ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

[toto]

Here is the buoy that earlier recorded a 48.6 ft wave height.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41046

[TropicalWXMA]

CNNweather #Earl continues to intensify. NOAA plane just recorded a 199 mph wind gust in the eye wall.

http://twitter.com/CNNweather/status/22759962474

[TwisterFanatic]

CNNweather #Earl continues to intensify. NOAA plane just recorded a 199 mph wind gust in the eye wall.

http://twitter.com/CNNweather/status/22759962474

WOW!

[CrazyC83]

01/2345 UTC 27.1N 73.3W T5.5/5.5 EARL -- Atlantic

More like T7.0 to my naked eye...

[CronkPSU]

is the hurricane force wind field in the eastern quadrant expanding as well?

[Sean in New Orleans]

Click this link and see how it is right of the forecast track, wobbling some but still looks like it will miss the next forecast point to the right (click Trop Pts). Every one of these misses helps strengthen the argument that this stays offshore enough to not be a catastrophic situation for anybody along the Eastern Seaboard:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html

Though it is important to note that anybody in the cone can be a target given the cone of uncertainty.

That is what I have been watching and the good Lord is answering my prayers. This baby is out to sea and we can all be thankful that we are going to be (mostly) spared this monster! I am getting more relaxed with Earl as each hour passes....But, NOT, with Gaston. This is my biggest concern thus far this season....my eyes are on Gaston.

[TexasF6]

Wow at 199mph................

[Crostorm]

[Hurrilurker]

Wow, it's really starting to look good, large pressure drop, very clear and symmetrical eye popping with tightly packed concentric gradient, convection fully wrapped around the center. Outflow still constrained on the south side but he looks excellent right now. If he was doing this closer to the coast it could be a real disaster setup, but as he's still a few days away there should be time to weaken some and hopefully the eye won't make it ashore.

[hurricanefloyd5]

Wow at 199mph................

\
winds gusts to near 200mph in the eyewall!!!!!!!!!!wow!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[cpdaman]

Click this link and see how it is right of the forecast track, wobbling some but still looks like it will miss the next forecast point to the right (click Trop Pts). Every one of these misses helps strengthen the argument that this stays offshore enough to not be a catastrophic situation for anybody along the Eastern Seaboard:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html

Though it is important to note that anybody in the cone can be a target given the cone of uncertainty.

when i clicked that it only went thru 0015z.....the next hour and 15 minutes is pretty much due NW....so it won't miss the forecast point by much

[gatorcane]

Click this link and see how it is right of the forecast track, wobbling some but still looks like it will miss the next forecast point to the right (click Trop Pts). Every one of these misses helps strengthen the argument that this stays offshore enough to not be a catastrophic situation for anybody along the Eastern Seaboard:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html

Though it is important to note that anybody in the cone can be a target given the cone of uncertainty.

That is what I have been watching and the good Lord is answering my prayers. This baby is out to sea and we can all be thankful that we are going to be (mostly) spared this monster! I am getting more relaxed with Earl as each hour passes....But, NOT, with Gaston. This is my biggest concern thus far this season....my eyes are on Gaston.

I agree Gaston has my attention as well and I predict the board will quickly shift to Gaston by the end of the weekend once Earl is racing NE away and transitioning to extra-tropical status.

[JtSmarts]

Click this link and see how it is right of the forecast track, wobbling some but still looks like it will miss the next forecast point to the right (click Trop Pts). Every one of these misses helps strengthen the argument that this stays offshore enough to not be a catastrophic situation for anybody along the Eastern Seaboard:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html

Though it is important to note that anybody in the cone can be a target given the cone of uncertainty.

when i clicked that it only went thru 0015z.....the next hour and 15 minutes is pretty much due NW....so it won't miss the forecast point by much

Cpdaman do you have a link for a more updated Loop?

[cpdaman]

here you go

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... olor=black

[fasterdisaster]

Earl is a compact monster! That's probably for the best since the winds will diminish quickly out from the center, and as of now he looks to just miss the coast (things can change though).

[JtSmarts]

here you go

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... olor=black

Thanks a bunch! Earl is looking better and better, I guess if this season will be 98's twin, Earl can be similar to Bonnie if Gaston ends up being similar to Georges.

[TexasF6]

@SeaninNOLA....good to see you on the boards! I remember your posts always being on point and insightful, but I still think the coast will take a hit from this before he turns....Norcross made it plain and simple about the synoptics...and Gaston!?!! But oh my....Earl is putting on a show off the coast tonight....a spectacle of nature's fury......

[Evil Jeremy]

Click this link and see how it is right of the forecast track, wobbling some but still looks like it will miss the next forecast point to the right (click Trop Pts). Every one of these misses helps strengthen the argument that this stays offshore enough to not be a catastrophic situation for anybody along the Eastern Seaboard:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html

Though it is important to note that anybody in the cone can be a target given the cone of uncertainty.

That is what I have been watching and the good Lord is answering my prayers. This baby is out to sea and we can all be thankful that we are going to be (mostly) spared this monster! I am getting more relaxed with Earl as each hour passes....But, NOT, with Gaston. This is my biggest concern thus far this season....my eyes are on Gaston.

You make it sound like a done deal, when its anything but.

[SouthFLTropics]

All I can say is WOW! Absolutely amazing looking storm...What I find more amazing is that it can be relatively that close to my location and yet the weather here in Port St. Lucie is great tonight. It's sort of surreal to think that about 450 miles to my east there is an absolute MONSTER out there...

SFT

[Sean in New Orleans]

@SeaninNOLA....good to see you on the boards! I remember your posts always being on point and insightful, but I still think the coast will take a hit from this before he turns....Norcross made it plain and simple about the synoptics...and Gaston!?!! But oh my....Earl is putting on a show off the coast tonight....a spectacle of nature's fury......

Earl is extremely impressive....I believe that is a Cat. 5 tonight. Sure is a beautiful red wedding ring isn't it!!!!