Caribbean - Central America Weather

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Gustywind
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#6261 Postby Gustywind » Sat Aug 28, 2010 7:17 pm

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#6262 Postby BZSTORM » Sat Aug 28, 2010 7:37 pm

Wishing all u islanders safe time with Earl, he's looking way to keen to be close to u all, just hope he makes the turn quickly and moves away from u all. Keep safe.
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#6263 Postby Boriken » Sat Aug 28, 2010 7:58 pm

Is that a new one? Tropical storm watch for Culebra and Vieques and not PR.
Have never hear of something like this before.
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Re: Caribbean - Central America (TS Watch for N Leewards)

#6264 Postby Boriken » Sat Aug 28, 2010 8:02 pm

Boriken wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Select your island and know how many miles the center will pass your location as of the 11 AM advisory.

http://stormcarib.com/closest2.htm



223.3 miles from Mayaguez PR. Super safe for the moment.


Now down to 160 miles :eek:
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Re: Caribbean - Central America (TS Watches/Warnings in effect)

#6265 Postby kungfut » Sat Aug 28, 2010 8:34 pm

79.9 miles from st. john. close!!!
Im outta here at 4am on the first 6am ferry.
:(
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Re: Caribbean - Central America (TS Watch for N Leewards)

#6266 Postby abajan » Sat Aug 28, 2010 8:40 pm

cycloneye wrote:Select your island and know how many miles the center will pass your location as of the 11 AM advisory.

http://stormcarib.com/closest2.htm

The closest approach of Earl’s center is expected be about 298.1 miles from Barbados just after Noon tomorrow. But experience has taught me that the worst weather may well be felt here on Sunday night or even Monday morning when Earl’s tail may come a callin’!

BTW, that’s a nifty little calculator thingy which will possibly come in very handy if this season ramps up as advertised.
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Re: Caribbean - Central America (H Watches/Warnings in effect)

#6267 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 28, 2010 10:28 pm

Hurricane Watches and Warnings issued

WTNT32 KNHC 290303
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
1100 PM AST SAT AUG 28 2010

...EARL MOVING WESTWARD TOWARD THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...NEW WATCHES AND
WARNINGS ISSUED...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 55.4W
ABOUT 520 MI...835 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENTS OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAVE ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...
NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH
FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U. S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.4 WEST. EARL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED ON SUNDAY. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF EARL COULD PASS NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
EARL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS BY SUNDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS MAY SPREAD OVER THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES...NEAR THE CENTER OF EARL.

RAINFALL...EARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...WITH
POSSIBLE MAXIMUM ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

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Re: Caribbean - Central America (H Watches/Warnings in effect)

#6268 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 28, 2010 10:30 pm

000
WTNT62 KNHC 290326
TCUAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
1130 PM AST SAT AUG 28 2010

AT 1130 PM AST...0330 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

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#6269 Postby artist » Sat Aug 28, 2010 10:38 pm

guys, our thoughts and prayers are with you all. Be sure to check in to the Active Storms forum and let us know how things are going. We have a thread there for you.
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#6270 Postby Gustywind » Sun Aug 29, 2010 4:44 am

000
WTNT32 KNHC 290838
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
500 AM AST SUN AUG 29 2010

...EARL HEADED FOR THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...EXPECTED TO BECOME
A HURRICANE LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 56.9W
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. MAARTEN...SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BEGINNING
WITHIN 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.9 WEST. EARL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF EARL WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
...AND EARL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA BY
LATE SUNDAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY EARLY MONDAY
MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS MAY SPREAD OVER THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO ON MONDAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT.

STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE
PATH OF THE CENTER OF EARL. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES.

RAINFALL...EARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...WITH
POSSIBLE MAXIMUM ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
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#6271 Postby Gustywind » Sun Aug 29, 2010 6:52 am

Latest news in the islands...
This time orange code have been requiered for Guadeloupe and yellow code for Martinica. Meteo-France Guadeloupe emphasizes on the fact that the Northern Leewards should pass in RED code during the next hours if Earl continues to track near or on the Northern Leewards.
http://www.meteo.gp/donnees/bulletin/vi ... ilance.php
Gustywind
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Re: Caribbean - Central America (H Watches/Warnings in effect)

#6272 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 29, 2010 7:01 am

000
WTNT32 KNHC 291159
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
800 AM AST SUN AUG 29 2010

...EARL A LITTLE STRONGER...HEADED FOR THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 57.6W
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO
IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BEGINNING
WITHIN 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.6 WEST. EARL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF EARL WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT
AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND EARL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE
LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA
LATER TODAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY EARLY MONDAY
MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS MAY SPREAD OVER THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO ON MONDAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT.

STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE
PATH OF THE CENTER OF EARL. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES.

RAINFALL...EARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...WITH
POSSIBLE MAXIMUM ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

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Re: Caribbean - Central America (H Watches/Warnings in effect)

#6273 Postby msbee » Sun Aug 29, 2010 7:48 am

Earl is a hurricane now and right on our doorstep.

EARL IS UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE AS OF 29/1230 UTC. HURRICANE
EARL IS CENTERED NEAR 17.1N 57.7W AT 29/1230 UTC WHICH IS ABOUT
320 NM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING W AT 16 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED HAS INCREASED TO 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. SEE
LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
MIATCMAT2/WTNT22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. EARL APPEARS TO BE
EXPERIENCING SOME NORTHERLY SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTFLOW
FROM HURRICANE DANIELLE WITH THE OUTFLOW OF EARL RESTRICTED ON
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. THIS SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE
TODAY AS EARL MOVES AWAY FROM DANIELLE. THE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
EARL WILL BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND COULD
REACH MAJOR HURRICANE STRENGTH BY MID WEEK. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS
STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 55W-58W WITH SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERING THE REMAINDER OF
THE AREA FROM 13N-19N BETWEEN 54W-61W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FAST APPROACHING THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS.
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Re: Caribbean - Central America (H Watches/Warnings in effect)

#6274 Postby Gustywind » Sun Aug 29, 2010 7:57 am

msbee wrote:Earl is a hurricane now and right on our doorstep.

EARL IS UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE AS OF 29/1230 UTC. HURRICANE
EARL IS CENTERED NEAR 17.1N 57.7W AT 29/1230 UTC WHICH IS ABOUT
320 NM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING W AT 16 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED HAS INCREASED TO 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. SEE
LATEST INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
MIATCMAT2/WTNT22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. EARL APPEARS TO BE
EXPERIENCING SOME NORTHERLY SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTFLOW
FROM HURRICANE DANIELLE WITH THE OUTFLOW OF EARL RESTRICTED ON
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. THIS SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE
TODAY AS EARL MOVES AWAY FROM DANIELLE. THE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
EARL WILL BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND COULD
REACH MAJOR HURRICANE STRENGTH BY MID WEEK. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS
STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 55W-58W WITH SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERING THE REMAINDER OF
THE AREA FROM 13N-19N BETWEEN 54W-61W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FAST APPROACHING THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS.

Absolutely Barbara be vigilant and aware :eek: !
TCUAT2
HURRICANE EARL TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
830 AM AST SUN AUG 29 2010
...EARL ATTAINS HURRICANE STRENGTH...

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT EARL HAS BECOME A HURRICANE WITH MAXIMIM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75
MPH...120 KM/HR.


SUMMARY OF 830 AM AST...1230 UTC...INFORMATION
--------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 57.7W
ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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Re: Caribbean - Central America (H Watches/Warnings in effect)

#6275 Postby bvigal » Sun Aug 29, 2010 8:06 am

Stay safe, Barbara! Try to stay in touch, and I will do the same. I wonder if MJ is watching?

Had planned to stay here and change the bucket under my leaky skylight, but now looks like Earl could be strong enough they shut off power. So maybe see about staying with a friend. (and packing out the fridge contents, ugh)

(Edit) And same "be safe" goes to you, Luis, and Gusty, HUC, knotimpaired, and all the other neighbors here in the islands!!
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Re: Caribbean - Central America (H Watches/Warnings in effect)

#6276 Postby Gustywind » Sun Aug 29, 2010 8:22 am

bvigal wrote:Stay safe, Barbara! Try to stay in touch, and I will do the same. I wonder if MJ is watching?

Had planned to stay here and change the bucket under my leaky skylight, but now looks like Earl could be strong enough they shut off power. So maybe see about staying with a friend. (and packing out the fridge contents, ugh)

(Edit) And same "be safe" goes to you, Luis, and Gusty, HUC, knotimpaired, and all the other neighbors here in the islands!!

Thanks BVIGAL i appreciate your winks :wink: :) BE SAFE ALL! We should all monitor EARL, we never know even if the Northern Leewards seem directly exposed.
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Re: Caribbean - Central America (H Watches/Warnings in effect)

#6277 Postby Gustywind » Sun Aug 29, 2010 8:25 am

bvigal wrote:Stay safe, Barbara! Try to stay in touch, and I will do the same. I wonder if MJ is watching?

Had planned to stay here and change the bucket under my leaky skylight, but now looks like Earl could be strong enough they shut off power. So maybe see about staying with a friend. (and packing out the fridge contents, ugh)

(Edit) And same "be safe" goes to you, Luis, and Gusty, HUC, knotimpaired, and all the other neighbors here in the islands!!

Thanks BVIGAL i appreciate your winks :wink: :) BE SAFE ALL! We should all monitor EARL, we never know even if the Northern Leewards seem directly exposed.
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Re: Caribbean - Central America (H Watches/Warnings in effect)

#6278 Postby Macrocane » Sun Aug 29, 2010 8:29 am

Please keep us informed with the observations from your islands if you're able, but the most important thing: please be safe.
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Re: Caribbean - Central America (H Watches/Warnings in effect)

#6279 Postby msbee » Sun Aug 29, 2010 9:44 am

bvigal wrote:Stay safe, Barbara! Try to stay in touch, and I will do the same. I wonder if MJ is watching?

Had planned to stay here and change the bucket under my leaky skylight, but now looks like Earl could be strong enough they shut off power. So maybe see about staying with a friend. (and packing out the fridge contents, ugh)

(Edit) And same "be safe" goes to you, Luis, and Gusty, HUC, knotimpaired, and all the other neighbors here in the islands!!



thanks BVIgal
and stay safe yourself. we'll keep updating as long as we can.
MJ is indeed watching. She sent me an email yesterday

to all our neighbors, be ever vigilant and be prepared!

Barbara
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Re: Caribbean - Central America (H Watches/Warnings in effect)

#6280 Postby msbee » Sun Aug 29, 2010 9:44 am

Macrocane wrote:Please keep us informed with the observations from your islands if you're able, but the most important thing: please be safe.


thanks macrocane.
will do!
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