ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

[thetruesms]

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL AT 27/1500 UTC IS NEAR 15.7N 43.6W...OR ABOUT 1430 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE
$$
GARCIA

Don't these people study geography? Fix position both 12z and 18z, 15.7N, is east of ALL the Leeward Islands. And if you count Dominica, which some do, it extends to 15.6N.

While I haven't issued any NHC products, my experience with other NWS warning products would lead me to believe that the line discussing distances is automatically generated. You'll have to take things up with the person who programmed the location files.

[Gustywind]

000
WTNT32 KNHC 272030
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
500 PM AST FRI AUG 27 2010

...EARL RACING WESTWARD OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC WITH NO CHANGE IN
STRENGTH YET...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.8N 46.0W
ABOUT 1140 MI...1835 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

[Gustywind]

[Ivanhater]

Very close to the Islands...

[AdamFirst]

Is that a TS watch box up for the Virgin Islands?

[ColinDelia]

THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
FRENCH SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY. THIS TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 72 HOURS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FRENCH SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY

[fd122]

More and more it looks like we're going to be affected.

[Ivanhater]

Can one of you Islanders post a detailed map of the NE Islands to show the area under watches?

[Ivanhater]

[BirdyCin]

Can one of you Islanders post a detailed map of the NE Islands to show the area under watches?

http://www.worldatlas.com/webimage/countrys/carib.htm

[supercane]

Still has work to do as seen on microwave:

[Gustywind]

More and more it looks like we're going to be affected.

Let's hope no ! Keep us informed my friend.
In spite of the Northern Leewards, Barbuda looks very well exposed too as Antigua given the latest projected path of the NHC. This thing is racing west very quickly at 32 km/h and is already on the 46W. At this rate it could be near the 49,5/ 50 W tommorow morning?! Intensity continues to be hopefully modest but the more it stays west the more chances it has to churn near all the Leewards. Let's continue to monitor closely Earl hoping for the best and keeping our fingers crossed.

[cycloneye]

For those who live in the islands,here is the 5 PM track of the miles from islands data.

http://stormcarib.com/closest2.htm

[supercane]

Leeward Islands map from Wikipedia:

or try this link for more detail.

[Dave]

Here's the map from Birdycin's link above of the Islands.

[cycloneye]

Beautiful image right? This is a web cam from ST Maarten, one place that may be brushed by Earl. Lets follow this cam after sunday to see the effects from Earl as they occur. There are more cams at the first post of the Caribbean-CentralAmerica thread at U.S & Caribbean Weather forum.

[Typhoon_Willie]

Wow very nice beach indeed.

[Gustywind]

Beautiful image right? This is a web cam from ST Maarten, one place that may be brushed by Earl. Lets follow this cam after sunday to see the effects from Earl as they occur. There are more cams at the Caribbean-CentralAmerica thread at U.S & Caribbean Weather forum.

Good catch Luis nice nice web cam.

[latitude_20]

Looks to be holding to a very steady westerly track.

[KWT]

More and more likely this does hit the NE Caribbean from the looks of things, not gaining any latitude at all today and if anything may have slightly shaved off some latitude.

This will probably be good news for the East coast though and bad news for the islands, because this is a highly likely to recurve system maybe like Luis was...(pray it don't get that strong!) and if that was to occur future Fiona would instead of being a threat to the east coast/Florida probably skirt away...

The fact that its moving so quickly to the west greatly worries me becuase it suggests the steering pattern is strong still...need it to weaken pronto really...