ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

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Annie Oakley
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#3941 Postby Annie Oakley » Thu Sep 02, 2010 12:50 am

Thanx, And please people get out of there. Listen to these guys and gals here on this board. Be safe. Keeping you all in our prayers.
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#3942 Postby BrianD » Thu Sep 02, 2010 12:53 am

WOAW :double: Image
Last edited by BrianD on Thu Sep 02, 2010 12:54 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#3943 Postby CronkPSU » Thu Sep 02, 2010 12:53 am

i notice the northwest quad of the storm seems to be weakening, is that from dry air or maybe interaction with the front coming at it?

Image
Last edited by CronkPSU on Thu Sep 02, 2010 12:57 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#3944 Postby BrianD » Thu Sep 02, 2010 12:56 am

CronkPSU wrote:i notice the northwest quad of the storm seems to be weakening, is that from dry air or maybe interaction with the front coming at it?



Regardless pressure dropped to 920's mb He's Strengthening! :eek:
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Re:

#3945 Postby fasterdisaster » Thu Sep 02, 2010 12:58 am

CronkPSU wrote:i notice the northwest quad of the storm seems to be weakening, is that from dry air or maybe interaction with the front coming at it?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/jsl-l.jpg


My guess would be dry air, but it would really have to get entrained in his core for him to weaken any.
Last edited by fasterdisaster on Thu Sep 02, 2010 1:00 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#3946 Postby StormGuy » Thu Sep 02, 2010 12:58 am

000
WTNT32 KNHC 020556
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 31A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
200 AM EDT THU SEP 02 2010

...CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE EARL MOVING QUICKLY
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 74.4W
ABOUT 460 MI...740 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...930 MB...27.46 INCHES
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#3947 Postby CronkPSU » Thu Sep 02, 2010 1:02 am

where did the 920 MB reading come from, the 2AM advisory still says 930
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#3948 Postby fasterdisaster » Thu Sep 02, 2010 1:03 am

CronkPSU wrote:where did the 920 MB reading come from, the 2AM advisory still says 930


It was 926.4 mb, and I'm not sure why they aren't using it.
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#3949 Postby CronkPSU » Thu Sep 02, 2010 1:03 am

thanks, i didn't see that VDM
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#3950 Postby gotoman38 » Thu Sep 02, 2010 1:04 am

fasterdisaster wrote:
CronkPSU wrote:where did the 920 MB reading come from, the 2AM advisory still says 930


It was 926.4 mb, and I'm not sure why they aren't using it.


000
URNT15 KNHC 020530
AF300 1207A EARL HDOB 18 20100902
052030 2803N 07358W 6968 02845 9674 +121 +104 225099 100 069 000 03
052100 2804N 07359W 6970 02828 9645 +134 +095 224098 099 072 000 03
052130 2806N 07401W 6968 02807 9623 +134 +100 225102 104 /// /// 03
052200 2807N 07402W 6966 02786 9585 +145 +096 227109 111 079 000 03
052230 2809N 07403W 6962 02764 9559 +142 +093 228113 115 /// /// 03
052300 2810N 07404W 6972 02724 9530 +137 +119 234117 119 091 000 03
052330 2811N 07405W 6971 02688 9483 +146 +117 233120 122 /// /// 03
052400 2813N 07406W 6948 02682 9436 +157 +106 232121 125 099 000 03
052430 2814N 07407W 6981 02599 9385 +164 +127 227086 093 080 000 03
052500 2815N 07408W 6956 02604 9346 +175 +123 222070 076 072 000 03
052530 2816N 07410W 6972 02557 9302 +199 +109 215051 054 061 001 03
052600 2817N 07411W 6974 02545 9278 +214 +094 220035 040 047 001 03
052630 2819N 07413W 6956 02551 9270 +208 +098 227023 027 035 001 03
052700 2820N 07414W 6980 02526 9275 +203 +107 242014 017 028 000 03
052730 2821N 07415W 6955 02557 9284 +192 +109 237010 011 026 000 00
052800 2823N 07416W 6968 02538 9290 +181 +118 245008 009 031 000 03
052830 2825N 07417W 6965 02538 9282 +187 +113 184006 008 028 000 03
052900 2826N 07418W 6961 02540 9265 +205 +101 126005 007 030 000 00
052930 2828N 07420W 6965 02538 9266 +206 +101 059011 015 030 000 00
053000 2829N 07421W 6975 02526 9264 +210 +100 046026 032 052 004 03
$$
;

Still waiting for VDM for official reading
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#3951 Postby Dave » Thu Sep 02, 2010 1:09 am

Also waiting for hdobs, vdm, everything to update.
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#3952 Postby CronkPSU » Thu Sep 02, 2010 1:10 am

stupid satellite eclipse period
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#3953 Postby Annie Oakley » Thu Sep 02, 2010 1:11 am

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/HR
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#3954 Postby Annie Oakley » Thu Sep 02, 2010 1:33 am

Recon suggests more-145?
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#3955 Postby BrianD » Thu Sep 02, 2010 1:33 am

Latest Now I'm off to bed!
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#3956 Postby SunnyThoughts » Thu Sep 02, 2010 1:40 am

Still looking beastly


Image
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#3957 Postby AJF0602 » Thu Sep 02, 2010 1:43 am

this thing is making me nervous with each wobble lol, still a chance it will goe a bit further west and beat out the front?
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Re: ATL: Hurricane EARL - Discussion

#3958 Postby BrianD » Thu Sep 02, 2010 1:46 am

AJF0602 wrote:this thing is making me nervous with each wobble lol, still a chance it will goe a bit further west and beat out the front?


Latest models are thinking further west ...
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#3959 Postby shah8 » Thu Sep 02, 2010 1:48 am

not the dynamic models, but again, models aren't important at this point for Earl. Except in forcasting any bend back west up north.
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Re:

#3960 Postby toto » Thu Sep 02, 2010 1:52 am

CronkPSU wrote:
stupid satellite eclipse period




Please explain.
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