ATL: GASTON - Models

[Stormcenter]

The slower it moves the more chance it has to curve out. IMO

[SouthFloridawx]

sheesh....I can run faster than this is moving....

[Ivanhater]

204 hours

[Sanibel]

This one has my attention. You can figure out the potential if the track errs north on that course.

[Ivanhater]

216 hours

[Ivanhater]

From those who get GFS early

Gaston moves across E Cuba and to just E of SE FL. It then recurves and misses the US.

[ROCK]

that trof is digging mucho grande....I think it will make this connection...

[Ivanhater]

[ROCK]

and it does.... the "recurvers" have this run....

that freakin trof digs all the way through FL....sheesh...what are we in Dec?

[SFLcane]

[Ivanhater]

If it were moving a bit faster, easily make it to Florida and the Gulf...

Going over Cuba and extremely close to Florida this run

[South Texas Storms]

i still dont think this is going to be a recurver. i feel like this one has gom bound written all over it.
i really want to see what the euro shows tonight.

[SFLcane]

This is somewhat similar to the 18z run.

[Ivanhater]

And for the heck of it..3 more behind Gaston

[ROCK]

i still dont think this is going to be a recurver. i feel like this one has gom bound written all over it.
i really want to see what the euro shows tonight.

to be honest I dont think so either....not sure I buy a GOM solution with a freakin winter storm digging through the GOM in Sept...

[South Texas Storms]

i still dont think this is going to be a recurver. i feel like this one has gom bound written all over it.
i really want to see what the euro shows tonight.

to be honest I dont think so either....not sure I buy a GOM solution with a freakin winter storm digging through the GOM in Sept...

rock do you really think that trough will dig all the way to florida? isnt that really uncommon for this time of year?

[weatherSnoop]

i still dont think this is going to be a recurver. i feel like this one has gom bound written all over it.
i really want to see what the euro shows tonight.

to be honest I dont think so either....not sure I buy a GOM solution with a freakin winter storm digging through the GOM in Sept...

It can always take the short cut across FLA to get to the gulf

[Ivanhater]

My guess is the models are moving this too slow. With that strong of ridging to the north, it will likely move faster.

Looking like a Caribbean system..still too far out to know anything past that.

[South Texas Storms]

My guess is the models are moving this too slow. With that strong of ridging to the north, it will likely move faster.

Looking like a Caribbean system..still too far out to know anything past that.

yeah ivan i agree. it seems that it would move much faster with that strong of a high to the north of it. and the faster it moves, the more west it goes imo.

[ROCK]

i still dont think this is going to be a recurver. i feel like this one has gom bound written all over it.
i really want to see what the euro shows tonight.

to be honest I dont think so either....not sure I buy a GOM solution with a freakin winter storm digging through the GOM in Sept...

rock do you really think that trough will dig all the way to florida? isnt that really uncommon for this time of year?

I think its uncommon sure....usually see something like that in Oct....and even at that those rarely clear the entire state of FL..... could be over doing it a tad....who knows...that trof is pretty much in la la land as far as the GFS goes at that hour...