ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

[hiflyer]

If Earl takes the western path, the eye will go just south of me.

if earl goes that far west then one of the biggest fears along the east coast might come to light...a major storm up the Chesapeake Bay...half fear it for the destruction/flooding...half want it so that it could help 'clean out the bay' of pollutants from years of mismanagement. Quick review at past history shows not one storm was Cat3 while in the bay...possibly not even Cat2.

http://www.midatlantichurricanes.com/Maryland.html

[UpTheCreek]

got a few things up in the yard, gonna take down my camper today, pop-up is up gotta put that away, still have to put away some deck chairs and stuff...working on things, need to make a grocrey run this am I keep plenty of stuff on hand anyway due to teenage kids but wanna be ready just in case what are you thoughts this am looks a little closer to me than it did and we are in some of the wind cone on tv 12 and 7

If it shifts any more west, you might want to hook up that camper and head to Raleigh!

[HURAKAN]

Earl and Fiona

[edgeblade]

If Earl takes the western path, the eye will go just south of me.

if earl goes that far west then one of the biggest fears along the east coast might come to light...a major storm up the Chesapeake Bay...half fear it for the destruction/flooding...half want it so that it could help 'clean out the bay' of pollutants from years of mismanagement. Quick review at past history shows not one storm was Cat3 while in the bay...possibly not even Cat2.

http://www.midatlantichurricanes.com/Maryland.html

We would be in deep trouble here in SE VA if that were to happen. Cat 4 would flood the entire region and most of the region would get flooded by just a Cat 1 or 2.

[HURAKAN]

Earl reorganizing

[KBBOCA]

Fiona seems closer to Earl than before... or is that just my imagination? Is there any way to measure the distance / track changes in the distance?

[TampaFl]

HURAKAN, in the sat. picture you posted it appears that Earl,s eye has filled in some, plus the hurricane is not as symetrical - note how on Earl's western side it has become flatter.

[HURAKAN]

HURAKAN, in the sat. picture you posted it appears that Earl,s eye has filled in some, plus the hurricane is not as symetrical - note how on Earl's western side it has become flatter.

yeah, it may begin to turn to the NW soon.

[plasticup]

Great quote from Boston.com:
"Kevin Cadima, a meteorologist at the National Weather Service in Taunton, said the storm is moving north-northwest and is expected to be somewhere west of the Bahamas by early today"

Made me smile.

[HURAKAN]

Fiona seems closer to Earl than before... or is that just my imagination? Is there any way to measure the distance / track changes in the distance?

Fiona is moving at 24 mph compared to Earl's 13 mph, plus, Fiona's convection has increased which makes it look closer to Earl. But they're about 900 miles away

[afswo]

Morning everyone. Here is a good tool for estimating how close the eye of a storm will pass to your location on the forecast track.

The site is here: http://stormcarib.com/closest.htm

...

3. Just type in your coordinates from step (1) to get your closest expected distance.

Don't forget a hurricane is not a point and there is potential error in the forecast track.

Great site! I started using it yesterday and it works licke a charm.

[plasticup]

Fiona seems closer to Earl than before... or is that just my imagination? Is there any way to measure the distance / track changes in the distance?

Fiona is moving at 24 mph compared to Earl's 13 mph, plus, Fiona's convection has increased which makes it look closer to Earl. But they're about 900 miles away

Are the models still showing some kind of interaction between the storms? Will they both generate a little shear on the other?

[TampaFl]

HURAKAN, in the sat. picture you posted it appears that Earl,s eye has filled in some, plus the hurricane is not as symetrical - note how on Earl's western side it has become flatter.

yeah, it may begin to turn to the NW soon.

That is my thoughts also. The sooner Earl starts the NW turn the better for the Eastern US.

[HURAKAN]

Fiona seems closer to Earl than before... or is that just my imagination? Is there any way to measure the distance / track changes in the distance?

Fiona is moving at 24 mph compared to Earl's 13 mph, plus, Fiona's convection has increased which makes it look closer to Earl. But they're about 900 miles away

Did the math!!

[plasticup]

Season ACE is about 42 already, and this storm likely has another 10 units to contribute. These strong long-tracking storms can be ACE monsters!

[Time_Zone]

What the hell is wrong with Earl? He doesn't look half as impressive as he did last night.

Is it an EWRC, or is he just starting to weaken already?

[HURAKAN]

What the hell is wrong with Earl? He doesn't look half as impressive as he did last night.

Is it an EWRC, or is he just starting to weaken already?

There is nothing wrong with Earl. EWRC ... pressure up to 935 mb

He'll be back to his former self

[HURAKAN]

12z

AL, 07, 2010083112, , BEST, 0, 208N, 674W, 115, 935, HU

no change

[TheBurn]

[tallbunch]

stupid question alert!!!!!


My MINOR daughter will be flying into NY city on Thursday night by herself. Do you think I should cancel this or will Thursday night be okay?