ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

[dizzyfish]

Mark at HurricaneTrack is live streaming on the OBX. Not sure exactly where though. I couldn't believe all the trash cans I saw out on the street. Guess it must be pickup day.

http://www.hurricanetrack.com/

Oh yeah, haven't seen one house boarded up either. That's just crazy!

[UpTheCreek]

There is a second wind maxima:

Meaning???

There may be an inner and outer eyewall. Unless the outer eyewall contracted some before it gets closer to land, it could bring some stronger winds to the coast than you would expect had the storm been the same distance and had one eyewall.

Thanks!

[funster]

Earl is getting a case of wonky eye http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... X&loop=yes

[toto]

Wow in this It looks like a gnome in a cloak holding a wooden staff on a ledge (fiona i'm guessing) looking at a whirling portal ( Earl )

Does anyone else see this. ....

I don't see it... but your symbolism is interesting...
does the cloaked gnome's club hit only once ?

[Over my head]

Wow in this It looks like a gnome in a cloak holding a wooden staff on a ledge (fiona i'm guessing) looking at a whirling portal ( Earl )

Does anyone else see this. ....

I don't see it... but your symbolism is interesting...
does the cloaked gnome's club hit only once ?

I see the gnome.

Watching this one for Mom who is in Virginia. Usually it's me she's watching for.

[cpdaman]

what is going on with the track....
what is causing earl to head NNE at say 20 degrees at least....is this going to continue....and miss say the cape by 200 miles ?

is fiona eroding the ridge enough to his SE that is recurving him

or perhaps she is riding the gulf stream

[CrazyC83]

If it remains at 948mb and makes landfall, it would be the most intense landfall north of Charleston, SC since Gloria in 1985...

[dekeoy]

I'm still waiting on some rain and winds over 15 MPH. It did peak at 25mph on the beach about 5 hours ago though. I can see from the front yard and radar there are bands that are close but I think this thing is bypassing my area by a good margin. Hope it continues that way for everyone north of me.
The surf is way up and tides appear to be running way above normal, as would be expected. (low tide right now looks like 3 ft. above what high tide would normally be).
Stay safe everyone!

[Zarniwoop]

Can someone post a link to current sat?

[UpTheCreek]

Can someone post a link to current sat?

Here's a nice floater: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-rb.html

[dixiebreeze]

Interesting tilt, NW to SE. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/float2.html

[wx247]

Wow, the comments are running very few and far between on a storm so close to the coast. Cape Hatteras is getting in on some decent rainfall at this time.

[fasterdisaster]

He looks to be going due north again. If he doesn't move east again soon hurricane force winds could still happen.

[Julanne]

Can any pro mets give me an update as to the direction of this beast? I see that it is going NNE at presently. Could we on Cape Cod get a "miss' out of this?

[CrazyC83]

Current conditions in the immediate landfall/peak threat area - as of 8 pm EDT:

Tropical storm gusts
Tropical storm sustained OR 58 mph gusts
Hurricane gusts OR 58 mph sustained
Hurricane sustained

Delaware
Dover - A few clouds, 80/68, SE 6

Maryland
Ocean City - A few clouds, 75/74, E 5
Salisbury - A few clouds, 75/69, SE 5

North Carolina
Cape Hatteras - Light rain, 78/78, NE 17 G 29
Elizabeth City - Mostly cloudy, 79/74, NE 17
Greenville - Partly cloudy, 78/68, NNE 13 G 20
Jacksonville - Light rain, 77/73, N 17
Manteo - Partly cloudy, 80/80, NE 18 G 26
New Bern - Overcast, 79/74, N 15 G 21
Washington - Light rainshower, 80/71, NNE 13
Wilmington - Mostly cloudy, 81/70, N 15 G 23

Virginia
Norfolk - Mostly cloudy, 81/70, NE 14
Virginia Beach - Overcast, 79/72, NE 13

Buoys
Buoy 41025 Diamond Shoals - NE 39 G 47

[Zarniwoop]

I can't believe I'm stuck at work for another 90 minutes.

[HurrMark]

Things are looking much better now...it deviated east of the forecast track...and has weakened...too early to say the coast is clear, but I am thinking that NC may be breathing a sigh of relief when all is said and done. And the eastern deviation lowers the chances for a direct hit on New England significantly.

[mf_dolphin]

Wow, the comments are running very few and far between on a storm so close to the coast. Cape Hatteras is getting in on some decent rainfall at this time.

I'll call that Earl Burnout Syndrome

[Tstormwatcher]

Wow, the comments are running very few and far between on a storm so close to the coast. Cape Hatteras is getting in on some decent rainfall at this time.

I'll call that Earl Burnout Syndrome

Either that or everyone is napping so they can stay up late tonite.

[ncweatherwizard]

Can any pro mets give me an update as to the direction of this beast? I see that it is going NNE at presently. Could we on Cape Cod get a "miss' out of this?

The new models have adjusted to the current motion and shifted to the east a little. The wind field is expanding, so I wouldn't be surprised if the eastern part of Cape Cod sees hurricane force winds for a short period. It shouldn't be any worse than many nor'easters though.