ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

[Gustywind]

NRL weather site
Latest 20100828.1045.07LEARL.50kts-999mb-156N-492W.

[painkillerr]

The marinas in Fajardo, P.R. began hauling the motoryachts and sailboats out of the water early this morning!
They can smell it coming.

[Gustywind]

[KWT]

Interesting double blob presentation now, reminds me of what Charley looked like when it was developing in the Caribbean before its Cuba landfall...

15.6N seems reasonable enough, will probably gain latitude now its got a stronger inner core.

[chrisjslucia]

Interesting double blob presentation now, reminds me of what Charley looked like when it was developing in the Caribbean before its Cuba landfall...

15.6N seems reasonable enough, will probably gain latitude now its got a stronger inner core.

HI KWT - any view as to the time frame for the gain in latitude?

[cycloneye]

The marinas in Fajardo, P.R. began hauling the motoryachts and sailboats out of the water early this morning!
They can smell it coming.

Welcome to storm2k fellow boricua. We have a thread where you can visit and post the observations from where you are. There are many web cams from the Caribbean posted at the first post of the thread. The link is at my signature below.

[Gustywind]

[KWT]

Interesting double blob presentation now, reminds me of what Charley looked like when it was developing in the Caribbean before its Cuba landfall...

15.6N seems reasonable enough, will probably gain latitude now its got a stronger inner core.

HI KWT - any view as to the time frame for the gain in latitude?

Nothing too major for a little while yet, the weakness isn't till 60W so any gains now will be small, hence why I think we are going to see a direct hit upon the NE Caribbean, not even a close call but a hit, possibly even a landfall but thats alot dependant on the exact location of the systems center which at 48hrs out is still a little to ofar away to have any confidence in.

[I Scream Cone]

Sorry guys, but this looks like it's dipping well south of the TFP's if you ask me. May not make much of a difference in the long term, but certainly will in the short term!

[Gustywind]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
800 AM AST SAT AUG 28 2010

...EARL CONTINUES HEADING WESTWARD AT A GOOD CLIP...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.8N 51.2W
ABOUT 800 MI...1290 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED
STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


$$
FORECASTER AVILA

[fd122]

Am I the only one that's unimpressed with Earl's structure?

[HURAKAN]

In the current track, Earl will pass only 80 miles from Barbuda. I think anyone in the Leeward Islands should prepare for a hurricane, just in case.

[SunnyFla]

If Earl stays west until 60-65 at this latitude he will hit the Hebert (AY-bear) box.

Cycloneye--take care in PR---it is getting closer and closer to a hit for you.

[Gustywind]

If Earl stays west until 60-65 at this latitude he will hit the Hebert (AY-bear) box.

Cycloneye--take care in PR---it is getting closer and closer to a hit for you.

So that mean that Guadeloupe might be in Earl's path?

[cycloneye]

Sab Dvorak

28/1145 UTC 16.1N 50.9W T3.0/3.5 EARL -- Atlantic

[painkillerr]

The marinas in Fajardo, P.R. began hauling the motoryachts and sailboats out of the water early this morning!
They can smell it coming.

Welcome to storm2k fellow boricua. We have a thread where you can visit and post the observations from where you are. There are many web cams from the Caribbean posted at the first post of the thread. The link is at my signature below.

Hi neighbor.... I'll be keeping you company here for the next few days as we seem to have a busy week or so ahead of us.

[HURAKAN]

About to enter higher OHC

[cycloneye]

12z Best Track

AL, 07, 2010082812, , BEST, 0, 158N, 510W, 50, 999, TS

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 010.invest

Still moving west and remains at 50kts.

[hurricanefloyd5]

looks to me that earl is splitting up into two areas!!!!!!!!!!!



http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-wv.html

[WeatherGuesser]

looks to me that earl is splitting up into two areas!!!!!!!!!!!

Earl and Earlene?