ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

[artist]

Can catch both storms in this funktop loop, pretty amazing sight!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-ft.html

what the heck is that coming up behind Fiona??

[hurricaneCW]

Can catch both storms in this funktop loop, pretty amazing sight!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-ft.html

what the heck is that coming up behind Fiona??

Could be the future Gaston. Right now Earl is the immediate concern and Fiona is somewhat of a concern.

[Hurrilurker]

what the heck is that coming up behind Fiona??

Don't look now, but there is definitely some interesting stuff rolling off Africa. The one you see in that loop and also some more storms coming:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/eumet/eatl/avn-l.jpg

All it takes is for a strong ridge to get set up at the right time to allow one of these to pass west and things get interesting.

[AdamFirst]

Can catch both storms in this funktop loop, pretty amazing sight!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-ft.html

what the heck is that coming up behind Fiona??

Future Gaston, maybe?

They're probably talking about it in Talking Tropics.

[Scorpion]

Can catch both storms in this funktop loop, pretty amazing sight!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-ft.html

what the heck is that coming up behind Fiona??

Yea no idea why it isn't invested or even mentioned right now.

[hurricaneCW]

It's starting to get a bit off topic.

[artist]

looks much better than Fiona! Well, that is all for another thread in Talkin Tropics I guess.

[UpTheCreek]

Well, I feel dumb. When I posted that link. I thought the last storm was Fiona and the one in the middle was just some kind of temporary wave!

Okay, back to the storm at hand, sorry.....didn't mean to go off tropic!

[lovestorms84]

I know you are prob getting this question alot, I just need someone to tell me VA is not ganna get a direct hit... The VA emergency evacuation center is saying get ready, are they serious, or just being cautious?

[shah8]

cautious. Everything depends on the speed of the storm and the speed of the trough. So we're not going to know until right before when it's too late to do anything.

unless the ridge gets eroded super-quick and Earl heads north soon. However, that would be bad news in the context of Fiona.

[RL3AO]

I know you are prob getting this question alot, I just need someone to tell me VA is not ganna get a direct hit... The VA emergency evacuation center is saying get ready, are they serious, or just being cautious?

Doesn't have to be a direct hit to bring Virginia hurricane conditions.

[KBBOCA]

For the new poster worried about Virginia, a few pages back a commenter helpfully listed probabilities of 60 MPH winds for Newport. That should help answer your question about risk.

This is terrifying. Please, can someone tell me what are the chances of Newport News getting winds of at least 60-mph?

Probabilities here. You'll have to find a city as close to you as possible on this list
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 2047.shtml

Norfolk, VA.

34 knots (39 mph) 23%
50 knots (58 mph) 8%
64 knots (74 mph) 3%

[SunnyThoughts]

Not sure about Virginia, but I found this concerning North Carolina, hopefully this will be the only closing/evacuation needed along the east coast.

From WNCT-Greenville

Updated: August 30, 2010 - 5:41 PM

RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) - One national seashore in North Carolina is being evacuated ahead of Hurricane Earl, with the park closing until further notice.
Park Superintendent Russel Wilson announced in a statement Monday that Cape Lookout National Seashore is evacuating visitors and will be closed to the public starting Wednesday.
The seashore is made up of 56 miles of undeveloped beach stretching over four barrier islands about three miles off the coast of North Carolina. It is accessible only by boat.
Farther north, officials at Cape Hatteras National Seashore say they're monitoring the approach of Hurricane Earl, but haven't decided whether they'll close the park.
Earl reached Category 4 status on Monday. The latest forecasts have it brushing North Carolina's coast by Thursday or Friday.

[artist]

I know you are prob getting this question alot, I just need someone to tell me VA is not ganna get a direct hit... The VA emergency evacuation center is saying get ready, are they serious, or just being cautious?

your best bet is to prepare for the worst and hope for the best. It is so much better to feel you are doing something if you go on ahead and make a list of things you may need, etc. There is a forum here for what to get, etc., put together by those that have experienced storms in the past.


viewforum.php?f=30
and here is the direct link to what you might need -

viewtopic.php?f=30&t=58904
hope this helps.

[TheBurn]

[Trishasmom]

From the Virginia Department of Emergency Management website:

"A small change in Earl's forecasted path could bring a major hurricane to Virginia," said Michael Cline, state coordinator for the Virginia Department of Emergency Management. "Virginia state agencies are getting ready for the storm, and so should residents."

The Commonwealth has activated the Virginia Evacuation Coordination Team for Operational Response to assess Earl’s potential impact and to take necessary actions. The Virginia Emergency Operations Center is now at Increased Readiness Condition.

http://www.vdem.state.va.us/newsroom/re ... e_earl.cfm

I usually just lurk but wanted to say thank you for this information. We are in Charles City, VA and probably far enough off the coast to just get hopefully some good rain which is much needed. Although Isabel did us some pretty severe damage causing us to be without power for 2 weeks. I'm just watching to see how things play out. We live in a older mobile home so of course I want to keep track of what is going on.

[Annie Oakley]

As TheBurn demonstrates above.......prepare.

[OuterBanker]

Something always brings me to JB's post. It's basically masochism probably. Just checked his blog and he says that GFS is too far east with Earl.

He also likes the Euro for Fiona which brings a 965 hurricane into NC.

If both come true I'm sure I'll be in a rubber room somewhere.

Sometimes reading his column is like witnessing a car wreck on the highway. You know you shouldn't look, but you just have to.

[CrazyC83]

From the Virginia Department of Emergency Management website:

"A small change in Earl's forecasted path could bring a major hurricane to Virginia," said Michael Cline, state coordinator for the Virginia Department of Emergency Management. "Virginia state agencies are getting ready for the storm, and so should residents."

The Commonwealth has activated the Virginia Evacuation Coordination Team for Operational Response to assess Earl’s potential impact and to take necessary actions. The Virginia Emergency Operations Center is now at Increased Readiness Condition.

http://www.vdem.state.va.us/newsroom/re ... e_earl.cfm

I usually just lurk but wanted to say thank you for this information. We are in Charles City, VA and probably far enough off the coast to just get hopefully some good rain which is much needed. Although Isabel did us some pretty severe damage causing us to be without power for 2 weeks. I'm just watching to see how things play out. We live in a older mobile home so of course I want to keep track of what is going on.

Older mobile home? If I were you, I'd find a friend or neighbor in a solid house, even within your community.

[CrazyC83]

ERC starting to get underway? The eyewall isn't fully closed, even if the pressure has dropped to 939mb or lower.