WPAC: Ex-Typhoon KOMPASU (1007/08W)

[Typhoon10]

Another one pops up! 96W off NRL now

[StormingB81]

WHere is it located?

[Typhoon10]

WHere is it located?

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... &TYPE=ssmi

NRL doesnt state yet

[StormingB81]

I am wondering if it part of 97 that broke off or if its that blob SE of Guam?

[dexterlabio]

I think this one is near Chuuk Island. It could have a high chance of developing if it moves out of its present location immediately, going to an area of relaxed wind shear on its west...or else it may die just like the previous invests.

[cycloneye]

Near Chuuk island.

[Chacor]

That's Chuuk (Truk), not Chuck.

[cycloneye]

That's Chuuk (Truk), not Chuck.

Thank you for letting me know.Fixed.

[Chacor]

Typhoon10:

Next time, just look at the image name:


This image has the base name 98WINVEST.15kts-1010mb-80N-1500E. At 0600z in the DOD/DOC/NCEP ATCF database, 98W is estimated to have 15 knot winds, a pressure of 1010 hPa, and near 8.0N 150.0E.

[StormingB81]

I just learned something too

[Typhoon10]

[quote="Chacor"]Typhoon10:

Next time, just look at the image name:

Ok, thanks for that Chacor

[supercane]

NWS Guam's take from the AFD:
.WESTERN MICRONESIA...
CHUUK HAD SCATTERED SHOWERS ALL DAY FROM A SURFACE TROUGH THAT
APPEARS ON RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY TO POSSIBLY NOW BE A
CLOSED CIRCULATION. THE ASSOCIATED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN
DESIGNATED 98W INVEST BY THE JTWC. SCATTERED SHOWERS HAVE BEEN
FORECAST FOR CHUUK TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

[supercane]

Morning vis:


Nothing definite on microwave:

[dexterlabio]

Is this one still alive? I think it is. Among the invests present, this has the greatest chance to go on, but the issue is if the shear will also affect its development, just like the other disturbances. Invests appear but they die as quick as they formed.

[StormingB81]

Its still there just everyone forgot about it with the other 2 and all teh invest popping up and dying

[supercane]

Haven't forgotten about 98W, just seems that 99W is more imminent. Here's the 12Z JMA analysis:
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 08N 146E WEST SLOWLY.

Latest IR:


Latest microwave:



ASCAT pass scraped the eastern side and didn't find much:

[StormingB81]

98W still looks like its still trying to hold its own. Wonder what kind of track this one will take.

[supercane]

JMA 0Z analysis:
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 10N 143E WNW 15 KT.

Nothing imminent going on here. Latest vis loop:


NWS Guam's take from the AFD:
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS NORTHWESTWARD FROM 3N144E TO A TROPICAL
DISTURBANCE CENTERED OVER YAP NEAR 10N139E...THEN CONTINUES
NORTHWARD TO END NEAR IWO TO ISLAND AT 25N141E. CONVERGING SURFACE
WINDS NEAR THE DISTURBANCE ARE PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS OVER KOROR AND YAP BETWEEN 7N AND 13N FROM 132E TO
141E...AND ALSO JUST SOUTHEAST OF GUAM WITHIN 100 MILES OF A LINE
FROM 10N143E TO 13N148E. TRADE WINDS CONVERGING TOWARD THE
SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT OF THE DISTURBANCE ARE CAUSING SCATTERED
SHOWERS JUST NORTHWEST OF CHUUK WITHIN 65 MILES OF A LINE FROM
7N149E TO 9N151E.

[StormingB81]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/TCFP/da ... inrfpa.png

NOAA Really like the chances of 98w. They all the way up on the chart for probabilty.

[dexterlabio]

It seems gone, or maybe it moved NW.