ATL: Ex-Tropical Storm FIONA - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
- ColinDelia
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 918
- Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2005 5:52 am
- Location: The Beach, FL
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
- Evil Jeremy
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5463
- Age: 32
- Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
- Location: Los Angeles, CA
Re:
WeatherGuesser wrote:NHC 5 day keeps it out to sea as a TS, so apparently not a threat to anyone as of now.
Except for the Northern Leeward Islands, who area already under a TS Watch.
0 likes
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17
- ColinDelia
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 918
- Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2005 5:52 am
- Location: The Beach, FL
- Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
Yellow alert have been up for Guadeloupe and the Northern Leewards Islands as TS Fiona is expected to pass very close to St Marteen and St Barth. Guadeloupe should deal with strong showers and tstorms with some gustywinds. More later. Stay tuned and be vigilant my friends from the Leewards!
Gustywind
Gustywind

0 likes
Re: ATL: Tropical Storm FIONA - Discussion
appears to be getting better organized...may be short lived after today..
0 likes
Re: ATL: Tropical Storm FIONA - Discussion
She looks like she is firing a hot-tower.
A fair number of overshooting tops too.
A good sign she will ramp up soon.


A fair number of overshooting tops too.
A good sign she will ramp up soon.


0 likes
- gatorcane
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 23691
- Age: 47
- Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
- Location: Boca Raton, FL
I think there has been alot of hype on this board about this system over the past several days for no reason. I've continued to say I'm not really concerned about this system and believe it will pass east of the United States or dissipate due to the outflow of massive Earl.
Now the Euro has made the shift right that I expected it to do to join the model consensus. It's actually now the right outlier at this point ironically enough. Not only that all models are keeping Fiona very weak anyway and there should be enough shear from Earl's outflow to justify that happening. Maybe part of the reason is that should the general public be allowed to look at model runs that go out beyond 5 days? As you can see they hardly ever verify and cause undue speculation on various catastrophic scenarios that is not warranted.
Now the Euro has made the shift right that I expected it to do to join the model consensus. It's actually now the right outlier at this point ironically enough. Not only that all models are keeping Fiona very weak anyway and there should be enough shear from Earl's outflow to justify that happening. Maybe part of the reason is that should the general public be allowed to look at model runs that go out beyond 5 days? As you can see they hardly ever verify and cause undue speculation on various catastrophic scenarios that is not warranted.
0 likes
- x-y-no
- Category 5
- Posts: 8359
- Age: 65
- Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:14 pm
- Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL
Re:
gatorcane wrote:Now the Euro has made the shift right that I expected it to do to join the model consensus. It's actually now the right outlier at this point ironically enough. Not only that all models are keeping Fiona very weak anyway and there should be enough shear from Earl's outflow to justify that happening. Maybe part of the reason is that should the general public be allowed to look at model runs that go out beyond 5 days? As you can see they hardly ever verify and cause undue speculation on various catastrophic scenarios that is not warranted.
It's starting to look that way, with the caveat that the Euro ensembles last night still clung to the westward solution.
0 likes
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 6358
- Age: 62
- Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
- Location: Miramar Bch. FL
Re:
gatorcane wrote:I think there has been alot of hype on this board about this system over the past several days for no reason. I've continued to say I'm not really concerned about this system and believe it will pass east of the United States or dissipate due to the outflow of massive Earl.
Now the Euro has made the shift right that I expected it to do to join the model consensus. It's actually now the right outlier at this point ironically enough. Not only that all models are keeping Fiona very weak anyway and there should be enough shear from Earl's outflow to justify that happening. Maybe part of the reason is that should the general public be allowed to look at model runs that go out beyond 5 days? As you can see they hardly ever verify and cause undue speculation on various catastrophic scenarios that is not warranted.
I'm tired of your own hype. NHC still has Fiona stalling in the 5 day cone and there remains much uncertainty as even NHC indicates so please spare us your hype.
0 likes
Re: Re:
WeatherGuesser wrote:NHC 5 day keeps it out to sea as a TS, so apparently not a threat to anyone as of now.
Evil Jeremy wrote:Except for the Northern Leeward Islands, who area already under a TS Watch.
Let's not forget Bermuda; it is the only piece of land that actually falls inside the cone.
0 likes
- CourierPR
- Category 5
- Posts: 1335
- Age: 71
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:53 pm
- Location: Pompano Beach, Florida
Re:
I find your last statement amusing in light of your forecast bust with Alex. If you recall, you trumpeted how Alex would be no more than a depression at most because the models were showing that. Hoisted on your own pitard.gatorcane wrote:I think there has been alot of hype on this board about this system over the past several days for no reason. I've continued to say I'm not really concerned about this system and believe it will pass east of the United States or dissipate due to the outflow of massive Earl.
Now the Euro has made the shift right that I expected it to do to join the model consensus. It's actually now the right outlier at this point ironically enough. Not only that all models are keeping Fiona very weak anyway and there should be enough shear from Earl's outflow to justify that happening. Maybe part of the reason is that should the general public be allowed to look at model runs that go out beyond 5 days? As you can see they hardly ever verify and cause undue speculation on various catastrophic scenarios that is not warranted.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests