Possible "Fiona" a future U.S/Island threat? (Is Invest 97L)

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Ivanhater
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Re: Fiona a future U.S/Island threat?

#41 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 24, 2010 1:58 am

00z Euro starting to see it approaching the Islands...waiting on the higher resolution

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#42 Postby Vortex » Tue Aug 24, 2010 1:59 am

You beat me to it :lol: :lol:
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Re: Fiona a future U.S/Island threat?

#43 Postby ronjon » Tue Aug 24, 2010 5:53 am

Disturbance just south the the VI at 240 hrs in the latest Euro.

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#44 Postby KWT » Tue Aug 24, 2010 5:57 am

Yep lifting WNW/NW towards Hispaniola/PR from the looks of things on that run.
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#45 Postby ColinDelia » Tue Aug 24, 2010 8:47 am

I believe this is PGI35L now.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/predict/#
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#46 Postby Vortex » Tue Aug 24, 2010 9:28 am

I think your right colin.
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Re: Fiona a future U.S/Island threat?

#47 Postby Comanche » Tue Aug 24, 2010 11:27 am

what is modelling doing with this on the 12z?
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Re:

#48 Postby JTD » Tue Aug 24, 2010 12:39 pm

KWT wrote:Yep lifting WNW/NW towards Hispaniola/PR from the looks of things on that run.


Another fish for CONUS then? Got to think if it's heading NW from PR/Hispaniola that it will eventually find a weakness and head North and NE at some point. Storms with strong ridigng don't head NW unless the ridge is going to build back in at some point and halt the NW trek.

Or who knows maybe Ernesto II.
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#49 Postby ColinDelia » Tue Aug 24, 2010 1:05 pm

Quite weak on the 12z runs.
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Re: Fiona a future U.S/Island threat?

#50 Postby StormClouds63 » Tue Aug 24, 2010 2:26 pm

I assume that's the system just about to exit the African coast. Will this be 3 fishes in a row?

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#51 Postby Frank2 » Tue Aug 24, 2010 2:45 pm

I realize that you are now one of the moderators, but really IMHO it is not proper (per the investment folks who often visit this site) to post something about a "named" system that doesn't even exist, let alone talk about it as a "threat" - especially considering that we don't even have the "E" system on the map ATTM...

Again, just my opinion, but, as someone who worked on Wall Street many moons ago, believe me that some oil or gas or reinsurance investor has already noted this topic and is going for an "early kill", based on what you are writing...

Frank
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Re: Fiona a future U.S/Island threat?

#52 Postby NOLA2010 » Tue Aug 24, 2010 2:50 pm

Frank2 wrote:I realize that you are now one of the moderators, but really IMHO it is not proper (per the investment folks who often visit this site) to post something about a "named" system that doesn't even exist, let alone talk about it as a "threat" - especially considering that we don't even have the "E" system on the map ATTM...

Again, just my opinion, but, as someone who worked on Wall Street many moons ago, believe me that some oil or gas or reinsurance investor has already noted this topic and is going for an "early kill", based on what you are writing...

Frank


I agree. I really think you should change the topic Ivanhater
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Re: Fiona a future U.S/Island threat?

#53 Postby ColinDelia » Tue Aug 24, 2010 3:26 pm

Just to clarify none of the models develop PGI35L which is the relatively weak low latitude pouch at around 3E.

It's the large area of cloudiness approaching the coast now that some of the models have been on/off about developing.
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Re:

#54 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 24, 2010 4:11 pm

Frank2 wrote:I realize that you are now one of the moderators, but really IMHO it is not proper (per the investment folks who often visit this site) to post something about a "named" system that doesn't even exist, let alone talk about it as a "threat" - especially considering that we don't even have the "E" system on the map ATTM...

Again, just my opinion, but, as someone who worked on Wall Street many moons ago, believe me that some oil or gas or reinsurance investor has already noted this topic and is going for an "early kill", based on what you are writing...

Frank


Frank, we can discuss your issue via PM.
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Re: Fiona a future U.S/Island threat?

#55 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 24, 2010 4:24 pm

12z Euro coming in stronger with this entity in the Eastern Caribbean

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Re:

#56 Postby Stormcenter » Tue Aug 24, 2010 4:34 pm

I would have to also agree. It's very misleading.


Frank2 wrote:I realize that you are now one of the moderators, but really IMHO it is not proper (per the investment folks who often visit this site) to post something about a "named" system that doesn't even exist, let alone talk about it as a "threat" - especially considering that we don't even have the "E" system on the map ATTM...

Again, just my opinion, but, as someone who worked on Wall Street many moons ago, believe me that some oil or gas or reinsurance investor has already noted this topic and is going for an "early kill", based on what you are writing...

Frank
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#57 Postby KWT » Tue Aug 24, 2010 4:58 pm

Well this wave is still getting modelled by the ECM but not so much the GFS now which has backed off..

Models still (and yes this is becoming annoying to have to say this over and over again!) shows signifcant weakness down the E.coast of the states, enough to possibly lift a developing system down in the E.Caribbean right into Hispaniola which they don't need obviously. Early days but if it were to take its time and track low like the ECXM progs then for sure it could be at the least a Caribbean threat even if it was to recurve out through the Caribbean islands, perhaps like Marilyn from 95 if the ECM handles the upper energy good, which to be fair its far too far out to call.
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Re: Possible "Fiona" a future U.S/Island threat?

#58 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 24, 2010 5:09 pm

The long range KWT is very interesting about possible track if we have a system like the Euro is advertising. Interesting the Euro has shown the tropical wave consistently moving into the Caribbean and coming in stronger each run. Will be interesting to see if the GFS advertises this wave stronger in the coming runs.

This is getting some buzz around the weather boards.
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Re: Fiona a future U.S/Island threat?

#59 Postby utweather » Tue Aug 24, 2010 5:11 pm

NOLA2010 wrote:
Frank2 wrote:I realize that you are now one of the moderators, but really IMHO it is not proper (per the investment folks who often visit this site) to post something about a "named" system that doesn't even exist, let alone talk about it as a "threat" - especially considering that we don't even have the "E" system on the map ATTM...

Again, just my opinion, but, as someone who worked on Wall Street many moons ago, believe me that some oil or gas or reinsurance investor has already noted this topic and is going for an "early kill", based on what you are writing...

Frank


I agree. I really think you should change the topic Ivanhater


lol, I would love to see someone try to make large sums of money off of a 2 week speculation/entertainment weather message board, more like lose a large sum of money.. go enron!
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#60 Postby ConvergenceZone » Tue Aug 24, 2010 5:16 pm

Looking at the models maps on what's expected and what we have going on already, I can confidently say that the switch has been offficially turned on...... :wink:
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