ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

[HURAKAN]

Positive news with the forecast track of Earl splitting the uprights between the Carolinas and Bermuda. Definitely not out of the woods but the odds of a US landfall are dropping with every advisory. Earl's eye may never see land except maybe easternmost canada and it would have greatly weakened by that point. Nothing better than an uneventful hurricane season.

So Alex's landfall in N.Mex was uneventful? I wouldn't say that.

[Gustywind]

Close up of the outer bands affecting the Leewards and even portions of the southern Windwards

[artist]

Close up of the outer bands affecting the Leewards and even portions of the southern Windwards
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/op ... SOUFIR.GIF

some of that looks pretty powerful.

[johngaltfla]

eye still fairly ragged.. its probably back to about 280 though ..

http://img820.imageshack.us/img820/5729 ... 860272.gif

Maybe its the ragged eye, but I see WNW motion at the start of the loop and WSW motion at the end.

I'd like to see a longer loop, but I think it is definitely more W than WNW. Let's see a 12-18 hour report with the eye. Any shift to the west and we could have an unfortunately very interesting week next week...

[Aric Dunn]

The NAM is back way west.. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml

[msbee]

Considering the deepening that Earl is going thru, the 5 PM advisory is good news for the islands,hurricane force winds would stay offshore as those are confined 50 miles around the eye.

keep giving me more good news Luis

[artist]

eye still fairly ragged.. its probably back to about 280 though ..

http://img820.imageshack.us/img820/5729 ... 860272.gif

Maybe its the ragged eye, but I see WNW motion at the start of the loop and WSW motion at the end.

I'd like to see a longer loop, but I think it is definitely more W than WNW. Let's see a 12-18 hour report with the eye. Any shift to the west and we could have an unfortunately very interesting week next week...

recon is out there now so we should know fairly soon.

[johngaltfla]

recon is out there now so we should know fairly soon.

I'm glued to that thread also. The next 24 hours will tell the tale. I would hate to see an east coast storm going into Labor Day weekend.

[vbhoutex]

eye still fairly ragged.. its probably back to about 280 though ..

http://img820.imageshack.us/img820/5729 ... 860272.gif

Maybe its the ragged eye, but I see WNW motion at the start of the loop and WSW motion at the end.

would not quite say WSW .. but west is plausible.. and it is quite clear at the beginning of the loop of a wnw motion

I think we are still seeing wnw overall. Remember that they eyes/centers of TCs do not follow a straight path, but wobble along the path as they feel out the steering currents around them. Based on the steering currents posted on the last page I would expect Earl to start slowing some(more?)as he feels out the weakness to his N and NW and begins to slowly move towards a more NW motion.
To all our friends in the Islands keep us posted as you can and above all be safe!!

[TampaFl]

5:00PM postion of Hurricane Earl with associated wind field. map courtesy http://www.BoatUS.com

[Gustywind]

Oh boy another strong and amazing tstorm has just bombed fairly loudly

[breaking wind]

No complaints here about it being uneventful. Lost power 3 times in 6 weeks back in 04 here in central fl and yes this has already been a bad year in N Mexico. My bad.

[Aric Dunn]

but the wobbles are in this case very important.. thats why im watching them... little wobble here little wobble there and hurricane force winds are over all the NE islands..

[Gustywind]

but the wobbles are in this case very important.. thats why im watching them... little wobble here little wobble there and hurricane force winds are over all the NE islands..

Absolutely any wooble has sense for the NE islands!

[HURAKAN]

nice pic

[KatDaddy]

Be safe Gusty. Hopefully the worst will pass to the NE. However thats a very strong feederband over the Islands.

[HurricaneQueen]

Glad to see you are still posting, Gusty and abajan!! How are condition there now? I haven't seen anything from msbee or bvigal recently. I image they are getting a lot of rain about now. Please stay safe everyone.

Lynn

[HURAKAN]

latest microwave

[HURAKAN]

4 hours ago

[somethingfunny]

THERE IS A HURRICANE STRENGTHENING AND HITTING LAND RIGHT NOW. NOT LAST MONTH, NOT LAST YEAR, NOT FIVE YEARS AGO.

NOW.

Mods, instead of deleting all the off-topic crap (including this), why not move it all into a catch-all garbage thread in Talkin Tropics just to see how much piles up?