#670 Postby aerology » Sat Aug 28, 2010 12:38 am
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The models have now started to see a swing [wobble] toward the South west as a result of the tidal effects of the moon soon passing over head for the night, about 4 degrees North of the Equator, the dome of raised ionosphere, and troposphere underneath is pulling Earl in toward the center of the passing bulge effect.
Resulting in a pulse of growth in a Southwestern direction from its established track, after the moon passes nearly (with in 12 degrees) overhead, it will may rebound back most of the way before tomorrow night, when the moon passes about 8 degrees South of Earl’s position, pulling it further south again.
By the night of the 29th, from moon rise to overhead, will set the stage for a pulse of growth and movement mostly straight west, past the 30th the moon will be above the 16 North latitude line and be pulling Earl north, for the re-curve into the continental air mass coming off of the South East US coast, and be forced to slide on North, closer to shore than Danielle will.
I had original (back in July) thought the westward progress made on the 28th, 29th, and 30th would be enough (I’m still learning) to put it past the tip of Florida, and the re-curve on the 31st and 1st, bring it into the panhandle, and out through Georgia / South Carolina, and out of the area by the 4th September.
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