origins; near 40N.

[RainWind]

Aug 11, origination - Western Caribbean
Destination - Beaumont, TX
Cat - 1-2

[hurricaneCW]

October 4; non-tropical origins; near 40N.

September 2, 2016.

[wzrgirl1]

August 9th will be named. Will peak as a cat. 3. Will form in the mid Atlantic region and make the first landfall in southern florida and a second landfall in louisiana.

[pepeavilenho]

October 4; non-tropical origins; near 40N.

You are so GRACEFUL

[southerngale]

Sometime after August 10th!

August 17th
Caribbean
cat.1

[KWT]

10th August
Mid Atlantic
Weak system, probably 40-50kts like Colin in many ways...

Though could also be the Caribbean wave, but that too would be a weak brief affair.

[Cyclenall]

When: August 7th 2010 at 5:00 am EDT
Where: Eastern Caribbean
Peak Strength: 115 knots (category 4)

[year_2005]

I have no idea. I know that Danielle will be more likely than say Bonnie as being a really strong storm due to its likely formation in the middle of the month of august. However it would have been the same thing with Dean and Erin in 2007, they formed within a day of each other and thus Erin could have been Dean if its wave developed only a day earlier , Dean was indeed the "big one" of 2007, however if erin had formed a day earlier it would have been called Dean and thus dean would have only been a tropical storm and Erin would have been the name of the "big one". i will guess this :

Danielle , Earl , Fiona , Gaston, and Hermine will likely form in August, one of those will likely top 145 mph. 2 of these storms will be hurricanes (again just a very rough guess, id be surprised if this exact scenario came true).

THIS IS NOT AN OFFICIAL FORCAST, DONT USE THIS TO MAKE IMPORTANT DECISIONS, I AM NOT A CERTIFIED METEOROLOGIST,

[StormClouds63]

We still have a couple of contestants still eligible ... but the list is smaller each day. Even KWT missed this one (8/10). I thought I was being ultra-conservative in predicting August 19. That, too, could be overly optimistic. However, that CV storm could be forming in the next few days so it's still possible ... but my location was the Caribbean, not the open Atlantic. dwsqos2, who predicted October 4, is still in the running!