ATL: Ex-Hurricane DANIELLE - Discussion

[Migle]

I am thinking there only going to go up to 120 knots. Looks very good right now, but unless something changes it think they will go with 120 knots. Hopefully we get to see some of Danielle on Bermuda's radar this weekend.

[leanne_uk]

I've been out all day to finally log on and see the most beautiful storm in its full glory. Danielle is a stunner

[ozonepete]

I've been out all day to finally log on and see the most beautiful storm in its full glory. Danielle is a stunner

Yes, Leanne, and who knows? You may be the first place it landfalls! If you look at the NHC track, the very strong extratropical low it will become could quite possibly move towards England next week. Of course it's way too early to tell, but the models are trending its strong remnant low toward northwestern Europe...

[Ikester]

This is truely a well defined and very powerful hurricane. But it is NOT near Cat. 5 strength. IMO, looking at the IR, the thunderstorms are deep but not that deep. According to the link below, all the deep reds have disappeared (cloud tops are warming) and are NOT located near the center. However, I would agree that a jump to 145 mph could be justified given a contracting eye and improved outflow.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-avn.html

[KWT]

I am thinking there only going to go up to 120 knots. Looks very good right now, but unless something changes it think they will go with 120 knots. Hopefully we get to see some of Danielle on Bermuda's radar this weekend.

Yeah I agree with that, 120kts seems reasonable though given the Dvorak estimate they may yet go a smidge higher to 125kts, we will see!

[cycloneye]

Sab Dvorak goes down a little

Maybe it has peaked.

27/2345 UTC 27.7N 60.5W T5.5/6.0 DANIELLE -- Atlantic

[MiamiHurricanes10]

Danielle's structure on water vapor suggests that an eyewall replacement cyclone (EWRC) may be beginning. Notice how the eyewall appears to be "sinking". Likely that it has peaked.

[bob rulz]

Well they didn't go up on the advisory. Maybe they noticed the beginnings of the ERC?

[cycloneye]

00z Best Track

AL, 06, 2010082800, , BEST, 0, 277N, 604W, 115, 942, HU

Remains at 115kts.

[JonathanBelles]

It's interesting to me that they didn't drop the wind speed of Danielle after recon went through it even though direct measurement showed it was weaker.

[CrazyC83]

I'd bring it down to 105 kt at the 11 pm advisory given the ERC.

[bob rulz]

It should still have time to re-intensify after the EWRC before the shear kicks in.

[Squarethecircle]

Very nice, clear EWRC

[I-wall]

SE quad is almost open

[leanne_uk]

I've been looking at that possibility alot over the past few days and all we can do is wait and see. It will be interesting to monitor regardless

I've been out all day to finally log on and see the most beautiful storm in its full glory. Danielle is a stunner

Yes, Leanne, and who knows? You may be the first place it landfalls! If you look at the NHC track, the very strong extratropical low it will become could quite possibly move towards England next week. Of course it's way too early to tell, but the models are trending its strong remnant low toward northwestern Europe...

[Category 5]

The EWRC basically puts Danielle's peak intensity in stone. This will likely expand into a really large storm.

[MGC]

Cleary an EWRC which has been ongoing for several hours now. Will result in a larger eye and expanded wind field and lower max wind speed. Bermuda might get to TS force winds......MGC

[GCANE]

An astronaut's view of Danielle this evening.

http://twitpic.com/2isdbk

[plasticup]

A couple days ago someone posted a GOES .gif that showed a "movie" of images taken only one minute apart. You could really see the boiling convection in Danielle's spiral arms, CDO, etc. Where could I get that type of imagery which shows such a short time scale?

[artist]

wow is all I can say. I didn't see the pic coming through so reposted it. If it is indeed double mods please feel free to remove. This is the one the astronauts took.