ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

[cycloneye]

Earl and Fiona

They are more separated now.

[HURAKAN]

They are more separated now.

sqrt ((((24-17.4)*60)^2) + (((71.2-60.2)*60)^2)) = 770 nm

[aerology]

They have some of the residual dry air in midst of their pieces, and Earl is slinging more in.

[HURAKAN]

That's a tough buoy. Hurricane force winds and a pressure of 943 mb, wow

[GCANE]

Looks like Earl still has a good TPW infeed.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... t72hrs.gif

However, going to be moving into minimal CAPE air.

Also will be tracking over a little lower OHC water until about 36 hrs when it picks up the Gulf Stream.

WISHE with the Gulf Stream may give Earl a bit of a kick then.

[seahawkjd]

Has the front started moving yet or is it still going slower then forcast?

[plasticup]

http://freeuploadimages.org/images/iyekdonj59cia4wkpxv.jpg

50 foot waves. That is almost as high as my building.

Yikes.

Edited by CM to take out [img] tags

[Riptide]

Aye, there she blows!

[angelwing]

Track reminds me a lot of Floyd. Probably been mentioned already but how close in size, forecast track and intensity at this distance is this?

Oh no I hope not, I had enough flooding when Floyd came thru.

[x-y-no]

That's a tough buoy. Hurricane force winds and a pressure of 943 mb, wow

Wow ... you couldn't ask for a better data set than that.

And 50 foot waves! That would not be fun.

[HURAKAN]

12z

AL, 07, 2010090112, , BEST, 0, 245N, 716W, 110, 943, HU

125 mph

[angelwing]

Not as good as the NOAA site but if you can't see anything else>
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... opical.asp

TY for the links tailgater!

[plasticup]

Track reminds me a lot of Floyd. Probably been mentioned already but how close in size, forecast track and intensity at this distance is this?

Oh no I hope not, I had enough flooding when Floyd came thru.

It definitely won't hit as directly as Floyd did, but you'll see a good bit of moisture. I think the biggest impacts will be in New England, because although Earl will be weaker, that area isn't as prepared for hurricanes.

[HURAKAN]

morning Earl!

[TampaFl]

Hurricane Earl - 8:00am position. map courtesy http://www.BoatUS.com

[HURAKAN]

latest

[hurricaneCW]

While there is a lot of dry air around, the core of the storm looks very well organized and looks improved from yesterday.

[plasticup]

On WV imagery you can really see why the NHC mentioned dry air intrusion. Look at it wrapping around. That could stop Earl dead in his tracks.

[hurricaneCW]

I mentioned yesterday that I doubted it was a Cat 4. I also said that if the dry air intrudes, it could be reduced all the way down to a Cat 1. Cat 1 is probably to low given the heat content available, probably a Cat 2.

[Time_Zone]

Well....Earl is looking much better then he was a few hours ago...If he can keep this up for a bit he may be able to hit cat4 again sometime today.