ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

[Evil Jeremy]

I think PR will get the hurricane warning in 20 minutes.

[CrazyC83]

If it doesn't start gaining latitude soon, it will be in the Caribbean Sea and would put Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands - at least - in the strongest part of the storm...

Agreed. He needs to turn and soon if the current forecasts are going to verify. What effect would his path have on 97 aka future Fiona?

Earlier recurve as the trough advances untouched by Earl?

[CrazyC83]

If it doesn't start gaining latitude soon, it will be in the Caribbean Sea and would put Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands - at least - in the strongest part of the storm...

What strengh you put it right now?

Based on Recon reports, 65 kt seems reasonable.

[LAwxrgal]

If it doesn't start gaining latitude soon, it will be in the Caribbean Sea and would put Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands - at least - in the strongest part of the storm...

Agreed. He needs to turn and soon if the current forecasts are going to verify. What effect would his path have on 97 aka future Fiona?

Earlier recurve as the trough advances untouched by Earl?

Truthfully I hope they ALL recurve away from anybody like my namesake has done. But that's just an old caned-out gal speaking, not a full weather expert like you guys.

[canes04]

I'm thinking south of PR.
If he gets into the Caribbean all bets are off.

Hope to see that turn soon.

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

I'm thinking south of PR.
If he gets into the Caribbean all bets are off.

Hope to see that turn soon.

I just don't see that happening, with the setup, Earl getting deeper/better organized & all, but we'll see.

[msbee]

Earl is starting to show up on the French Antilles radar site, and I found an animated flavor at
http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?81

you can just beign to see it on st maarten radar also

http://weather.an/radar/cappisxm.html

[gatorcane]

New York city now in the cone though Earl should pass by to the east to not be a major issue there

[lester]

TS Warning for Puerto Rico

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

Latest track (11AM) the projected track is a bit more to the right than the previous one...

[Gustywind]

Looking better defined...

[Stephanie]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-avn.html

Doesn't look like Earl has any intention of turning in that loop.

Watch out islands! I hope that you're prepared or are preparing right now.

[MGC]

What was the last direct hit on PR....Georges? Still headed west, don't see how Earl will miss the islands......MGC

[msbee]

how is the weather in Guadeloupe Gusty?

[GeneratorPower]

Washington DC is IN THE CONE. Maybe.... JUST maybe.....!!! HA. So is Delaware and most of the East Coast. I can't remember them being in the cone for a long, long time.

[gatorcane]

What was the last direct hit on PR....Georges? Still headed west, don't see how Earl will miss the islands......MGC

Curiously the track has shifted right some despite Earl still moving nearly due west

[GeneratorPower]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-avn.html

Doesn't look like Earl has any intention of turning in that loop.

Watch out islands! I hope that you're prepared or are preparing right now.

It could just keep going W for a while. But this always happens at the end of a ridge...they look like they are just going to keep right on trucking only to turn abruptly at the last minute. We'll see what happens.

[LAwxrgal]

I expect traffic on this board to increase exponentially pretty soon as Earl comes close and 97 follows.

[UpTheCreek]

I really would've thought the track would've been updated westward. But being in eastern NC, this suits me just fine for now!

[pimentel2]

NHC Track Projection has been updated. Seems like RI is right in the bulls eye. To early to confirm anything. I'm not in a mood to see a hurricane up close -_-