WPAC: Ex-Typhoon KOMPASU (1007/08W)

[supercane]

WTPQ22 RJTD 310300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1007 KOMPASU (1007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 310300UTC 25.6N 128.9E GOOD
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 120NM NORTHEAST 100NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 010300UTC 30.6N 123.3E 75NM 70%
MOVE NW 18KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 020000UTC 35.4N 123.2E 180NM 70%
MOVE N 13KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 030000UTC 41.5N 131.0E 250NM 70%
MOVE NE 22KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =

TXPN22 KNES 310311
SIMWIR

A. 08W (KOMPASU)
B. 31/0232Z
C. 25.7N
D. 128.9E
E. ONE/MTSAT
F. T5.5/5.5/D1.5/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/SSMIS/TMI
H. REMARKS...OW EYE EMBEDDED IN LG FOR EYE NO OF 5.0...EYE ADJ. .5 FOR
RING OF WHITE FOR FINAL DT OF 5.5. MET IS 5.0. PT IS 5.5. FT BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
30/2240Z 25.1N 129.4E SSMIS
30/2253Z 25.1N 129.5E TMI
...GALLINA

[StormingB81]

I am right below that red dot to let you guys know.

[supercane]

Real RADAR (as opposed to the enhanced IR that is often mistaken for RADAR). The loop is stunning.

I wish JMA radar images had better resolution; they look blocky, almost cartoonish. Wasn't there a NEXRAD at Kadena in the 90s, or was that just a test unit?

[supercane]

Great ASCAT pass of Kompasu tonight:

[Chacor]

RJTD is issuing hourly bulletins at http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/1007.html as Japan is threatened.

[Infdidoll]

Got some pictures of some dark, ominous skies...winds and rain starting to get heavier, right now.

http://s20.photobucket.com/albums/b224/ ... 20Kompasu/

I've been taking videos periodically...but I'll have to put all those together later. Not sure how long we'll have electric. Man, I'm finding out that my husband is about the worst person to be stuck in a typhoon with ever. He's driving me crazy. I'm about to put him outside. lol

[dhoeze]

praying for your safety guys.

[tmitty]

we are waiting for this cute boy

[supercane]

WTPQ22 RJTD 310600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1007 KOMPASU (1007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 310600UTC 26.2N 128.4E GOOD
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 50NM EAST 40NM WEST
30KT 120NM EAST 100NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 010600UTC 31.7N 123.2E 75NM 70%
MOVE NW 17KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 020600UTC 37.3N 124.1E 180NM 70%
MOVE N 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 030600UTC 41.9N 132.5E 250NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =



Looks like it will either hit or pass north of the north side of the island, meaning the the south side of the island will be spared the highest winds, moreso because it is a very compact system.

[supercane]

Latest vis:


Looks like winds finally starting to pick up. Latest METARS:
RODN 310705Z AUTO 34025G39KT 6000 -RA BR SCT013 BKN020 27/25 A2931 RMK AO2 PK WND 34039/0701 BKN V SCT SLP924 $
ROTM 310658Z 34024G32KT 8000 SHRA FEW008 OVC015 27/25 A2934 RMK PK WND 33034/39 SLP935 P//// T02670250
ROAH 310700Z 33023KT 9999 -SHRA FEW012 SCT015 BKN050 27/25 Q0994 RMK 1CU012 3CU015 6SC050 A2937

[StormingB81]

DOwn here we wont even see Typhoon stregnth winds..It is so small that that little wobble mean we just got a free day off and didnt even get horibly bad weather.

[Infdidoll]

We're still doing fine. Actually feels like a typhoon now. The building is starting to rumble and shake...huge gusts. The sound around the building is more than the high scream...now it rumbles like a very large airplane is flying overhead. My Okinawan neighbor is standing outside, sheltered by his building watching it all go down.

[senorpepr]

SPECI RODN 310745Z AUTO 31027G37KT 3200 +RA BR BKN010 BKN014 OVC025 26/25 A2928 RMK AO2 PK WND 32039/0711 SLP913 $=

Peak wind so far at Kadena is 39 kt / 45 mph. Pressure is 29.28" and falling...

[StormingB81]

The storm has wobbled south west again if it continues that track SW then we might have some issues but I dont think it can mouth that far down in that short period of a time. we MAY get lucky and get a gust typhoon strength but i doubt it. ill be suprised.

[Chacor]

JMA 07z update placed the storm 50 km away from Naha, so on current motion of 14 kt we can expect it passing over or very near the town in the next hour.

[StormingB81]

Well if that stays the same chacor we will only ge ttropical storm force winds as to the south typhoon stregnth only goes out 30-35 nm. actually we wont even get 50 knot sustained winds here. we all coulda went to work..lol

[StormingB81]

Well the eye is now going back out over open water. DOwn south here was spared alot. Besides a couple of wind gust just over 50. This was nothing. I seen a florida afternoon thunderstorm worse then this. Just jope everyone up in the North part fared good.

[Infdidoll]

We're getting some really good gusts here...but we also live right on the ocean where there isn't any form of windbreak whatsoever.

[StormingB81]

So after I say ALL that Okinawa is NOW UNDER TCCOR 1E!

[senorpepr]

SPECI RODN 310852Z 27031G38KT 0800 FC SCT008 OVC015 26/26 A2930 RMK AO2A FUNNEL CLOUD B35 1 NW MOV UKN