ATL: Ex-Tropical Storm FIONA - Discussion

[fci]

I hardly believe that the NHC waits to upgrade to not have to produce 3 packages! 97L has been in the 70-90% range for about 3 days now and just mustn't meet the criteria for upgrade.
As for the disdain for the word "fish" folks; can't y'all just calm down? Are you opposed to storms NOT hitting the CONUS?
I'm not. I want them ALL to turn away and not only miss the CONUS but also be further away from The Islands too!
Come on folks, This is a public forum so have some more tolerance for differing opinions.
I've seen some real questionable things posted and I usually just ignore them or I report them to the Mods if really outlandish using the button provided.
Lay off Gatorcane, he does his homework and lends a lot to this board

[AdamFirst]

Heavy thunderstorms beginning to consolidate around the center. Won't be surprised to see an upgrade very soon.

[Sanibel]

It's starting to run up on Earl's tail.

[Portastorm]

I wonder when the last time was when we had a true Fujiwara Effect in the Atlantic Basin. Anyone know?

[HURAKAN]

I wonder when the last time was when we had a true Fujiwara Effect in the Atlantic Basin. Anyone know?

Iris-Karen, 1995

[Portastorm]

HURAKAN to the rescue! Thanks. Good to know.

[senorpepr]

Looking at the latest ASCAT, it appears that 97L may finally have a circulation resembling something depression-worthy. Still a bit elongated--it's hard to tell since the west side was cut off... but it almost looks like it's at the end of the cusp stage and almost to the full-blown depression stage. We shall see.

[thetruesms]

Of course, ASCAT always hits when a circulation is a no-brainer (how many times did it nail Hurricane Danielle dead center?), but when we could really use it, it misses

But I agree, it at least hints at something approaching a depression-worthy circulation now. Assuming it doesn't suffer any setbacks, I think we'll finally get a TD out of this today.

[leanne_uk]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:1995_Parade_of_Storms.gif

The first interaction Iris had was with Hurricane Humberto then later on Tropical storm Karen.

I wonder when the last time was when we had a true Fujiwara Effect in the Atlantic Basin. Anyone know?

[Portastorm]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:1995_Parade_of_Storms.gif

The first interaction Iris had was with Hurricane Humberto then later on Tropical storm Karen.

I wonder when the last time was when we had a true Fujiwara Effect in the Atlantic Basin. Anyone know?

Interesting as 1995 was a La Nina year as well.

[HURAKAN]

The most recent Fujiwara in the Atlantic that I remember was Lisa-Tropical Disturbance. The NHC didn't really know who ate who but they assumed Lisa ate the disturbance and the result was still being called Lisa.

Image from 1995:



from left to right ... Iris, Karen and Luis. Iris is eating Karen

[HURAKAN]

latest

[HURAKAN]

Loop

[BigB0882]

97L is coming up on Earl but if Earl is beginning its jog to the NW and 97L remains on a mostly W course, then the distance shouldn't continue to close so quickly since they are no longer moving in the same general direction. At least, that makes sense in my head.

[TheBurn]

[Scorpion]

Wow, they really are close. Earl is massive compared to this... definitely makes the GFS quite believable right now. I wonder about that nice wave behind it though...

[HURAKAN]

Earl and 97L

[Vortex]

nice pic, she's almost there or there....

[HURAKAN]

Unless it's able to develop strong convection, I don't expect that it will be upgraded

[TheBurn]

Does it seem like 97 is gaining a bit of LAT as well?
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