ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

[Recurve]

Has a Category 5 ever made landfall on the EC?

Only Andrew. I doubt it could sustain Cat 5 beyond the Bahamas though, especially as it goes through ERC's.

Don't forget there was that little storm on Labor Day 1935 in Islamorada. Still the lowest US landfalling pressure ever. 892 mb I believe. Confirmed by a barometer held by some poor sucker on Long Key.
Two of the 20th Century's Cat 5's hit South Florida.

[WmE]

Has a Category 5 ever made landfall on the EC?

Only Andrew. I doubt it could sustain Cat 5 beyond the Bahamas though, especially as it goes through ERC's.

Don't forget there was that little storm on Labor Day 1935 in Islamorada. Still the lowest US landfalling pressure ever. 892 mb I believe. Confirmed by a barometer held by some poor sucker on Long Key.
Two of the 20th Century's Cat 5's hit South Florida.

Lowest landfall pressure in the whole Atlantic actually.

[UpTheCreek]

QUESTION???
Has the threat to nc incrased a lot today or about the same since this am

Looks to be about the same as far as track goes.

[I-wall]

Has a Category 5 ever made landfall on the EC?

Hurricane Andrew?

[Time_Zone]

Has a Category 5 ever made landfall on the EC?

Hurricane Andrew?

I'm guessing he meant excluding Florida?

[Duddy]

Latest forecast for Wilmington, NC. Waiting for the updated discussion.

[I-wall]

Has a Category 5 ever made landfall on the EC?

Hurricane Andrew?

I'm guessing he meant excluding Florida?

You must be right. That would make sense.

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

Has a Category 5 ever made landfall on the EC?

Hurricane Andrew?

Not that I know of. Have been lots of cat 3 (historically) and even some cat.4 (Hugo & Hazel). North of 40 though (about north of NYC), it is very hard to get a cat. 4

[KBBOCA]

Earl seems to be expanding greatly in this loop:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-rgb.html

Gorgeous but terrifying...

[HugoCameandLeft]

Has a Category 5 ever made landfall on the EC?

Hurricane Andrew?

Not that I know of. Have been lots of cat 3 (historically) and even some cat.4 (Hugo & Hazel). North of 40 though (about north of NYC), it is very hard to get a cat. 4

I've seen reports that Hugo was a Cat 5 at landfall (or had Cat 5 sustained winds), at least in some areas... perhaps that is exaggeration, but I can vouch for it having been an absolute beast of a storm.

[cpdaman]

the eastern semi-circle is clearly weakening with a break on the right side of the intense CDO....also a jog N in the last frame or two is evident thru 639pm

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... height=600

[cheezyWXguy]

looks like the eastern semi-circle is clearly weakening with a break on the right side of the intense CDO....also a jog N in the last frame or two is evident thru 630pm

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... height=600

Yeah I just noticed that. Looks like earl has a little bit of work to do before he makes a run at cat5. Shouldnt be a big deal though and well likely see its appearance rebound in the next couple of hours.

[Scorpion]

Yea definitely not deepening much anymore, I wonder what the issue is.

[TropicalWXMA]

Earl seems to be expanding greatly in this loop:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-rgb.html

Gorgeous but terrifying...

Just looks like his western side is interacting with the trough to the north of him.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-wv.html

[Sanibel]

Weather station Tortola, British Virgin Islands not reporting. Probably lost power.

[hurricaneCW]

Maybe he's spreading the energy out further and thus making the core a bit weaker. Kind of when Ike remained a Cat 2 while the hurricane and tropical storm force winds greatly expanded.

[UpTheCreek]

Can catch both storms in this funktop loop, pretty amazing sight!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-ft.html

[TropicalWXMA]

Can catch both storms in this funktop loop, pretty amazing sight!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-ft.html

From this it looks like Earl is shrinking . He isn't however..

[Mello1]

Can catch both storms in this funktop loop, pretty amazing sight!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-ft.html

Wow. It's looks to be something behind 97L ...

[TropicalWXMA]

SUMMARY OF 700 PM AST...2300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 65.1W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM NE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...939 MB...27.73 INCHES