ATL: Ex-Tropical Storm FIONA - Discussion

[LaBreeze]

Looks like it's going to be a pleasant and quiet Labor Day weekend getaway along the GOM coast. No threats ~ stay safe along the E. Coast.

[Dean4Storms]

Looks like the NHC has become a Euro and TVCN hugger!!!!

[allicat1214]

[*]

That's an awfully wide five day cone and once again shows Fiona slamming on the brakes...

That tells me one thing...NHC is WAY unsure about this puppy right now...

SFT

I totally agree with that. Some of the models tonight are bending it w or wsw At the end so will be interesting what the trends are for the 00z globals.

That's similar to what Hurricane Betsy did in 1965... I call it the Betsy loop.
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/20/Betsy_1965_track.png/800px-Betsy_1965_track.png

[SouthFLTropics]

That's an awfully wide five day cone and once again shows Fiona slamming on the brakes...

That tells me one thing...NHC is WAY unsure about this puppy right now...

SFT

I don't see anything wild about it.
A slow down to almost a stall Friday/Saturday.
We've seen loops and meanders before and this is still pretty strightforward for 5 days.
Beyond that , may be wild....

Please note that I said WIDE...not WILD!

SFT

[Vortmax1]

What do you think about that all you euro huggers out there?

It's about equal to completely trashing the GFS!
LMAO!

[Vortex]

Here's the 200mb at H+84 from 00Z Nam...NHC alluded to possible NE winds in the upper levels resulting in the ECMWF left bias. This would also expalin bamD sw movement as its deep...So if fiona manages to ramp up the next 24 or so then in all liklihood an ecm solution might be more plausible...well see...



200 mb at H+84


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_084l.gif

[fci]

That's an awfully wide five day cone and once again shows Fiona slamming on the brakes...

That tells me one thing...NHC is WAY unsure about this puppy right now...

SFT

I don't see anything wild about it.
A slow down to almost a stall Friday/Saturday.
We've seen loops and meanders before and this is still pretty strightforward for 5 days.
Beyond that , may be wild....

Please note that I said WIDE...not WILD!

SFT

Oops, my bad, LOL
I will delete the original.
I think I am reading too many posts that I am getting blurred....

[SouthFLTropics]

I don't see anything wild about it.
A slow down to almost a stall Friday/Saturday.
We've seen loops and meanders before and this is still pretty strightforward for 5 days.
Beyond that , may be wild....[/quote]

Please note that I said WIDE...not WILD!

SFT[/quote]

Oops, my bad, LOL
I will delete the original.
I think I am reading too many posts that I am getting blurred.... [/quote]

No worries my friend...It's all good...

[TheBurn]

Fiona and guest...
(also notice Earl north of PR - impressive!)
-

[gatorcane]

Here's the 200mb at H+84 from 00Z Nam...NHC alluded to possible NE winds in the upper levels resulting in the ECMWF left bias. This would also expalin bamD sw movement as its deep...So if fiona manages to ramp up the next 24 or so then in all liklihood an ecm solution might be more plausible...well see...



200 mb at H+84


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_084l.gif

Could be similar to what hannas outflow did to Ike? So in this case stronger would mean more west.

[WeatherGuesser]

What happened to all the doom and gloom models showing this coming across central FL as a 4 or 5?

[StormGuy]

What happened to all the doom and gloom models showing this coming across central FL as a 4 or 5?

The models were all over the place when she wasn't developed yet. Things should start becoming more clear in the upcoming days hopefully.

[supercane]

ASCAT still having difficulty resolving a circulation:

[WeatherGuesser]

Fi sure does seem to have the hots for Earl. She's moving W at 23 compared to Earl's WNW at 14.

Who needs Match.com when you can chase your beau across open waters?

[supercane]

SAB Dvorak still below normal TS strength (T2.5):
DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
31/0615 UTC 15.7N 51.5W T1.5/1.5 FIONA
30/2345 UTC 15.6N 49.0W T1.0/1.5 FIONA

[Brent]

Whoops, slight problem for poor little Fiona.

[smw1981]

If Fiona is closing in so fast on Earl, wouldn't it "take the path of least resistence" and follow in Earl's wake (get picked up by the same trough as Earl?)?

Of course, with Earl slowly chugging along and Fiona booking it, the NHC could be seeing that Fiona gets picked up by the first trough (around the Great Lakes yesterday), and Earl gets picked up by the second trough...

[dexterlabio]

so no more "doomsday" forecast with fiona...at least for now? It could be that the agencies are in doubt whether fiona can grow big like danielle and earl.

[HURAKAN]

Looking much better

[Gustywind]

Fiona quickly after Earl approaches the Lesser Antilles...