ATL: Ex-Tropical Storm FIONA - Discussion

[HURAKAN]

unofficial track

[TheBurn]

TWC's Tropical Update just called 97L "Fiona"... as if it already was.
Did I miss something?

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON AUG 30 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
EARL...LOCATED ABOUT 65 MILES NORTHEAST OF ST. THOMAS...AND ON
HURRICANE DANIELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 420 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE
RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES HAVE CHANGED
LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE DAY. HOWEVER...AIRCRAFT DATA
FROM A RESEARCH MISSION BEING CONDUCTED BY THE NATIONAL CENTER FOR
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH...AS WELL AS SATELLITE DATA...SUGGEST THAT
THIS SYSTEM IS ALREADY PRODUCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN A
SMALL AREA NORTH OF THE CENTER. ONLY A SMALL INCREASE IN
ORGANIZATION OF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WOULD RESULT
IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL STORM...AND ADVISORIES COULD BE
INITIATED LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT. THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT ABOUT 20
MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG

[x-y-no]

TWC's Tropical Update just called 97L "Fiona"... as if it already was.
Did I miss something?

Did they seriously? That's just plain embarrassing.

(And no, you didn't miss anything)

[Brent]

Wow, straight to Fiona, didn't see that coming.

[thetruesms]

TWC's Tropical Update just called 97L "Fiona"... as if it already was.
Did I miss something?

No, but the TWO seems to imply that we may skip TD8 and go straight to Fiona when they do start advisories, though

[x-y-no]

Heh .... maybe that explains TWC jumping the gun. NHC is hinting they'll jump straight to TS with the first advisory.

[HURAKAN]

Not looking hot at the moment

[artist]

Heh .... maybe that explains TWC jumping the gun. NHC is hinting they'll jump straight to TS with the first advisory.

Knabb may be getting insider info?
May pay having worked for them just for that! lol

[HURAKAN]

Loop - http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _floater_1

Convection has decreased compared to this morning and it's getting increasingly closer to Earl, which will increase the shear over the system. I'm getting increasingly less enthusiastic about the development chances of this system.

[TheBurn]

[JPmia]

Yeah, this thing is really getting close to Earl, won't that inhibit development chances? and impact future track?

[HURAKAN]

:uarrow: Yeah, this thing is really getting close to Earl, won't that inhibit development chances? and impact future track?

It's possible Earl eats 97L, not much fight there. GFS has been forecasting this.

Now that I remember, Wilma ate Alpha in 2005.

[Gustywind]

Another one close the islands?? Does not sound good.

[artist]

Another one close the islands?? Does not sound good.

at least at this time she is having a hard time getting her act together. Let's hope it continues.

[Gustywind]

Another one close the islands?? Does not sound good.

at least at this time she is having a hard time getting her act together. Let's hope it continues.

Let's hope that Artist but i will keep a close eye on that as we're approaching September and Mother Nature is always full of surprises:roll:.

[HURAKAN]

I don't think Fiona is close

[Blown Away]

TAFB giving up on 97L after 72 hours.

[HurricaneRobert]

Too close to Earl. He's already eating this system.

[artist]

TAFB giving up on 97L after 72 hours.

let's hope that trend continues. Thanks for posting it.